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Poverty

World Bank Report Highlights Poverty and Inequality Challenges in Kazakhstan

The World Bank has released its Kazakhstan Poverty and Equity Assessment 2024, urging policymakers to adopt pro-poor fiscal policies, improve education quality, and enhance climate resilience to address poverty and inequality in the country. According to the report, Kazakhstan’s poverty reduction has slowed in recent years despite significant progress since the early 2000s. “Between 2006 and 2021, economic advancement significantly improved living standards and reduced poverty rates in Kazakhstan. However, economic growth has slowed since 2014, and the pace of poverty reduction has fallen. The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated these challenges, highlighting the need for resilient and inclusive economic strategies presented in this report,” said Andrei Mikhnev, World Bank Country Manager for Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan’s economy has grown exponentially since 2006, with an average annual growth rate of 4.7 percent. This growth helped lift 5.9 million people out of poverty, reducing the poverty rate from 49.5 percent to 8.5 percent. However, the report identifies three phases of Kazakhstan’s poverty reduction journey: 2006-2013: Rapid poverty decline driven by strong economic growth. 2014-2016: Reversal during the economic downturn, raising poverty rates. 2016-2021: Resumed poverty reduction but at a slower pace The report highlights that Kazakhstan’s middle-class households with a low probability of falling into poverty grew 2.5 times, reaching 67 percent of the population in 2021 compared to 26 percent in 2006. However, this expansion has stagnated since 2013 due to slower structural transformation and productivity growth. Income inequality has also increased. The Gini index, a measure of inequality (0 = perfect equality, 100 = extreme inequality), rose from 24.3 in 2015 to 26.4 in 2021, driven by faster income growth among high-income households. Although fiscal policies, such as taxation and social spending, have mitigated some inequality, the report recommends making fiscal measures more progressive and pro-poor to maximize their redistributive impact. Poverty rates in rural areas (11.4 percent) remain significantly higher than in urban centers (6.6 percent). The southern Turkistan region now accounts for a disproportionate share of the poor population. Alarmingly, poverty has become more concentrated among children and large families, with children comprising 40 percent of the poor in 2021, up from 27 percent in 2006. The report underscores the critical role of human capital investment in achieving long-term poverty reduction and growth. While access to education in Kazakhstan is nearly universal, significant disparities in quality and outcomes persist. The Human Capital Index indicates that children in Kazakhstan achieve only 53–64 percent of their productivity potential, with regional and socio-economic inequalities exacerbating the issue. Climate-related shocks present additional risks, particularly for rural and vulnerable populations. The report calls for targeted investments in infrastructure and social transfers to build resilience against these challenges. To reduce poverty and inequality, the report suggests: Enhancing fiscal policies through progressive taxation and better-targeted social transfers. Improving education quality and outcomes, particularly for disadvantaged groups. Building resilience to climate shocks by investing in infrastructure and providing targeted support to low-income households. The report concludes that sustained policy reforms will be essential for Kazakhstan to maintain economic progress,...

TAPI

Turkmenistan and Afghanistan to Accelerate TAPI Gas Pipeline Project

During a working visit to Afghanistan on December 15, Turkmenistan’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Rashid Meredov, met with Afghanistan’s Acting Foreign Minister, Amir Khan Muttaqi, to review the progress of major energy, transport, and infrastructure projects involving Turkmenistan in Afghanistan, the Turkmen Foreign Ministry reported. The ministers inspected the ongoing construction of the Afghan section of the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) natural gas pipeline and agreed to accelerate its implementation, according to TOLOnews. Turkmenistan has already completed its section of the TAPI pipeline, designed to transport 33 billion cubic meters of Turkmen natural gas annually to Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India. The $10 billion TAPI project will span 1,814 kilometers, with 816 kilometers crossing Afghanistan. The pipeline will help meet Afghanistan’s domestic gas needs while generating approximately $450 million annually in transit fees. The pipeline will extend from Afghanistan to Quetta and Multan in Pakistan before reaching Fazilka in India. As part of the visit, the Turkmen foreign minister also inspected the construction of a fiber-optic communication line and a warehouse complex at the dry port of Turgundi railway station, located in Afghanistan’s northern Herat Province. Meredov further assessed progress on the Turgundi-Sanabar section of the Turgundi-Herat railroad. The Times of Central Asia previously reported that construction of the Afghan section of the TAPI pipeline officially began on September 11, 2024. Once operational, the TAPI pipeline will enable Turkmenistan — currently exporting natural gas primarily to China — to diversify its export routes. The project aligns with Turkmenistan’s broader plans to deliver gas across the Caspian Sea to Azerbaijan, Turkey, and Europe.

International Finance

AIIB Approves $250 Million to Support Uzbekistan’s Climate Transition

The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has approved a $250 million program to support Uzbekistan’s transition to a green and sustainable economy. The funding will help Uzbekistan achieve its goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions per unit of GDP by 35% by 2030, compared to 2010 levels, and foster sustainable economic growth. The program focuses on three key areas. First, it aims to strengthen governance by improving climate policies and integrating climate goals into national decision-making processes. Second, it addresses better management of water and land resources, reduces climate risks, and supports economic development. Finally, the program promotes low-carbon solutions in energy, transportation, and e-mobility, with a strong emphasis on energy efficiency and sustainable practices. The initiative encourages state-owned enterprises to adopt climate risk disclosure practices and expand renewable energy projects. AIIB Vice President Konstantin Limitovskiy emphasized the importance of the collaboration between AIIB, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), and Uzbekistan. “By integrating climate priorities into economic planning, enhancing adaptation measures, and driving decarbonization in critical sectors like energy and transport, this program plays a key role in supporting Uzbekistan’s efforts to implement its 2030 national strategy and fulfill its Nationally Determined Contribution under the Paris Agreement,” he said. Kanokpan Lao-Araya, the ADB Country Director for Uzbekistan, highlighted that climate change presents a substantial challenge to the country’s long-term economic stability. She emphasized that the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) are collaborating to support Uzbekistan in achieving resilient, inclusive, and low-carbon economic growth. Uzbekistan’s Ministry of Economy and Finance will lead the program, with support from other government agencies. AIIB and ADB will oversee its implementation to ensure it aligns with Uzbekistan’s broader development goals.

Energy Security

Kyrgyzstan Faces Electricity Deficit of 3.9 Billion Kilowatt-Hours

Kyrgyzstan is grappling with an electricity deficit of 3.9 billion kilowatt-hours as authorities struggle to resolve recurring winter energy shortages despite the construction of new hydroelectric power plants and electricity imports from neighboring countries. President Sadyr Japarov addressed the issue in a recent interview with the state news agency. Japarov acknowledged that the electricity shortfall remains unresolved, attributing it to the growing demand driven by an increasing number of social and infrastructure projects. “Our electricity is cheap. At a production cost of 2.7 Kyrgyz som (KGS) [approximately $0.031] per kilowatt-hour, consumers purchase it for 1.1 KGS. Additionally, under the Family Assistance program, we supply electricity to 69,000 families at a subsidized rate of 0.5 KGS per kilowatt-hour. Moreover, 186,000 consumers in mountainous areas receive electricity at 1.1 KGS without restrictions,” Japarov explained. The president also criticized wasteful electricity consumption in both public and private sectors, citing a lack of awareness and accountability. “Employees and heads of public institutions, schools, and kindergartens irresponsibly leave lights on in workspaces, assuming the state will pay for it. Similarly, street lighting remains on unnecessarily,” Japarov said. For the past 30 years, Kyrgyz citizens have endured periodic electricity blackouts. Japarov urged them to remain patient for another three to four years, assuring that the energy deficit would be resolved with the completion of the Kambarata Hydroelectric Power Plant-1 project, which is expected to stabilize the country's power supply.

Transport

Transforming Kazakhstan’s Railways: Strategic Infrastructure for Regional and Global Connectivity

Kazakhstan’s rail network is a strategic national asset, vital for a country of its vast size and landlocked geography. Without direct access to the world’s oceans, railways serve as critical arteries for trade and transit. Under new geopolitical and logistical conditions, the importance of modernizing and expanding this network has become increasingly urgent. Spanning 21,000 kilometers, Kazakhstan’s railroads form the backbone of its transportation infrastructure. By 2030, the country plans to modernize 11,000 kilometers of highways and construct over 5,000 kilometers of new railways. Among these ambitious projects are the construction of second tracks on the Dostyk-Moyinty railway section, a bypass railway line around Almaty, and two new lines: Darbaza-Maktaaral and Bakhty-Ayagoz. Expanding Trade with China: Increased Cargo Traffic The Dostyk border station has become a key hub for exports to China and a vital transit point for East-West trade. In recent years, growing cargo volumes and limited capacity have placed immense pressure on its infrastructure. The Dostyk-Alashankou junction point, with a current capacity of 20 million tons annually, handled 15.2 million tons in the first 10 months of this year alone - a 15% increase compared to the same period last year. To address these challenges, construction of second railroad tracks on the Dostyk-Moyinty section began in November 2022. Part of the National Project: Strong Regions - Driver of the Country's Development, this project aims to increase the section’s capacity fivefold, from 12 to 60 train pairs per day. Transportation speeds between China and Europe are also set to improve significantly, from the current 800 kilometers per day to 1,500 kilometers per day. Official data indicates that 635 kilometers of the planned 836 kilometers have already been completed. The project involves 62 bridges, 242 pipelines, and a workforce of 24 construction companies and over 440 units of equipment. Completion is expected by late 2025. Private Investments Driving New Railway Lines Kazakhstan’s second major rail crossing with China, Altynkol station, has also reached its maximum capacity. Together with Dostyk, the two stations handle 28 million tons annually. This makes the development of the new 272-kilometer Bakhty-Ayagoz railway line essential. Connecting the border to the Semey-Aktogay section and the China-Europe corridor, the new line is expected to boost goods transportation to and from China by an additional 20 million tons. This project, realized under a public-private partnership model, will feature the construction of 11 stations, 47 bridges, 23 railroad overpasses, and eight highway overpasses. It will also include five pedestrian bridges and 16 observation structures, utilizing over 500,000 locally manufactured sleepers and 36,000 rails. Approximately 1,700 jobs will be created during the construction phase, with priority given to local residents. Alleviating Traffic in Almaty: A New Bypass Line The 73-kilometer bypass railway line around Almaty is set to increase cargo capacity by 17 million tons annually. By redirecting traffic to the Zhetygen-Kazybek Bey line, this project will reduce congestion at the Almaty junction by 40%. Faster delivery times for goods and passengers - up to 24 hours shorter - are among...

Energy

Uzbekistan Energizes Growth with $7 Billion in New Energy Projects

On December 13, Uzbekistan’s President Shavkat Mirziyoyev inaugurated operations for 18 new energy facilities and launched the construction of six additional projects. Together, the 24 initiatives represent an investment of over $7 billion. The ceremony marked a significant milestone for Uzbekistan’s energy sector, connecting the national power grid to five solar and wind power plants with a combined capacity of approximately 2,300 megawatts. Additionally, five high-voltage substations were commissioned in the Bukhara, Navoi, Namangan, and Tashkent regions. The country’s first energy storage system, with a capacity of 300 megawatts, began operations in the Andijan and Fergana regions. New power facilities launched include a 400-megawatt plant in Kashkadarya, a modern cogeneration plant in Tashkent, and four small hydroelectric power plants in Andijan, Surkhandarya, and Tashkent regions. Mirziyoyev also initiated construction on six power-generating facilities with a total capacity of 2.5 gigawatts in the Fergana, Samarkand, Navoi, and Tashkent regions, as well as in the city of Tashkent. These projects will collectively produce an additional 9.5 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity, sufficient to power more than 4 million households. They are also expected to save 2.5 billion cubic meters of natural gas and reduce emissions by 4.6 million tons annually. Foreign Investment Fuels Energy Transformation Mirziyoyev highlighted the pivotal role of foreign investment in these initiatives. Companies from the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, China, and Germany are leading the projects, supported by international financial institutions such as the Asian Development Bank, the Islamic Development Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and the World Bank. Uzbekistan aims to produce 84 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity in 2025—an increase of 25 billion kilowatt-hours compared to 2016. Over the past five years, the energy sector has attracted $20 billion in foreign direct investment. Solar and wind power plants with a total capacity of 3,500 megawatts have already been launched, producing 10 billion kilowatt-hours annually and raising the share of "green" energy to 16% of the total energy mix. The country’s GDP reached a historic $100 billion last year, and plans are underway to double this to $200 billion by 2030. Such economic growth will drive a 1.5-fold increase in electricity demand over the next five years. Key Priorities for Uzbekistan’s Energy Sector Mirziyoyev outlined three strategic priorities for the energy sector: Expansion of Renewable Energy By 2030, Uzbekistan plans to add 19,000 megawatts of renewable energy capacity, increasing the share of "green" energy to 54%. In 2025, the country will commission 18 solar and wind power plants with a combined capacity of 3,400 megawatts, along with energy storage systems totaling 1,800 megawatts. This is expected to boost "green" energy production to 12 billion kilowatt-hours annually. Liberalization of the Electricity Market Uzbekistan will continue to liberalize its electricity market, with plans to establish a competitive wholesale electricity market by the end of 2025. Public-private partnerships will be introduced in energy distribution, and $4 billion will be invested to modernize power grids across the country. Expanding International Cooperation The government will enhance international collaboration in...