Kazakhstan Data Centers: Will There Be Enough Electricity and Customers?

Kazakhstan aims to become a regional hub for data processing and artificial intelligence (AI). Data Center Valley is under construction in Ekibastuz, United States-based Firebird is involved in preparations for a major computing complex, and new fiber-optic lines are expected to connect the country to Europe across the Caspian Sea. Authorities hope to attract billions of dollars in investment and develop hundreds of megawatts (MW) of capacity. The main questions are whether the power grid can meet such demand and whether there will be enough international customers. Ekibastuz: The First 50 MW of a Promised Gigawatt At the center of these plans is Data Center Valley in Ekibastuz, an industrial city in northeastern Kazakhstan. The complex is eventually expected to expand to 1 gigawatt (GW) of capacity. According to the government, the first phase is designed for 50 MW. By August, earthworks were approximately 90% complete, and builders had begun laying foundations, with the first facility scheduled to launch in June 2027. Firebird AI: $10 Billion in Agreements On October 2, national telecommunications operator Kazakhtelecom, KT-Telecom, and Firebird AI KZ signed an initial agreement covering the construction and long-term leasing of computing infrastructure. Earlier, the government announced a package of agreements worth up to $10 billion with Firebird, involving U.S.-based NVIDIA as a technology partner. The project provides for the potential deployment of up to 100,000 graphics processing units (GPUs), specialized chips used to train and run AI systems. For now, the $10 billion represents the announced value of the agreements. How much money will go directly toward construction and equipment purchases has not been publicly disclosed. Singapore-based Energy Capital Global has also expressed interest in Kazakhstan’s market. The company is considering a data center campus at Data Center Valley with an initial phase of approximately 100 MW and the potential to expand to 1 GW. In August, it signed a memorandum of understanding with KT-Telecom. Trans-Caspian Cable: A New Data Transmission Route Data centers need fast communications links to serve international customers. Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan are developing an undersea fiber-optic connection between Aktau and Sumgait. On October 6, Kazakhstan's Minister of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Development, Zhaslan Madiyev, announced that the approximately 390-kilometer undersea section of the cable had been completed. The line is scheduled to launch in October 2026. The Trans-Caspian route is intended to connect China and Central Asia with the South Caucasus and Europe. For Kazakhstan, it offers an opportunity to reduce dependence on Russian transit routes. According to the Caspian Policy Center, approximately 95% of the country's outbound international internet traffic passes through Russia. Kazakhstan is also building an approximately 4,500-kilometer West–East fiber-optic backbone, connecting the Caspian coast with the Chinese border. More than 2,200 kilometers have been laid, with construction scheduled for completion by the end of 2026. The new routes would also provide alternative connections, reducing the risk of widespread disruptions if individual lines are damaged. The Existing Market: Tens of Megawatts Versus Hundreds Planned As of October 7, 2026, the industry directory...