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BISHKEK (TCA) — The Times of Central Asia presents to its readers the International Crisis Group’s new briefing, Tajikistan Early Warning: Internal Pressures, External Threats, which examines the situation and argues that the country must become a conflict-prevention priority for the international community. Continue reading
ALMATY (TCA) — The year 2015 is bound to stay on people’s memories in Kazakhstan as the year everybody expected the curtain to fall – on people’s heads, that is. The current year, with the country’s national currency held by the fortunes of a ghost that keeps refusing to return into its bottle, unless cash flows are restored to durable levels. To allow this to happen, the government has resorted to what remarkably looks like Russia’s notorious stock-for-loans scheme worked out by the tandem Gaidar/Chubais in the mid-1990s. Will it work out this time? Continue reading
BISHKEK (TCA) — Defending the frontier with Afghanistan has become top priority for the three former Soviet republics bordering it in 2015. Whether that frontier could become a frontline or not depends on how much the other two are ready to contribute and how much stability they can maintain to do so. For Kyrgyzstan, the year 2015 is most likely to go into history as the year of the new revolution that never happened and the remarkable survival and strengthening of its parliamentary rule. It was, remarkably, much due to the personal input of President Atambayev, who is behind the party that has the largest faction in both the previous and the new parliament, that dark prophecies of “destabilisation” and “economic failure” failed to materialize, making Kyrgyzstan’s model go in the direction of the French than e.g. of the British one. Given the geopolitical and economic challenges in the region, this may well be a favourable option. Continue reading
BISHKEK (TCA) — Here below is an analysis by Stratfor’s analyst Eugene Chausovsky that explores the past, present and future of the confrontation between Russia and the West on the Eurasian landmass. This article is focused on Central Asia. Continue reading
BISHKEK (TCA) — Politically and economically, Central Asia will largely depend on Russia’s and China’s recovery and any prediction for 2016 can make sense only with consideration of the political and economic capabilities of these two countries. Continue reading
