The Organization of Turkic States (OTS) has spent the past years assembling itself not through declarations or summit communiqués, but through shared transport and logistics, harmonized customs procedures, and coordinated capital flows. What began in 2009 as the Turkic Council, a lightly institutional and rhetorically cohesive forum for shared identity, has evolved, following its 2021 transformation into the OTS, into a logistical and regulatory organism. Its under-the-radar evolution has been systematized through agreed documents, deployed capital, and materialized infrastructure. The OTS has entered a phase of procedural coordination and structural intent. Its cooperation is now practical, strategic, and functionally embedded.

This evolution has not followed a single arc, nor has it merely responded to outside pressures. Instead, it has progressed through an uneven sequence of internal adjustments, sometimes slow and technical, sometimes accelerated by external jolts such as the recent disruption in Azerbaijani–Russian relations. But such jolts only intensified a trajectory already underway. Member states had been converging long before this most recent bilateral crisis by aligning their policies, testing instruments, and developing the practical grammar of multilateral coordination. The current phase of renewed cooperation is not a reactive surge but a prepared transition that expresses an underlying structural shift in Eurasian geoeconomics at large.

Digital Infrastructure and Networked Cooperation

If there is a single domain where institutional convergence becomes immediately visible, this would be digital logistics. Once-fractured national processes — disjointed customs systems, mismatched permits, bureaucratic duplication — have begun to fold into a shared administrative architecture (including eTIR, eCMR, and ePermit) structured by international conventions that have been adapted to fit the particular alignments now emerging in the Turkic sphere.

These procedures are no longer pilot projects but live systems. They digitize paperwork, synchronize border procedures, and build the kind of operational rhythms that trade corridors need in order to function. Negotiations continue, meanwhile, on a Free Trade in Services Agreement, targeted not at deregulation but at harmonization, viz., the alignment of technical and professional standards across a disparate set of economies. Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan, for example, are already piloting a Simplified Customs Corridor. Its eventual integration with the multimodal Uzbekistan–Türkiye axis is not a matter of if, but of how soon.

Official observer states to the OTS are also beginning to move, with Hungary being the clearest case. Its $100 million injection into the Turkic Investment Fund made headlines, but the real story is downstream: Hungarian infrastructure now receives Azerbaijani gas via Türkiye. That is not diplomacy; that is energy dependence, structurally routed. Turkmenistan, long the holdout, has started to engage, first through planning meetings and now through signed agreements. Its ports, once idle in regional plans, are being fitted into the wider Caspian logistics network. The Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC), formally recognized only by Türkiye, is also a functional participant through educational exchanges, shared language, and soft institutions.

Reciprocal Trade and Development

The shift underway is as much geographic as it is institutional. Central Asia is no longer on the margins of the OTS project but is becoming its frame, with Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan leading the transition. In 2023, bilateral trade between the two passed the $5 billion mark. Both sides expect to double that by 2028. Trade figures, however, are not the point; rather, the point is what lies beneath them: aligned tariffs, a joint investment fund already over $250 million, and operational industrial zones in Shymkent and Tashkent that bind the two economies together at the level of physical plant and labor mobility.

Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan have taken it further. Together, they have launched a $500 million fund to back joint hard-asset infrastructure, including a logistics center in Samarkand and a proposed petrochemical plant in Navoi. Kyrgyzstan has taken another route. It is not the largest actor, but it has served as a testbed for customs reforms, digital permitting, and early eCMR adoption. Its reward has been a 60% rise in trade with OTS members. Turkmenistan, once detached, is now offering unused port capacity and quietly participating in feasibility studies for the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan (CKU) railway.

Türkiye, for its part, remains everywhere. In 2023, Turkish firms signed contracts exceeding $2.2 billion across Central Asia, covering construction, textiles, and light manufacturing. These are labor-absorbing sectors that embed Turkish capital still more deeply in the region’s employment ecosystems, not to mention its social-stability calculus. What is consolidating itself in this space is not a bloc or an alliance, but a logistical and institutional meshwork, emerging from administrative coordination, co-located infrastructure, and other commitments.

Energy Coordination and Financial Convergence

Energy came first, and it remains the deepest stratum. Before the OTS had a name, Azerbaijani gas was already flowing west. The Trans-Anatolian Natural Gas Pipeline (TANAP, from its Turkish initials) carries into Türkiye for domestic consumption as well as for re-export into the European grid. Now, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan are exploring new routes, new off-takes, and new roles in the energy economy of the region. Azerbaijan is coordinating with them to enter the electricity export sector through feasibility studies for a submarine cable to Europe.

The Turkic Investment Fund was launched in 2023 with an initial capital of $500 million provided by its five founding members: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Türkiye, and Uzbekistan. Following the accession of Hungary as the sixth member, the Fund’s authorized capital increased to $600 million. A strategic platform dedicated to impactful investments, innovative solutions, and regional integration, TIF is small by global standards but structurally bold, with a mission grounded in shared growth, sustainable development, and long-term regional cooperation. Projects under consideration range from a green hydrogen facility in Uzbekistan to a logistics terminal in western Kazakhstan.

A Council of Central Banks is under design with the policy goal of harmonizing currency regimes and macro-prudential rules across the region. Hungary, still nominally an observer, is adjusting its fintech regulations to stay in sync. Banks in Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan have begun partnerships with Turkish and Azerbaijani institutions. This evolution should not be misconceived as a financial bloc; it is becoming a zone of interoperable monetary systems, wiring a regional financial nervous system into place, segment by segment.

Human Capital and Functional Differentiation

Beyond the infrastructure, the joint ventures, and the funding, something slower but more decisive is happening. The capacity to sustain these projects is also being developed: human capital, vocational integration, and institutional depth. Over two million small and medium enterprises across the region are now in touch with the Union of Turkic Chambers and Commodity Exchanges (TOBB), which links them to a platform providing legal services, licensing support, and training across national lines. The TOBB acts as an umbrella organization for local and national chambers of commerce, industry, and commodity exchanges, with the intention of reinforcing the private sector’s unity and solidarity, professional discipline, and ethical business practices.

Education is adapting in parallel. Universities in Türkiye, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan are collaborating on scholarship programs — not just in theory, but in applied fields: law, logistics, engineering. In Kazakhstan, the Turan Special Economic Zone (SEZ) has fused technical training with economic function. Customs officers, project managers, logistics coordinators — are being trained where the work happens. Uzbekistan is building out the same model.

Across this network, roles are beginning to settle. Türkiye still leads in construction and defense. Azerbaijan holds the energy core and manages logistical throughput. Kazakhstan is increasingly the financial and infrastructural organizer. Uzbekistan is assembling industrial capacity. Kyrgyzstan is serving as a laboratory for digital services. Turkmenistan keeps its traditional position in hydrocarbons. Hungary provides the bridge to EU regulatory terrain. The TRNC contributes through its universities. This composite is what late 19th-century sociologists called the “division of labor” and what mid-20th-century political scientists called “functional differentiation”.

From Adjacency to Centrality

The OTS is not a single system, but it is also no longer a rhetorical idea. Its coherence is being produced in situ, not by design but through friction and iteration. Once institutional structures reach this level of entanglement, what holds them together is no longer aspiration but interdependence. What binds this system together is not any uniformity, but rather the very friction that has settled into structure. Across sectors and states, the OTS is producing coordination without centralization, alignment without hierarchy. Its coherence is not yet formal, but it is already operational. The region is ceasing to be “adjacent” to other regions; it is asserting its own “centrality” through autonomous integration and external networking.