• KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00197 0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.09154 -0.11%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00197 0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.09154 -0.11%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00197 0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.09154 -0.11%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00197 0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.09154 -0.11%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00197 0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.09154 -0.11%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00197 0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.09154 -0.11%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00197 0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.09154 -0.11%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00197 0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.09154 -0.11%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
11 February 2025

Viewing results 1 - 6 of 5

Kazakhstan to Offset Oil Overproduction in 2024

Kazakhstan has pledged to compensate for excess oil production in 2024, reaffirming its commitment to the OPEC+ agreements. At the 58th meeting of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, Kazakh representatives confirmed the country's readiness to take necessary measures in 2025 and 2026 to meet its obligations under the OPEC+ framework. "Despite increased production this year due to the expansion of the Tengiz field, Kazakhstan remains committed to the OPEC+ agreement and will engage in negotiations with partners in accordance with international law," the Ministry of Energy stated. OPEC+ Efforts to Stabilize the Market The February 3 meeting marked the first OPEC+ gathering of 2025. Participating ministers emphasized that voluntary production cuts, implemented by several member states in December 2024, have contributed to oil market stability. Previously, on December 5, 2024, OPEC+ agreed to extend voluntary oil production limits of 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first quarter of 2025. The decision was made in response to a seasonal slowdown in demand during the winter months. A gradual easing of restrictions is expected to continue until September 2026. The next OPEC+ monitoring committee meeting is scheduled for April 5.

Kazakhstan Revises 2025 Oil Production Target Amid OPEC+ Commitments

Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Energy has lowered its 2025 oil production target by one million tons as part of the country’s commitment to meeting its obligations under the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) agreements. In 2024, Kazakhstan had already reduced oil production by 2.5 million tons compared to its original plan. The revised target for 2025 now stands at 96.2 million tons, down from the 97.2 million tons announced in December 2024. Despite the reduction, Prime Minister Olzhas Bektenov has instructed the Energy Ministry to implement stronger measures to increase natural gas and oil production to meet planned output levels. Frequent revisions to production forecasts in 2024 highlighted the ongoing challenges in achieving production stability. The lowered forecast is attributed to several factors, including extended maintenance shutdowns at major oilfields. The Tengiz oilfield experienced shutdowns in May and August, totaling 50 days, while the Kashagan oilfield underwent maintenance for 21 days. Additionally, an unscheduled shutdown occurred at the Karachaganak field. Production was further impacted by limitations on gas intake at the Orenburg gas processing plant, which affected operations at Karachaganak. Planned maintenance at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC)—the primary route for Kazakh oil exports—also constrained transportation capacity. Compliance with OPEC+ agreements added to the reductions in production. In mid-2024, Kazakhstan, alongside Russia and Iraq, submitted compensation schedules to OPEC to fulfill their obligations to cut oil production after exceeding quotas under the OPEC+ agreement. Under this plan, Kazakhstan began reducing production by 18,000 barrels per day in July and further cut output by 265,000 barrels per day in October 2024. These reductions will continue until September 2025. Oil export revenues in 2024 amounted to approximately 2 trillion KZT ($3.8 billion), while total budget revenues from the oil sector exceeded 2.3 trillion KZT ($4.4 billion). As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, the National Bank of Kazakhstan recently lowered its forecast for oil prices in 2025, reducing the projected cost from $82.5 to $70 per barrel. This, combined with the revised production volumes, is expected to further impact revenues from the oil sector.

National Bank of Kazakhstan Predicts Higher 2025 Oil Prices Than Bank of America

The National Bank of Kazakhstan (NBK) has revised its forecast for 2025 oil prices, lowering the projected cost from $82.5 to $70 per barrel. Despite this adjustment, the NBK remains more optimistic than Bank of America, which recently reduced its 2025 oil price forecast to $65 per barrel. Bank of America’s Forecast Initially, Bank of America analysts projected Brent oil prices at $80 per barrel for 2025, aligning closely with the NBK's earlier forecast of $82.5. However, last week, Francisco Blanch, head of global commodities and derivatives research at Bank of America, announced a significant revision, citing oversupply and reduced demand driven by the global shift toward cleaner energy sources and transportation. The new forecast sets oil prices at $65 per barrel. NBK’s Adjusted Outlook In its updated Monetary Policy Report, the NBK revised its oil price forecast for 2025 to $70 per barrel, compared to an average of $80.3 in 2024. The adjustment reflects weaker anticipated demand from China and OECD countries, coupled with slower global economic growth. The NBK noted that "the relaxation of production restrictions by OPEC+ countries starting in 2025, alongside increased output from North and South America, will likely create a supply surplus in the oil market." External Influences The U.S. presidential election results could also impact global oil dynamics. President-elect Donald Trump and his administration have pledged to sharply increase domestic oil production beginning in January 2025, aiming to reduce petroleum prices. Additionally, Trump has suggested a potential withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement, which could further incentivize support for U.S. oil companies. For Kazakhstan, declining oil prices present significant fiscal challenges. According to the Ministry of Finance, the country collected 655.2 billion KZT ($1.2 billion) in mineral extraction tax (MET) from oil companies during the first 11 months of 2024. Oil export revenues contributed approximately 2 trillion KZT ($3.8 billion), bringing total budget revenues from the oil sector to over 2.3 trillion KZT ($4.4 billion) this year. The potential reduction in oil prices could, therefore, have a substantial impact on Kazakhstan’s economy, particularly on its budgetary revenues derived from the oil industry.

Tajikistan Signs First Stage of $100 Million Contract with OPEC Fund for Rogun HPP

On October 10, during a visit to the headquarters of the OPEC Fund in Vienna, a delegation from the Republic of Tajikistan, led by Deputy Prime Minister Usmonali Usmonzoda, signed a contract marking the completion of the first stage of the Credit Agreement between the two parties to finance the Rogun HPP (Lot 4) project. The project aims to promote the republic's energy security and economic development by increasing the production of electricity to supply the domestic market and its export to the region's countries. A total of  $100 million allocated by the OPEC Fund for the project, will be implemented in four stages under separate agreements worth $25 million. The rating agency S&P has estimated the cost of completing the construction of the Rogun HPP in Tajikistan as $6.4 billion. According to S&P, the Rogun HPP currently produces electricity at 10-15% of its total capacity. In 2024-2035, income from electricity which is expected to reach $1.1 billion, will be invested in further construction of hydroelectric power plants. On September 17, during the summit of the Central Asian countries and Germany, in Astana, President of Tajikistan, Emomali Rahmon, invited German Chancellor Olaf Scholz to cooperate on the Rogun HPP. Since then, The Times of Central Asia has been reporting on loans allocated for the plant’s construction.

OPEC Fund to Allocate $500 Million for Tourism, Logistics Development in Uzbekistan

A delegation of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) International Development Fund headed by President Abdulhamid Alkhalifa participated in the events of the Tashkent International Investment Forum. The OPEC Fund and the Government of Uzbekistan signed agreements on joint activities and financial commitments worth $500 million. The funds will be used for the development of tourism, logistics, pharmaceuticals, ecology, support for women's entrepreneurship, and youth initiatives. The OPEC delegation will visit the facility of water supply and wastewater disposal in the Samarkand region, which was financed by the organization. This project provides the basic tools to improve health and living conditions for 70,000 local residents. For 25 years, the OPEC Fund has been working with Uzbekistan, providing it with $760 million in loans. This financial support has helped provide drinking water to remote areas and modernize Uzbekistan's energy sector. This year's Tashkent Investment Forum was attended by 2,500 delegates - government leaders, heads of major companies and representatives of the United Nations (UN), the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).