Electricity Generation in Kyrgyzstan Stagnates as Demand Surges
Electricity consumption in Kyrgyzstan has surged by nearly 25% over the past five years, rising from 15.4 billion kWh in 2020 to 19.3 billion kWh in 2025. However, electricity generation has remained virtually flat, increasing by just 0.1 billion kWh during the same period, according to data presented at the Ministry of Energy’s board meeting on January 23. The widening gap between supply and demand is attributed to sustained economic growth, the launch of new industrial facilities, and delays in commissioning new power infrastructure. Compounding the issue, hydropower output, the backbone of Kyrgyzstan’s energy mix, is increasingly constrained by declining water levels linked to climate change. In 2025, Kyrgyzstan's electricity generation structure was as follows: 12.9 billion kWh - large hydropower plants 0.223 billion kWh - small hydropower plants 0.234 billion kWh - mini-hydro, solar, and wind power plants 2.01 billion kWh - thermal power plants To meet domestic demand, the country imported 3.8 billion kWh of electricity from neighboring states. A key long-term solution lies in the construction of the Kambarata-1 hydropower plant, a strategic regional project being developed in cooperation with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. Once completed, the plant is expected to have a capacity of 1,860 MW and generate 5.6 billion kWh annually. In 2025, Kyrgyzstan updated the project’s feasibility study, originally prepared in 2014, finalized the dam type, and signed a contract with the tender winner. The World Bank is considering up to $1.5 billion in financing, while nine international donors have expressed interest in contributing an additional $2.5 billion. In parallel, the country is expanding its renewable energy portfolio. Eight small hydropower plants with a combined capacity of 44.6 MW and solar plants totaling 102 MW were commissioned in 2025. Investment agreements have also been signed for the construction of five solar plants and one wind farm with a total capacity of 3,150 MW. These projects represent a planned investment of approximately $4.2 billion. Additionally, on January 23, the Cabinet of Ministers signed a memorandum of understanding with China’s Kyrgyzstan Reclaim Co. Ltd. to build a 200 MW cascade of small hydropower plants on the Tar River in the Osh region. The investment is projected at around $300 million. Officials say these projects are aimed at boosting generation capacity and enhancing Kyrgyzstan’s long-term energy resilience amid growing domestic consumption.
