Foreign Capital Inflows to Tajikistan Jump by One-Third, Approaching $7 Billion

Foreign investment in Tajikistan increased sharply in 2025, rising by more than one-third compared to the previous year, as the authorities also announced new investment agreements and long-term development strategies extending to 2040. Speaking at a press conference, Sulton Rahimzoda, chairman of the State Committee for Investment and State Property Management of the Republic of Tajikistan, said that by the end of 2025, total foreign capital inflows had reached $6,925.3 million. This represents an increase of $1,798.6 million, or 35.1%, compared to 2024. In absolute terms, the economy attracted nearly $1.8 billion more in foreign investment than a year earlier. According to the committee, $3,031.0 million of the total came from post-Soviet states in 2025, accounting for 43.8% of overall foreign investment. At the same time, countries outside the former Soviet Union accounted for the majority share. Tajikistan received $3,894.3 million from these countries, or 56.2% of total inflows. Investment from this group increased by $731.3 million year over year, or 23.1%. Authorities attributed the growth in foreign capital to improvements in the regulatory framework. On the initiative of the State Committee, a new version of the Law of the Republic of Tajikistan “On Investments and Stimulation of Investment Activity,” dated May 14, 2025, No. 2173, was adopted. Additional momentum came from the International Investment Forum “Dushanbe Invest - 2025,” held on October 14-16, where more than 50 cooperation agreements worth a combined $4.1 billion were signed.

Russian Inflows Drive Kyrgyz Remittance Surge

Kyrgyzstan recorded a sharp increase in remittance inflows during the first five months of 2025, reaching USD 1.367 billion —a 16% rise compared to the same period in 2024, according to data from the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic (NBKR). The increase was particularly notable in April and May, traditionally high-transfer months ahead of the summer season. In May alone, remittances totaled USD 299 million, up from USD 253 million in May 2024. Russia remains the dominant source of remittances, accounting for 94% of total inflows between January and May. The NBKR reported USD 1.2 billion in transfers from Russia during this period, reflecting a year-on-year increase of USD 188 million. This growth comes despite a significant drop in the officially registered number of Kyrgyz labor migrants in Russia from 650,000 in previous years to around 350,000 in 2025. Unofficial estimates, however, suggest the actual figure may exceed one million. The higher remittance volume suggests increased per-capita transfers or improved earnings among Kyrgyz migrants. In 2023, remittances from Russia stood at USD 2.532 billion. Even as the migrant workforce declined sharply in 2024, total transfers from Russia rose by USD 34 million, indicating persistent reliance on income from abroad. Other countries contributed relatively little to Kyrgyzstan’s remittance inflows. Transfers from the United States edged up to USD 27.6 million in the first five months of 2025, an increase of USD 600,000 from the previous year. In contrast, remittances from South Korea and Turkey declined sharply. Transfers from South Korea fell from USD 28.2 million to just USD 1 million, while Turkey’s contribution dropped from USD 6.9 million to USD 4 million. Remittances continue to play a central role in Kyrgyzstan’s economy, historically making up more than 30 percent of GDP. Yet the country’s ongoing reliance on Russia for these financial inflows highlights its exposure to external risks such as geopolitical tensions, currency fluctuations, and changes in foreign labor market policies. Looking ahead, the NBKR expects the upward trend in remittances to persist through 2025. However, long-term sustainability may hinge on diversifying migration destinations and strengthening domestic employment opportunities.