Food Consumption - The Times Of Central Asia

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Society

Large Families in Kazakhstan Are Cutting Back on Food

A new study by analysts at Finprom.kz highlights a concerning trend: in Kazakhstan, food consumption declines as the number of children in a household increases, while the gap between low- and high-income families continues to widen. Drawing on data from the National Statistics Bureau for the fourth quarter of last year, the analysts found a clear pattern: per capita food consumption decreases as family size grows. In households with one child, per capita consumption of meat and meat products stands at 21.8 kg per quarter. In families with four children, this figure falls to 14.8 kg, roughly one-third lower. A similar pattern is evident across other food categories. In larger families, fish consumption is 33.4% lower, dairy products 26.4% lower, fruit 26% lower, and confectionery 22.8% lower. In households with five or more children, the disparities are even more pronounced. Year-on-year data show that the situation is deteriorating in families with four children, where consumption of staple foods continues to decline. Meat consumption fell by 3.2% (around 0.5 kg per person), fish by 5.6%, dairy products by 2%, and potatoes by 7.6%. By contrast, average consumption across Kazakhstan has not declined. On the contrary, overall food intake has increased slightly, suggesting that the negative trend is concentrated among larger, lower-income households. The disparity is particularly stark when comparing the wealthiest 10% of households with the poorest 10%. In the fourth quarter of last year, higher-income households increased consumption across most categories: meat by 3.8%, dairy products by 1.8%, eggs by 6%, and vegetables by 3.4%. Consumption of higher-cost items also rose, including fish and seafood (up 8%), oils and fats (up 10.8%), and confectionery (up 11.9%). In contrast, low-income households reduced consumption in several categories during the fourth quarter of 2025: fish and seafood fell by 11.9%, vegetable oils by 11.3%, and bread and cereals by 4.3%. Modest increases in some items, such as dairy products and eggs, did not offset the overall decline. Meat consumption illustrates the disparity most clearly. In higher-income households, per capita consumption rose from just over 25 kg to around 30 kg per quarter. In low-income households, it remains at approximately 10 kg. For comparison, the recommended daily intake for adults is about 150 grams, or roughly 18 kg per quarter. This suggests that lower-income groups consume significantly less than recommended levels. Overall, the gap between affluent and low-income households is substantial: nearly threefold for meat consumption, 2.4 times for dairy products, and 18.8% for bread and cereals.

Economy

Kazakhstanis Spend 57% of Their Household Budgets on Food

Despite reported growth in certain macroeconomic indicators, the financial situation of Kazakhstani households continues to deteriorate, according to analysts at Finprom.kz, who note a sharp increase in the share of food expenditures, now accounting for more than half of total consumer spending. In the third quarter of 2025, food expenditures reached 57.2% of overall household consumer spending, the highest level since 2021. A higher figure was recorded only in 2020, the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, when the share stood at approximately 58%. For comparison, in developed countries, food spending typically accounts for 10-15% of household budgets. In international practice, a level above 50% is generally regarded as an indicator of significant pressure on household incomes. Regionally, the burden is even more pronounced. The highest share of food expenditures between June and September 2025 was recorded in the Zhetysu region, at 65.8%. In the Turkestan region, the figure was 65.3%, and in the Almaty region, 62.2%. These regions are largely agriculturally oriented and have less diversified economies. The rising share of food expenditures is considered a key socio-economic indicator. An increase in this share reduces the resources available for education, healthcare, housing, and long-term savings or investment. The gap between urban and rural areas persists. In the third quarter of 2025, food spending accounted for 58.7% of total expenditures in rural areas, compared to 56.5% in urban areas. In absolute terms, urban food expenditures increased by 15.5% year-on-year, while rural expenditures rose by 11%. In cities, the largest increases were recorded in spending on meat and meat products (22.3%), fruit (18.6%), vegetables (16.8%), and oils and fats (16.4%). In rural areas, growth was more moderate, and spending on some categories, such as sugar and confectionery, declined. Differences are also evident in dietary structure. Rural residents spend more on bread and cereals, about $176 compared to $139 among urban residents, while urban households allocate more to dairy products, at $118 versus $93 in rural areas. The increase in the food burden has already been accompanied by a reduction in non-food spending. In urban areas, the share of non-food expenditures fell from 26% to 22.2%, and in absolute terms from $492 to $450. The sharpest declines were observed in spending on automotive goods and fuel, telecommunications, household appliances, home repairs, and interior renovation. At the same time, spending on medicines increased.

Family Budget

Kazakhstanis Spend Over Half Their Family Budget on Food

Over the past two decades, food expenditures have claimed an increasingly large share of Kazakh family budgets. According to analysts at Finprom.kz, food accounted for 55.4% of total consumer spending in 2024, nearly 10 percentage points higher than in 2004, when the figure stood at 45.7%. The rise has been gradual, with a peak of 58% during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, followed by a slight decline. The Growing Burden of Food Costs This trend signals concern about living standards. Under UN benchmarks using the Engel coefficient, households that spend over 50% of their income on food are considered to have a very low standard of living The burden varies significantly across Kazakhstan’s regions. In the capital, Astana, where average incomes are higher, food accounts for 49.4% of consumer spending. In contrast, the economically vulnerable Turkestan region reports a figure of 62.6%. High levels are also recorded in the Almaty (62.1%), Zhambyl (61.8%), and Zhetysu (60.9%) regions. This regional disparity is not new. In 2004, residents of the capital and central regions also spent less on food than those in the country’s western and southern areas. Back then, Atyrau, Mangistau, and Almaty regions led in food expenditure shares. Rising Food Budgets Driven by Consumption, Not Cuts Despite the heavier budget allocation toward food, Kazakhstanis are not cutting back. On the contrary, consumption has grown in several food categories. Compared to 2004, annual per capita meat consumption has doubled to 82.6 kg. Consumption of fish and seafood has risen by 79.5% to 14.2 kg, and sweets by 51.4% to 43.1 kg. Only two categories saw declines: fruit consumption dropped by 41%, and potato consumption by 8.5%. These changes suggest that the rising share of food expenditures is driven more by shifts in dietary preferences and expanded consumption than by inflation alone. Food Spending as a Barometer of Prosperity Kazakhstan ranks near the bottom globally for food expenditure efficiency. According to 2023 estimates by Euromonitor International, the country placed 99th out of 105, with food accounting for 49.4% of total consumer spending. In comparison, food spending made up 46.5% in Uzbekistan, 36.9% in Turkmenistan, and just 29% in Russia. In high-income countries, the figures are significantly lower: 6.7% in the United States, 8.4% in Singapore, and 8.7% in the United Kingdom. These disparities reflect not only income differences but also broader variations in economic structures and the effectiveness of social policies. A Symptom of Structural Strain The trend in Kazakhstan highlights a broader economic challenge. While food consumption has increased, the rising proportion of household budgets spent on food signals a systemic issue: wages and social benefits are not keeping pace with rising costs and evolving consumer expectations. As long as more than half of family budgets are directed toward food, substantial growth in other sectors of consumer spending remains out of reach.