Economic Growth - The Times Of Central Asia

Viewing results 1 - 6 of 14

Economic Growth Inclusivity

Kazakhstan Shapes an Ambitious Future

As Kazakhstan continues on its path towards economic expansion and modernization, it has set forth a revitalization and growth vision for 2024 and beyond, underpinned by a series of ambitious reforms and strategic investments. A central part to President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev’s vision, which he also detailed in a government meeting on February 7th, is the development of a sustainable and inclusive economy driven by innovation, strategic foreign investment and proactive engagement with the global community. Building on the 2023 growth momentum There are positive indications that Kazakhstan is on the right track, despite challenges posed by ongoing global geopolitical risks and uncertainties. Its strong economic expansion continued in 2023, as gross domestic product (GDP) increased by nearly 5% as of the third quarter. The government is aiming to accelerate the pace of growth further throughout the remainder of the decade. Tokayev said in his February 7th speech that the target was to increase economic output to $450 billion by 2029, stressing that to do this, the country will need 6% annual GDP growth. Attracting investment To achieve this ambitious goal, the country’s leadership is currently implementing a series of reforms, which are designed to attract a substantial influx of foreign investment (of at least $150 billion in total) by adopting environmental, social and governance (ESG) principles, as well as by enhancing the country’s overall investment climate. Examples of these initiatives include “green bonds” introduced in 2017; the sustainable finance initiatives presented since 2021 via the Astana International Financial Center, and the mandatory ESG reporting framework for companies listed on the Astana International Exchange. A pivotal element in Kazakhstan’s comprehensive series of economic reforms and investment strategies is the establishment of the Investment Headquarters, which is charged with the critical mission of enhancing the investment climate within Kazakhstan while ensuring qualitatively the proper execution of investment projects. At the same time, the government is working on a new Tax Code that should comprehensively reset the dynamics between the state and the private sector. The development of this code is guided by the need for a delicate balance between creating an environment conducive to investment, and securing the necessary revenues for the national budget. Local capacity building The strategic plan behind the reforms foresees the introduction and transfer of cutting-edge technologies, the localization of production processes, and the establishment of high value-added clusters. These clusters would be strategically focused on driving the acceleration of the manufacturing sector. Potential sectors to benefit from these clusters include green technology, finance, and agriculture. Furthermore, the legislative and institutional framework will be implemented through the enactment of a fresh law on industrial policy and the establishment of a new Ministry of Industry and Construction. A focus on standards of living These steps represent a commitment to improving the overall well-being of the population in tandem with ensuring economic growth. Tokayev has underscored that the focus of these efforts extends beyond merely achieving macroeconomic expansion and emphasized that economic developments must have a...

Economic Growth

Despite Challenges, Kyrgyzstan Showed Steady Economic Growth in 2023

Despite global uncertainties, Kyrgyzstan’s economic development in 2023 showed good results, the country’s Ministry of Economy and Commerce said on January 16th. Economic growth over the past three years averaged 6.9% — 5.5% in 2021, 9% in 2022, and 6.2% in 2023, indicating the stability of the economy and its gradual adaptation to the post-Covid world and current geopolitical uncertainty, the ministry said in a statement. According to preliminary estimates from the National Statistical Committee, in 2023 Kyrgyzstan’s gross domestic product amounted to $13.7 billion. In construction, growth was at 10.3%, in the services sector 6.2%, in industry 2.7%, and in agriculture 0.6%. Industries producing goods accounted for 32.3% of GDP, and industries providing services 50.8%. The volume of foreign trade from January-November 2023 amounted to $13.9 billion, an increase of 29% compared to January-November 2022. Kyrgyzstan’s exports amounted to $2.8 billion and increased by 36.7%, and imports amounted to $11.1 billion, up 27.2%. In the structure of trade turnover, exports accounted for 20.2%, and imports 79.8%. Kyrgyzstan’s trade with fellow member states of the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) - Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Russia - amounted to $3.9 billion, a decrease of 11% compared to January-November 2022. Kyrgyzstan’s largest trading partners were Russia (65.9%) and Kazakhstan (31.7%). Meanwhile, Kyrgyzstan’s trade with countries outside the EEU from January-November 2023 amounted to $10 billion, a 1.6-fold increase compared to January-November 2022.

Economic Growth

President of Uzbekistan Sets Economic Tasks for 2024

On January 16th, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev chaired a government meeting on priority tasks for the country’s economic development in 2024. It was stated that in 2023, economic growth was at 6%, and this year the plan is to maintain growth at the same level and bring gross domestic product to $100 billion. The head of state stated that with an increase in industrial production, the added value of products did not exceed 40%, which is mainly due to dependence on imports, high energy consumption, and excessive production costs. The President ordered that 2024 be a year of efficiency and production cost reduction for leaders of the economic sector and all state-owned enterprises. This year, the task is to increase the added value of domestic products to 45%, reduce production costs by 15%, and ensure industrial growth of 7%. Another source of budget revenue is privatization. However, 484 state assets included in the privatization program have yet to be put up for auction. Therefore, the President ordered the Cabinet of Ministers to prepare a new privatization program which aims to earn $1.6 billion in revenue this year. The meeting emphasized that a pressing issue today is the shadow economy, especially in the services sector, construction, and industry. Mirziyoyev stated that the shadow economy is an obstacle to fair competition, and outlined new measures to combat it. In particular, the powers of the Department for Combating Economic Crimes under the Prosecutor General's Office will be expanded, and a separate department to tackle the shadow economy will be created within the General Prosecutor's Office. Another important issue discussed at the meeting was inflation, which was at 8.77% last year, its lowest level since 2016. This year the plan is to keep inflation below 9%. Issues of lending were also discussed, with the task being set to develop a program to lower bank interest rates on loans by at least 2-3%.

SEZs Economic Growth

New City, Alatau, Established in Kazakhstan

By a decree dated January 9th, President Tokayev ordered that the village of Zhetygen in the Ili district of the Almaty region be classified as a city of regional significance and renamed Alatau. The new city is located 15 km from Almaty, and has a total area of 88,000 hectares and a population of 52, 700. The Ministry of National Economy said that the creation of the new city will allow for the modernization of road networks, engineering and social infrastructure, create new jobs, attract investment and technology, develop entrepreneurial activity, and increase tax revenues. A decision to expand the territory of the local Special Economic Zone (SEZ) from 30,000 to 96,500 hectares and rename the G4 City SEZ to the Alatau SEZ was also approved. As a result, the entire territory of Alatau and part of the nearby city of Konaev are now included within the territory of the SEZ. The SEZ is expected to host more than 170 projects with the creation of 110,000 new jobs, the ministry said. In November 2023, the Alatau project was discussed at a meeting chaired by Prime Minister Alikhan Smailov. According to the plan, the new city should become a magnet for attracting domestic and foreign investments and an international business hub operating to world standards based on the experience of such international business centers as Dubai, Singapore, and Tianjin. The development of Alatau will also facilitate an increase in the level of trade and investment interaction with China and Central Asian countries, launch new production and commercial projects, and introduce best practices in various spheres and industries. For this purpose, conditions and incentives will be provided to attract investments and for doing business in the new city and its SEZ, including tax and customs.

Foreign Investment Economic Growth

Kazakhstan Remains Regional Leader in Attracting Foreign Investment, Says PM

Despite the current global challenges, Kazakhstan remains attractive to foreign investors and is the leader in gross inflow of foreign direct investment in the Central Asian region. Last year, FDI in Kazakhstan grew by 18% and reached $28 billion - a record high for Kazakhstan over the past decade, Prime Minister Alikhan Smailov said in an interview with the 24KZ TV channel. In his words, $13.3 billion was attracted into the country’s economy in the first half of this year, and about $27 billion is expected by the end of the year. Smailov said this was largely possible thanks to the diplomacy of Kazakhstan's President Tokayev, who, in the face of complex geopolitical tensions, is consistently strengthening relations with a wide range of influential players including China, Europe, Russia, the U.S., Turkey, and the Arab world. The Prime Minister also spoke about measures the Government will take to double economic growth in the medium term. “The Government has been given a big task to double the national economy by 2029. In this regard, we will continue to work to stimulate economic activity in the country. We will further reduce inflation and ensure macroeconomic stability,” Smailov said. The Government also has designs on further improving the investment climate. “Every year, we plan to attract at least $25 billion of foreign direct investment. In the future, a nationwide pool of investment projects will be implemented. Thanks to this, more than 160,000 new jobs will be created,” said the Prime Minister. “All this will allow us to ensure economic growth in the medium term at a level of at least 6%. In general, the order of the Head of State to increase the volume of the national economy to $450 billion will be fulfilled,” Smailov concluded.

Economic Growth

Uzbekistan’s Economy Resilient to Global Challenges, Says IMF

According to the IMF in analysis posted on their website, Uzbekistan’s economy has demonstrated remarkable resilience to recent global challenges. Following geopolitical shocks, the economy saw an influx of migrants and a large increase in remittances in 2022, boosting domestic demand. This, coupled with higher external demand, led to real GDP growth of 5.7% in 2022, the head of an International Monetary Fund staff team said in a statement following their visit to Uzbekistan earlier this month. While remittances have fallen this year to the trend prevailing prior to Russia’s war in Ukraine, a sizable fiscal expansion, and high wage and export growth are expected to sustain real GDP growth at 5.7% in 2023. Strong imports and declining remittances will contribute to a higher external current account deficit this year. International reserves are expected to remain ample at eight-and-a-half months of prospective imports. By the end of 2023, the 12-month inflation rate is projected to decline by more than 3% compared to the same period last year, to 9%, helped by a value-added tax rate cut, and lower international food and energy prices. The IMF says the outlook for 2024 remains positive, and while risks remain, growth is projected to remain above 5%. “Preserving macro-financial stability and continuing structural reforms are key to bolstering resilience and sustaining robust economic growth amidst the challenging current global context,” the statement said. Accelerating World Trade Organization negotiations and cooperating with neighboring countries to improve transport routes will reduce transportation costs and open new markets for Uzbekistan’s products, the IMF statement concludes.