Kazakhstan: Devaluation deflates a dispirited population
ASTANA (TCA) — The new fall of the Kazakh tenge against the US dollar has again hit the pockets and purchasing power of ordinary Kazakhstanis. We are republishing this article on the issue, written by Almaz Kumenov, originally published by Eurasianet: When Almaty resident Alina Seitova first made plans to tour Europe, Kazakhstan’s currency, the tenge, was in far better shape. Following the tenge’s recent slide, that trip has been put off – “until better times,” Seitova told Eurasianet. “I saved up for months for this trip, so my daughter and I could go for what would, possibly, be the best holiday of my life. We will just have to buy dollars and tighten our belts. The experts are saying the tenge may fall even further,” Seitova said. Over the summer, the tenge has slipped around 11 percent to the dollar and the euro, considerably weakening people’s buying power. The official rate currently stands around 370 to the greenback, though a dollar can fetch a few more tenge on the open market. The tourism sector was one of the first to feel the pain. Almaty tourism agency Rio Tour told Eurasianet that many clients have, like Seitova, cancelled holiday plans at the last minute, since the cost of travel abroad is inescapably tied to currency rates. Research by Kazakhstan-based monitoring agencies show that Kazakhs are also purchasing more dollars this summer, compared with spring, further pressuring the tenge. Monetary authorities have traditionally allowed the tenge to weaken in response to a fall in the price of oil, Kazakhstan’s most valuable export commodity. This August, the National Bank announced that the most recent slide was caused by a range of geopolitical troubles, including U.S. sanctions on major trading partners like Russia and Turkey. The regulator said it was prepared to intervene to calm markets. Kazakhs may have gotten off relatively lightly this time, though. Previous devaluations were far deeper. In one big bang, the National Bank allowed the tenge to fall 24 percent in February 2009; then by 19 percent in February 2014. The most dramatic collapse began in August 2015, when the National Bank allowed the tenge to float so as to keep its gold reserves intact. The currency later stabilized at somewhere near half its former level. The predominance of imports on Kazakhstan’s market means devaluations always hit hard. Dmitry Sinitsyn, a designer from Astana, recalled how he was unable to buy a computer monitor on the morning of that black day in February 2009. “I went onto the electronic equipment store’s website and I saw a blank page that just had the words: ‘We’re in shock too!’ The management had changed the prices,” he told Eurasianet. Almaty realtor Nurgali Amankulov told Eurasianet that following the previous devaluation, he saw many blow-ups and arguments. “Just imagine, you have decided to buy an apartment, you agreed on a price and you left a deposit. And then after the dollar spikes, the seller increases the price by 20 percent,” he said....
