Kazakhstan Targets Further Reduction in Shadow Economy With AI-Driven Monitoring
Kazakhstan’s government has approved a 2026–2028 Action Plan to reduce the shadow economy through greater use of artificial intelligence and the digital tenge. The plan also calls for further digitalization in sectors most vulnerable to informal economic activity. The government hopes that the measures will reduce the shadow economy's share of GDP from 16.7% in 2025 to 13.8% by 2028, a decline of nearly three percentage points over the next three years. According to the Prime Minister's Office, Kazakhstan has already modernized 20 government information systems in recent years, dismantled the financial infrastructure supporting illegal online casinos with a turnover of approximately $4.2 billion, and prevented unjustified public spending totaling around $765 million. Officials said these efforts helped reduce the shadow economy’s estimated share of GDP from 24% in 2019 to 16.7% in 2025. "The main objective of the Action Plan is to reduce the shadow economy, ensure fair competition, increase business transparency, and boost budget revenues without imposing new obligations on entrepreneurs," the government said. A unified AI-powered monitoring platform will be central to the strategy. The system will combine data from government agencies to identify signs of hidden economic activity and flag risks in real time. Officials say this will help prevent violations before they cause budget losses. The plan contains 53 measures focused on improving economic transparency and accelerating digitalization in sectors with elevated risks of informal activity. The government has identified trade, construction, transport, agriculture, healthcare, and education as priority sectors for the new system. Retail trade will be another focus. The government plans to continue developing the Digital Bazaar, an electronic platform launched in late 2024 to bring Kazakhstan’s traditional markets and trading venues online. More products will be added to the mandatory digital-labeling system, while the National Product Catalogue will be extended. These measures are intended to make supply chains more transparent and curb counterfeit goods. They are also expected to create fairer conditions for businesses. Controls over excise goods and socially important products will be further automated. The government also plans tighter oversight of e-commerce platforms and online marketplaces, along with closer integration of state information systems. In the social sector, digital tools will be used to monitor the quality of services and track prices. They will also help authorities oversee public spending. The government plans to increase the use of the digital tenge, Kazakhstan’s central bank digital currency. It is already being used in selected government programs to improve the traceability of public funds. As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, the digital tenge officially became a legally recognized form of Kazakhstan's national currency on July 18, providing the legal foundation for its broader use in government payments and public finance.
