Fuel Exports - The Times Of Central Asia

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Fuel Exports

Kazakhstan Weighs Kyrgyz Fuel Request as Export Ban Extension Looms

Kazakhstan is considering Kyrgyzstan’s request for gasoline supplies following an official appeal from Bishkek, Deputy Energy Minister Kaiyrkhan Tutkyshbayev has said. At the same time, the Kazakh government plans to extend its ban on fuel exports until May 2027. In late June, Russia, which supplies around 90% of Kyrgyzstan’s fuel imports, imposed a full ban on exports of gasoline and jet fuel. In early July, Kyrgyzstan’s Ministry of Energy announced that it had begun negotiations with several countries to diversify fuel imports. Speaking after a government meeting on July 7, Tutkyshbayev confirmed that Kazakhstan had received an official request from Bishkek. “We have received an official request from the Kyrgyz side, and it is currently under consideration,” Tutkyshbayev said. “All decisions will be made with due regard to Kazakhstan’s national interests and domestic market balance. However, I can state officially that fulfilling such a request would not lead to higher fuel prices within Kazakhstan. We will review the request in the near future and provide our response.” The deputy minister did not specify the volumes requested. As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, Kyrgyzstan has also sent official requests to the relevant authorities in Russia, Belarus, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan as part of efforts to secure alternative fuel supplies following Russia’s export restrictions. Tutkyshbayev also said Kazakhstan’s Energy Ministry had not received an official Russian request for fuel supplies, despite Reuters reporting earlier that Moscow was in talks to import about 50,000 metric tons of AI-92 gasoline from Kazakhstan after refinery outages and drone strikes cut Russian gasoline output by roughly 25%. Tutkyshbayev acknowledged a sharp increase in gasoline consumption in Kazakhstan’s three regions bordering Russia, West Kazakhstan, Pavlodar, and Aktobe, which may indicate cross-border fuel flows. “Some motorists install additional fuel tanks on their vehicles,” he said. “We are monitoring the situation closely, and together with other government agencies we have stepped up efforts to combat the illegal export of fuel from Kazakhstan.” Meanwhile, Kazakhstan is preparing to extend its existing ban on fuel exports from November 22, 2026, until May 22, 2027. A draft order published on the government’s Open NPA portal would prohibit exports of gasoline, diesel fuel, and certain petroleum products by road and rail, including shipments to fellow members of the Eurasian Economic Union. The draft also proposes a separate ban, from January 1 through June 30, 2027, on exports outside the Eurasian Economic Union customs territory of light distillates, jet fuel, diesel fuel, gas oil, toluene, xylene, and petroleum bitumen. The proposed restrictions underline the tension in Kazakhstan’s fuel policy: Astana wants to protect its domestic market in the short term, even as it plans major oil and petrochemical investments and has set a long-term goal of increasing fuel exports.

Fuel Supply

Kyrgyzstan Seeks Alternative Fuel Suppliers as Russian Export Restrictions Hit

Russia’s restrictions on fuel exports are expected to put pressure on Kyrgyzstan, which remains heavily dependent on Russian petroleum supplies, First Deputy Prime Minister Daniyar Amangeldiev has said. Amangeldiev told 24.kg that the government had already moved to extend the existing duty-free fuel import mechanism in order to help stabilize the domestic market. “This issue has already been agreed within the ‘group of five’,” he said, referring to the member states of the Eurasian Economic Union. He said the fuel market remained stable for now and assured the public that the government was taking steps to prevent shortages of gasoline, diesel and aviation fuel. The comments followed an emergency meeting chaired by Prime Minister Adylbek Kasymaliev on fuel supply security, during which officials reviewed stock levels and import flows. Government officials said geopolitical tensions and disruptions to logistics were continuing to affect fuel markets and add pressure on prices. Authorities are also accelerating efforts to diversify fuel imports. Participants in the meeting said new supply channels were already being negotiated, with some concrete agreements reached. Kasymaliev ordered daily monitoring of fuel supplies and weekly coordination meetings to ensure a rapid response to emerging risks. On July 1, Kyrgyzstan’s Energy Ministry said it had launched talks with several countries to expand fuel imports and reduce dependence on a single supplier. Official requests have been sent to authorities in Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan as Bishkek seeks to secure additional supplies. The ministry said Kyrgyzstan imports the vast majority of its fuel and remains vulnerable to fluctuations in global oil prices, geopolitical instability in the Middle East, and disruptions to international logistics. Officials added that domestic fuel reserves are currently sufficient and that deliveries under previously signed contracts are continuing. The Energy Ministry said it is conducting daily monitoring together with the anti-monopoly regulator and holding consultations with fuel traders on logistics, pricing and stockpiling. As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, the impact of Russia’s fuel restrictions is already being felt across the region. Kyrgyzstan has recently reported supply disruptions involving premium AI-95 and AI-98 gasoline. Kanatbek Eshatov, head of the country’s Association of Oil Traders, said some filling stations had experienced interruptions because of reduced and irregular Russian deliveries, combined with seasonal demand. Kyrgyzstan receives more than 90% of its gasoline imports from Russia. Between January and May 2026, Russia supplied more than 251,000 tons of gasoline, 235,150 tons of diesel fuel, and 48,150 tons of jet fuel to Kyrgyzstan, according to industry estimates.

Fuel Exports

Turkmenistan Introduces Fuel Limits for Vehicles Leaving the Country

Turkmenistan introduced new rules governing fuel exports at the beginning of April. Under the regulations, the amount of diesel in the tanks of vehicles leaving the country must not exceed 300 liters. If this limit is exceeded, a fee of approximately $1 per additional liter is charged. The new rules primarily affect heavy-duty trucks, which traditionally carry large volumes of fuel. Enforcement has been assigned to the State Border Service, the State Customs Service, and the state-owned company Turkmenneft. Specialists from the General Directorate of Türkmennebitönümleri, the entity responsible for the distribution of petroleum products, are tasked with measuring fuel volumes at border checkpoints. The fuel volume of each vehicle is checked and entered into an electronic system. If the limit is exceeded, the driver is issued two receipts: one remains with the driver, while the other is sent to a bank for payment. All measurements are also recorded in a dedicated logbook. According to the authorities, this system is intended to reduce the risk of fraud and informal payments. The reasons for tightening the regulations are clear. Diesel in Turkmenistan costs around $0.05 per liter. By comparison, in the summer of 2025, it cost about $1 in Uzbekistan, approximately $0.60 in Kazakhstan, and around $0.90 in Russia. This price disparity has long created conditions for black-market activity. Fuel is smuggled abroad and resold, while domestic shortages periodically occur. Drivers face restrictions at filling stations, and additional fuel is often sold at a surcharge that can reach 200% of the official price. As a result, the market has become distorted, with potential state revenue reportedly being diverted through corrupt practices. Another contributing factor is the recent rise in global fuel prices, driven in part by escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil and gas shipments. Similar measures have been introduced elsewhere in the region. Kazakhstan tightened regulations on the export of petroleum products and, in autumn 2025, imposed a full ban that remains in effect until May this year. Russia also restricted fuel exports starting April 1, with the measures expected to remain in place until at least July 31.

Energy

Kazakhstan Enforces Fuel Export Ban

Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Energy has confirmed that the country’s six-month ban on fuel exports remains in full effect, with no gasoline shipments currently sent to Uzbekistan or other neighboring countries. Officials acknowledged a single exception earlier this year, when surplus volumes of AI-92 gasoline were exported to Uzbekistan in the spring. The ministry characterized the shipment as a routine measure aligned with international practice, designed to optimize domestic storage and increase tax revenues. Since June, all fuel exports have been suspended to build strategic reserves ahead of scheduled maintenance at Kazakhstan’s oil refineries. The ban, introduced on May 19, covers gasoline, diesel, and other petroleum products. Reports of Fuel Shortages and Smuggling Speculation over renewed fuel shortages in Kazakhstan surfaced in local media on September 22, with reports citing illegal cross-border smuggling as a contributing factor. Some sources also claimed that Uzbekistan had increased purchases of Kazakh gasoline amid a decline in fuel imports from Russia. In response, the Ministry of Energy reiterated that no current fuel exports are taking place and emphasized that the export moratorium is being strictly enforced. Uzbekistan’s Fuel Market in Transition Uzbekistan’s state energy company Uzbekneftegaz recently announced plans to phase out production of AI-80 gasoline starting in September. Beginning in 2026, the country intends to supply only higher-octane grades, including AI-92 and AI-95, to align with international fuel standards. The regional fuel market has already undergone significant restructuring. In April 2024, the Telegram channel Oil & Gas of Kazakhstan reported that Uzbekistan was scaling back crude oil imports from Kazakhstan in favor of cheaper Russian supplies. During the first quarter of 2024, Uzbek companies imported 15,200 tons of crude oil from Kazakhstan by rail, down from 25,600 tons during the same period in 2023. Most of this volume was refined at the Ferghana plant. Meanwhile, Russia’s Gazprom Neft significantly expanded deliveries to Uzbekistan. In the first quarter of 2024, the company shipped 75,000 tons of crude via pipelines through Kazakhstan, nearly seven times more than the 10,700 tons delivered a year earlier.

Fuel Exports

Central Asia Grapples with Fuel Shortages Amid Market Volatility

The heavy reliance on fuel imports from Russia is placing Central Asian countries in an increasingly precarious position. Disparities in pricing and exchange rates are driving a surge in illicit fuel resales, exacerbating supply challenges across the region. Gasoline and diesel prices continue to climb, and shortages are being felt widely. This dependence on Russian supplies is particularly concerning following U.S. President Donald Trump's ultimatum to Moscow: end the war in Ukraine within ten days or face 100% tariffs on countries trading oil and petroleum products with Russia. The tariffs could take effect as early as next week, placing Central Asian states in a hugely vulnerable position. Kazakhstan: Shortages and Shadow Exports In early July, motorists across Kazakhstan reported widespread shortages of AI-95 gasoline, particularly along the Karaganda-Balkhash and Astana-Pavlodar highways and in the country’s western regions. Some filling stations restricted purchases of AI-95 to 30 liters per vehicle, and AI-98 was only available via coupons. The Ministry of Energy attributed the shortages to increased tourist and transit traffic. Price caps on gasoline were lifted in January 2025, after which they began to steadily rise. According to the Ministry of Energy, fuel in Kazakhstan remains significantly cheaper than in other Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) member states, prompting the government to gradually align prices with the regional market. Forecasts suggest gasoline prices could rise by up to 50%, further fueling inflation and impacting all sectors of the economy. The government argues that maintaining artificially low fuel prices would require substantial budget subsidies. The resulting price differentials have made illegal fuel exports more profitable, aggravating domestic shortages. To combat speculation, Kazakhstan imposed a ban in January on exporting gasoline and diesel by road and rail. Despite the country’s ongoing efforts to expand domestic production, Kazakhstan is expected to import substantial volumes from Russia in 2025: 285,000 tons of motor gasoline, 300,000 tons of jet fuel, 450,000 tons of diesel, and 500,000 tons of bitumen. Experts caution that significant increases in domestic output may not materialize until 2030. Russia’s decision on July 28 to tighten its gasoline export ban to include large producers is further complicating the situation. The embargo, introduced amid record-high exchange prices, is expected to last through August. Nevertheless, Energy Minister Erlan Akkenzhenov insists the Russian export restrictions will not affect Kazakhstan, citing a standing intergovernmental agreement that exempts the country from such measures. The Rise of Grey Market Schemes Despite official reassurances, fuel prices continue to rise. Energy expert Olzhas Baidildinov warns of a growing shadow market, driven in part by the weakening of the Kazakh tenge against the Russian ruble. With the exchange rate at 6.6 tenge per ruble, the economic incentive for illicit exports from Kazakhstan remains strong. Baidildinov predicts further shortages by the autumn if this trend continues. Kyrgyzstan: Growing Dependence Kyrgyzstan, which has faced repeated fuel shortages in recent years, has seen prices rise sharply. Over the past decade, the cost of AI-92 has climbed by 52%, AI-95 by 57%, and diesel, used in agriculture...

Fuel Exports

Kazakhstan Plans to Export Up to a Third of Its Fuel Production by 2040

The government of Kazakhstan has approved a long-term development strategy for the oil refining industry for the period 2025-2040, significantly increasing its forecast for petroleum product exports. The new plan triples previous export projections, aiming for exports to account for 30% of total production by 2040. According to the strategy, key priorities include expanding refining capacity and boosting exports to China, India, and neighboring Central Asian countries. By comparison, in May 2024, the Ministry of Energy had presented a separate draft strategy looking toward 2050, which proposed limiting fuel exports to 10%, and only in cases where domestic supply exceeded demand. Refinery Modernization and Capacity Goals The new strategy builds on recent progress. Following the modernization of Kazakhstan’s three largest refineries, Atyrau, Pavlodar, and Shymkent, total oil processing capacity reached 17 million tons per year. The plan envisions boosting this figure to 39 million tons annually by 2040. “The refining depth has already reached 89%, and the motor fuel produced now meets Euro-4 standards and higher. These improvements have allowed us to meet 90-95% of domestic demand and created favorable conditions for the export of high value-added products,” the Ministry of Energy stated. The strategy calls for expanding existing facilities and constructing a new petrochemical complex to raise refining depth to 94%. This will ensure full domestic fuel coverage amid projected annual demand growth of 1.5-2%, driven by urbanization and industrial development. A major focus will be the advancement of Kazakhstan’s oil and gas chemical industry, including the production of polymers, fertilizers, and other high-value products. Up to $5 billion is expected to be invested in this sector. “The strategy is designed to attract foreign investment, particularly given the country’s reserves of 30 billion barrels of oil. In the context of the global energy transition, this will position Kazakhstan as a regional leader in hydrocarbon processing and enhance economic resilience to global commodity price fluctuations,” the ministry emphasized. Implementation is scheduled to begin in 2025 with pilot projects for refinery digitization. Current Production and Export Landscape In 2024, Kazakhstan’s refineries produced 13 million tons of petroleum products, 1% more than in 2023, according to national oil and gas company KazMunayGas. This included 4.3 million tons each of gasoline and other fuels, and 4.4 million tons of diesel. Kazakhstan also imported 1.2 million tons of fuel from Russia. Prior to the reintroduction of export restrictions in 2024, the country exported 13,500 tons of motor fuel. Similar bans were in place in 2021, 2023, and 2024, meaning Kazakhstan’s fuel exports effectively occurred only in 2020 (nearly 120,000 tons) and 2022 (1,800 tons). As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, Kazakhstan is planning to invest $15 billion in its oil and gas chemical sector as part of six major projects aimed at strengthening downstream capacity and export potential.