Energy Policy - The Times Of Central Asia

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Fuel Exports

Turkmenistan Introduces Fuel Limits for Vehicles Leaving the Country

Turkmenistan introduced new rules governing fuel exports at the beginning of April. Under the regulations, the amount of diesel in the tanks of vehicles leaving the country must not exceed 300 liters. If this limit is exceeded, a fee of approximately $1 per additional liter is charged. The new rules primarily affect heavy-duty trucks, which traditionally carry large volumes of fuel. Enforcement has been assigned to the State Border Service, the State Customs Service, and the state-owned company Turkmenneft. Specialists from the General Directorate of Türkmennebitönümleri, the entity responsible for the distribution of petroleum products, are tasked with measuring fuel volumes at border checkpoints. The fuel volume of each vehicle is checked and entered into an electronic system. If the limit is exceeded, the driver is issued two receipts: one remains with the driver, while the other is sent to a bank for payment. All measurements are also recorded in a dedicated logbook. According to the authorities, this system is intended to reduce the risk of fraud and informal payments. The reasons for tightening the regulations are clear. Diesel in Turkmenistan costs around $0.05 per liter. By comparison, in the summer of 2025, it cost about $1 in Uzbekistan, approximately $0.60 in Kazakhstan, and around $0.90 in Russia. This price disparity has long created conditions for black-market activity. Fuel is smuggled abroad and resold, while domestic shortages periodically occur. Drivers face restrictions at filling stations, and additional fuel is often sold at a surcharge that can reach 200% of the official price. As a result, the market has become distorted, with potential state revenue reportedly being diverted through corrupt practices. Another contributing factor is the recent rise in global fuel prices, driven in part by escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil and gas shipments. Similar measures have been introduced elsewhere in the region. Kazakhstan tightened regulations on the export of petroleum products and, in autumn 2025, imposed a full ban that remains in effect until May this year. Russia also restricted fuel exports starting April 1, with the measures expected to remain in place until at least July 31.

Oil Exports

Kazakhstan Seeks to Expand Oil Exports Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

Kazakhstan is seeking to reinforce its status as a stable oil supplier while accelerating the diversification of export routes and revising the terms of cooperation with foreign investors amid growing geopolitical uncertainty. These priorities were outlined by Energy Minister Yerlan Akkenzhenov during a speech at the CERAWeek conference in Houston and in a series of meetings with major international oil and gas companies. Discussions focused on structural changes in the global oil industry, ranging from geopolitical instability to the reconfiguration of logistics chains. According to the minister, Kazakhstan remains resilient while adapting to evolving conditions. Energy security continues to be a central concern for the sector, particularly the reliable operation of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), through which the majority of Kazakhstan’s oil exports are transported. This route remains the most cost-effective and strategically important option. Authorities have openly acknowledged its critical role in the national economy, stressing the need to ensure uninterrupted transit. At the same time, efforts to develop alternative routes, including the Trans-Caspian corridor and increased shipments to China, are part of a strategy to reduce logistical and political risks. On the sidelines of the forum, government officials held talks with leading energy companies including Chevron, ExxonMobil, and Shell, all key investors in Kazakhstan’s oil and gas industry. Discussions with Chevron focused on expanding production at the Tengiz and Karachaganak fields, as well as developing export infrastructure. ExxonMobil reaffirmed its interest in increasing output at Tengiz and Kashagan, where localization levels are high, with Kazakhstani specialists accounting for more than 90% of the workforce. Talks with Shell focused on boosting production and expanding refining capacity, including refinery modernization and the production of winter-grade diesel fuel. In addition to operational issues, the discussions addressed the question of redistributing roles within joint projects. Kazakhstan is considering independently implementing certain gas-processing initiatives after partners failed to reach a final investment decision on the Karachaganak project. The development of the petrochemical industry and the expansion of refining capacity have been identified as separate priorities. Kazakhstan plans to double its oil-refining capacity to meet domestic demand and increase exports of petroleum products. To attract investment, the government has introduced a revised model contract offering tax incentives and encouraging geological exploration. Experts say Central Asia’s role in the global energy sector is increasing, with Kazakhstan playing a key part in regional stability. The minister said the country’s strategic objective is to maintain the sector’s investment appeal while ensuring maximum economic returns for the national economy. “Kazakhstan remains a predictable and reliable supplier of energy resources and is ready to translate the trust of its partners into the development of technological projects within the country,” Akkenzhenov said. The Times of Central Asia previously reported that Italian energy company Eni is accelerating the expansion of its projects in Kazakhstan. The company plans to complete construction of a hybrid power plant in Zhanaozen, one of the country’s main oil and gas hubs, by the end of the year.

Natural gas

Russia Increases Natural Gas Exports to Uzbekistan

Russia significantly increased natural gas exports to Uzbekistan in 2025, with deliveries rising by about 30% to more than 7 billion cubic meters via the Central Asia–Center pipeline system, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). The increase came despite an overall decline in Russia’s gas production and a sharp drop in exports to Europe, pointing to Central Asia’s growing role in Moscow’s energy strategy. In its latest report, the IEA said natural gas output across Eurasia fell by an estimated 2% in 2025, largely due to lower production in Russia. Preliminary data point to a 3% decline in Russian gas output, or around 22 billion cubic meters, amid weaker domestic demand and shrinking exports. Domestic deliveries dropped by nearly 3%, with the sharpest decline recorded in the first quarter, when milder winter temperatures reduced heating demand. At the same time, pipeline gas exports to Europe plunged by roughly 25% year on year following the halt of transit through Ukraine on January 1, 2025. The shortfall was only partly offset by increased supplies to China and Central Asia. Exports to China via the Power of Siberia pipeline rose by 25% to nearly 39 billion cubic meters, while shipments to Uzbekistan through Kazakhstan continued to increase. The IEA also noted diverging trends across Central Asia’s gas sector. Turkmenistan’s gas production rose by about 3% to roughly 80 billion cubic meters. By contrast, Uzbekistan’s output fell by 4.5% in the first 11 months of 2025 due to upstream capacity constraints. Kazakhstan, meanwhile, recorded a gain of more than 10% in sales gas production, although regional pipeline exports to China declined by around 5%. Against this backdrop, Russia is moving to formalize energy ties with Central Asian countries. The Russian Energy Ministry announced the creation of a joint energy working group following expert-level consultations held under the “Central Asia–Russia” framework at the Russian Foreign Ministry. Deputy Energy Minister Roman Marshavin, who participated in the talks, said the working group will operate at the deputy minister level and include representatives from Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan. The body will be tasked with implementing the Joint Action Plan for 2025-2027, adopted at the second Central Asia-Russia summit in Dushanbe in October 2025. The ministry said the group will focus on coordinating fuel and energy policy and overseeing the implementation of decisions approved by regional leaders.

Energy Policy

Tokayev Calls Nuclear Power a Correction of Kazakhstan’s “Historical Absurdity”

President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has described Kazakhstan’s push to build nuclear power plants as a correction of a “historical absurdity”, namely, that a nation which ranks among the world’s top producers and exporters of uranium has yet to harness this resource for domestic electricity generation. In October 2024, a nationwide referendum showed broad public support for the development of nuclear energy. Following the vote, Tokayev announced plans to construct at least two nuclear power plants, with a third to follow. In June 2025, Russian state corporation Rosatom was selected to build the country’s first nuclear power plant near the village of Ulken, on the western shore of Lake Balkhash, about 400 kilometers northwest of Almaty. Contracts for the second and third plants were later signed with the China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC). “The construction of several nuclear power plants is, on the one hand, a correction of the historical absurdity – to be a world leader in the production of uranium and not to build any nuclear power plants, on the other, it is the prestige of Kazakhstan,” Tokayev said in an interview with Turkistan newspaper, published on the official Akorda website. According to Tokayev, reliable electricity generation is essential for Kazakhstan’s transition to a new technological model of the economy. He emphasized that the development of supercomputers, data centers, and automated industrial systems requires substantial energy resources. “This is the reality of the new global technological order,” he stated. Tokayev has consistently argued that Kazakhstan must become a digital power, framing digitalization as a matter of national survival. He believes society is mentally prepared for innovation, citing the success of fintech companies and the expansion of digital government services. “We have good starting conditions and have made progress in the digitalization of public services, fintech, and several sectors of the economy. The ecosystem supporting IT startups is functioning effectively,” the president noted. He added that for continued progress, Kazakhstan requires stable, environmentally friendly, and high-capacity energy sources, needs best met by nuclear power. Tokayev also highlighted the importance of personnel in building a nuclear energy sector. He said the development of nuclear power will contribute to the emergence of a new class of technical intelligentsia, which could ultimately influence state policy. “Qualified specialists are needed to create modern energy sources. The head of NVIDIA, the world's largest company by market capitalization, predicts that in the near future, multimillionaires will include representatives of technical professions, the so-called ‘blue-collar workers’,” Tokayev said. As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, Kazakhstan plans to train nuclear energy specialists abroad through the Bolashak state program.

Natural gas

Uzbekistan Suspends New Gas Connections for Homes to Conserve Energy

Uzbekistan has halted the issuance of technical permits for new natural gas connections in residential and commercial buildings that use gas exclusively for heating or cooking. Minister of Energy Jurabek Mirzamahmudov announced the decision on October 28, according to Gazeta.uz. The measure applies to newly built properties that consume gas purely for combustion rather than industrial production. “This does not concern only apartment buildings,” Mirzamahmudov said. “According to a Cabinet of Ministers resolution, starting this year, technical permits for gas connection are no longer issued to consumers who use gas solely for burning. However, if gas is used to create added value in industry, that is allowed, because resources are limited.” Existing buildings already connected to the gas network will not be affected. In new developments, gas stoves will be replaced with electric ones, and heating will be provided through centralized or local boiler systems. The minister said that the rational use of resources has become a national priority, particularly given the country’s reliance on certain external energy supplies. “Since there are alternative sources, such as electric stoves for cooking and electricity for heating, they serve the same purpose,” he added. Mirzamahmudov said that the country’s centralized heating network is being expanded during the current heating season, with several projects under development through public-private partnerships. “Urban networks are being modernized, and cogeneration facilities are under construction. For example, on November 18 in Samarkand, during an international forum, we plan to sign a heating supply agreement based on a public-private partnership with a Saudi company,” he noted, likely referring to a project in Nukus involving the Emirati firm Tadweer. The policy shift comes amid a continued decline in domestic gas output. Uzbekistan’s natural gas production fell by 4.2% in the first two months of 2025 compared to the same period last year. Production has steadily dropped from 61.59 billion cubic meters in 2018 to 44.59 billion in 2024. The new restrictions reflect the government’s growing efforts to conserve resources and improve nationwide energy efficiency.