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Can the Aral Sea Be Saved?

Thanks to cooperation between the Central Asian states, the ultimate demise of the Aral Sea has been prevented. This year, the Northern Aral Sea has significantly replenished its water reserves. The Northern portion of the Aral Sea has received 12.5 times more water this year than the previous year - up to 75 cubic meters per second, the Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation of Kazakhstan stated in July. The Syr Darya River delivers 650 cubic meters of water per second to the Kyzylorda Oblast. "Joint work has been carried out with Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. In particular, approved water supply schedules are being observed,” Minister of Water Resources and Irrigation, Nurzhan Nurzhigitov explained. Formerly the world's fourth-largest lake covering 68,000 km², the destruction of the Aral Sea first dates back as far as the U.S. Civil War, when, finding his supply of American cotton under threat, the Russian Tsar decided to use the sea’s tributaries to irrigate Central Asia and create his own cotton bowl. With 1.8 million liters of water needed for every bale of cotton, the water soon began to run out. From the 1960s onwards, the sea level began to decline rapidly due to water withdrawal from the main feeder rivers, the Amu Darya and Syr Darya. The local population was growing, and fields needed irrigating. In 1989, the sea split into the Northern (Small) and Southern (Large) Aral reservoirs. [caption id="attachment_21020" align="aligncenter" width="591"] The former port of Zhalanash, Kazakhstan; image: TCA, Stephen M. Bland[/caption] Since independence, the rate of shoaling and desertification have continued to increase. Up until the late-1990s, the land surrounding the Aral Sea was still cotton fields; but today, it’s largely an expanse of salinized grey emptiness. The desiccation of the landscape has led to vast toxic dust-storms that ravage around 1.5 million square kilometers. Spreading nitrates and carcinogens, these storms – visible from space – used to occur once every five years, but now strike ten times a year. By 2007, the Aral had shrunk to one-tenth its original size. In 2014, the eastern part of the Southern Lake dried up completely, and the sea's area reached a historical low of 7,297 km². Over half a century, the volume of water had decreased 30-fold, and the sea's salinity has risen sharply. Nevertheless, Kazakhstan still manages to preserve the remnants of the once colossal lake; the region's fisheries and farms continue, and rare species of birds still inhabit the lands surrounding the shoreline. Today, most scientists say restoring the Aral Sea completely is impossible, but Kazakhstan is attempting to preserve the Northern portion, sometimes referred to as the "Small Aral Sea." In 1993, the International Fund for Saving the Aral Sea (IFSAS) was established, which united Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, and Tajikistan in this most challenging of tasks. At the time of IFSAS creation, the water area stood at approximately 36,000 km². Over the following decades, it continued to decline, and in 2001 Vozrozhdeniya (Renaissance) Island became connected to the mainland. Vozrozhdeniya contains...

Kazakhstan’s Akims to be Given Appraisals Using KPIs

Kazakhstan's prime minister Olzhas Bektenov has instructed that the country's akims (heads of local government) should have their work evaluated using key performance indicators (KPIs). These KPIs reflect how well they are able to improve their citizens' welfare. The basis for monitoring will be the platform “Digital Family Map,” which tracks the welfare of Kazakh families in five categories, from crisis to prosperity. The work of akims will be evaluated by the dynamics of the families' transition from the lowest to the highest categories. This system has already received positive feedback from the UN and international institutions. The “Digital Family Map” platform, introduced in 2022, stores information from various government agencies, allowing proactive state support. Akims must use this tool to plan and implement measures to reduce poverty, unemployment, and hidden employment. Bektenov emphasized the importance of targeted work with families in crisis. The project “Social Purse,” which ensures transparency and timeliness of state support, was also considered. In the pilot mode, benefits for school meals and medicines are already provided. To compensate for the increase in fuel, lubricants, and commodity gas prices, it plans to launch assistance in purchasing projects on socially significant products, technical rehabilitation equipment for the disabled, and vouchers for socially vulnerable populations. In addition, the project “Voucher Financing of Preschool Organizations” was presented, aiming to improve the quality of educational services. The state order funds will be transferred to kindergartens only after the parents have chosen them, increasing competition and reducing corruption risks. The Ministry of Education is tasked with completing the pilot project in Taraz and Shymkent and scaling it up from January 1, 2025.

Kazakhstan Looking to Develop Tourism

In recent years the government has made sizeable efforts to develop the country’s tourism industry. Today, more than ten tourist clusters are being developed in Kazakhstan, including the Almaty agglomeration, the resorts of Burabay, Katon-Karagay, and Bukhtarma in the East Kazakhstan Region, the Caspian resort areas in the west of the country, and ancient Turkestan. [caption id="attachment_20746" align="aligncenter" width="479"] @iStock, Charyn Canyon[/caption] A lot has been done, but there is more to do In June of this year, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev held a meeting on developing tourism, where he outlined new priorities. “Today, the share of tourism in GDP has exceeded 9%. So, we can say that this indicator is returning to pre-pandemic levels. About 10% of jobs in the world are provided by tourism. Thirty percent of world exports, 7% of investment, and 5% of tax revenues are attributable to tourism services sector. Kazakhstan has everything necessary for the development of all types of tourism: from environmental to business,” he noted. “Almost 90% of foreign tourists in Kazakhstan come from neighboring CIS countries. There are still a few tourists from further abroad. Meanwhile, international research shows that more than 70% of travelers prefer to visit vacation destinations within a four-hour flight. That is, Kazakhstan can be very attractive to tourists from China, India, East Asia, and the Middle East. At the same time, we must take into account specific issues related to the national mentality of foreign tourists, their interests and demands, and not approach all tourists with a single program. This requires qualified cadres and the will to do quality work. Within five years, we can double or even triple the number of tourists. We need to develop air transportation. First of all, we need to expand the presence of low-cost airlines on popular air routes.” As the most promising destinations, President Tokayev cited the mountain cluster in the Almaty Region, Caspian Sea beaches in the Mangistau Region, and the Shchuchinsk-Burabay resort area in Akmola Region. Almaty was singled out as the locus of tourism development in Kazakhstan. The city accounts for a quarter of the country’s total tourist flow, including half of foreign tourists. President Tokayev also noted shortcomings: in some resort areas, there is not enough capacity, logistics need to be developed, and personnel training is lagging. [caption id="attachment_20747" align="aligncenter" width="456"] @borovoe.kz, Burabay resort area[/caption] Higher rankings and higher investment In May, Kazakhstan rose in the World Economic Forum’s latest Travel & Tourism Development Index, jumping 14 spots to rank 52nd out of 119 countries, ahead of Qatar, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Vietnam, Egypt, and Latvia. Kairat Sadvakassov, chair of the state company, Kazakh Tourism, called this a victory. “Our long-term goal is to break into the top 50 of this ranking. Now, we are only two spots away from [achieving] this goal. This became possible thanks to the coordinated work of central government entities and local executive-branch entities, associations, businesses, and universities,” explained Sadvakassov. This year, the Ministry of Tourism and Sports expects more than 10 million...

Kazakhstan Intensifies Efforts to Combat Extremism

There appears to be a small, but growing problem with terrorism and extremism in Kazakhstan. More than 30 people from regions around the country have been detained in Kazakhstan so far in 2024, and in March, Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) killed two Kazakh citizens who were in Russia, allegedly to carry out a terrorist attack. In response, the country’s Committee for National Security (KNB) had conducted dozens of raids. Kazakhstan’s government gave the KNB additional powers to monitor the internet, and authorities are tightening the law on religion. Kazakhstan’s southern neighbors, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, border Afghanistan. Tajikistan and Uzbekistan have had problems with the Taliban and other militant groups during the last 25 years. These include domestic terrorist groups, the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan and the Tajik-led Jamaat Ansarullah, both of which have been based in northern Afghanistan. Kazakhstan has largely avoided problems with Islamic radicals. Citizens from all the Central Asian states have gone to Afghanistan and Middle Eastern countries to join jihadist groups, including a small number of Kazakh citizens. Turkey extradited a 22-year-old Kazakh citizen back to Kazakhstan on January 27, 2024. The Kazakh national, according to the KNB, was a “native of the Turkestan region [who] went to Syria in 2020, where he joined one of the armed groups operating there.” The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) released a propaganda video in November 2014 that showed Kazakh nationals, including children, in a training camp in Syria. The video described them as “some of our newest brothers from the land of Kazakhstan.” A group of some 25 men whom authorities said were Islamic militants staged attacks in the northwestern Kazakh city of Aktobe, near the Russian border in early June 2016. The group robbed two stores that sold hunting rifles and were involved in shoot-outs with the police and soldiers. At least 25 people were killed, most of them the attackers. Deputies in Kazakhstan’s Mazhilis, the lower house of parliament, voiced concerns in October 2023 that radical forms of Islam were spreading in Kazakhstan. Controversial MP Yermurat Bapi said followers of these radical Islamic groups were taking over bazaars in the Atyrau, Aktobe, Mangystau, Ulytau, and Almaty provinces. Bapi and 13 other deputies called on the government and KNB to take measures against these groups and stem extremist and terrorist propaganda from being disseminated inside Kazakhstan. On February 17, 2024, the KNB staged a combined 49 raids on eight unspecified religious extremist groups in the Aktobe, Atyrau, East Kazakhstan, Zhambyl, West Kazakhstan, Turkestan, and Zhetysu provinces. The KNB said it detained 23 people and seized weapons, ammunition, religious literature, narcotics, and cash. On April 1, 2024, the KNB detained a man in the Caspian coastal city of Aktau and found material for making explosives. According to the KNB, the suspect was a follower of a “radical religious ideology,” and was planning to carry out a terrorist attack.” At the start of July, five people were detained in KNB raids in the Atyrau and...

China to Help Kazakhstan Plant Artificial Forests on the Aral Sea

On July 23, Kazakhstan’s minister of ecology and natural resources Erlan Nysanbayev met scientists from the Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, part of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, to discuss the creation of artificial forest plantations on the dried base of the Aral Sea. Following a proposal to establish a joint Kazakh-Chinese center to resolve environmental issues on the Aral Sea, the Chinese scientists will visit the Kyzylorda region to closely examine work being undertaken on the dried sea base. Spanning across Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, the Aral Sea was once the fourth largest inland body of water in the world, covering 68,000 km². The destruction of the Aral Sea first dates back as far as the U.S. Civil War, when, finding his supply of American cotton under threat, the Russian tsar decided to use the sea’s tributaries to irrigate Central Asia and create his own cotton bowl. With 1.8 million liters of water needed for every bale of cotton, the water soon began to run out. By 2007, the Aral had shrunk to one-tenth its original size. Up until the late-1990s, the land surrounding the Aral Sea was still cotton fields; today, it’s largely an expanse of salinized grey emptiness. The desiccation of the landscape has led to vast toxic dust-storms that ravage around 1.5 million square kilometers. Spreading nitrates and carcinogens, these storms – visible from space – used to occur once every five years, but now strike ten times a year. According to reports, Kazakhstan intends to plant saxaul shrubs on 1.1 million hectares of dried-up sections of the Aral Sea by 2025. Through joint efforts of the Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources and the region's administration, 544,500 hectares of saxaul have been sown over the past three years, with a further 275,000 hectares to be planted on the former seabed this year. Wind-borne salt and dust cause significant damage to areas adjacent to the Aral Sea and their inhabitants. Every year, over 100 million tons of salt, dust, and sand are blown from the bottom of the former Aral Sea and mixed into the air.

A Eurasian Perspective on the Historic Conviction of U.S. Senator Bob Menendez

On July 16, a federal court in New York found United States Senator Robert "Bob" Menendez (D) guilty on 16 counts in a corruption trial, including charges of accepting bribes to benefit the governments of Egypt and Qatar, obstruction of justice and extortion. He is the first U.S. senator to be convicted as a foreign agent and the charges collectively carry a potential sentence of 222 years in prison. Bribery charges involved receiving gold bars worth over $100,000 and more than $480,000 in cash as well as a Mercedes-Benz for his wife. “This wasn't politics as usual. This was politics for profit,” summarized Damian Williams, an attorney for the Southern District of New York. According to federal prosecutors, among other things, Menendez helped secure millions of dollars of U.S. aid for Egypt and used his office to assist a multi-million-dollar deal with a Qatari fund. Egypt’s intelligence and military officials are said to have bribed him and his wife at a time when U.S. military aid to the country would have paused due to human rights concerns. Menendez also used his official position “to protect and enrich” individuals in exchange for payments, including helping a New Jersey businessman secure a halal certification monopoly with regards to U.S. meat exports to Egypt. Striking similarities to another recent “influence-for-sale” scandal For many Europeans, this U.S. case resembles the European Union’s own Qatargate scandal, which broke out in 2022 and unveiled how foreign governments (Qatar, Morocco and Mauritania) have been channeling hundreds of thousands of euros to a ring of elected European Parliament officials who, in turn, were leveraging their authority to benefit these clients. The services included “attempts to manipulate the Parliament” and “scheming to kill off six parliamentary resolutions condemning Qatar’s human rights record” as Politico reports. In his plea deal, Antonio Panzeri, the chief of the European Parliament's Subcommittee on Human Rights (DROI), admitted to receiving bribes as well as to leading and participating in a criminal organization. This criminal organization reportedly doled out bribes to EU officials through two NGOs named Fight Impunity and No Peace Without Justice, which were allegedly set up to launder money and help fund the scheme. In Menendez’s case, the money ran through his wife’s consultancy. Qatargate allegations extended beyond the Middle East and North Africa. For instance, Atlantico.fr reported that Panzeri and his associates may have been corrupted by at least two Kazakh criminal figures. Europeans appeared lenient on corruption as Panzeri only received a five-year prison sentence, of which four would be suspended and the one year he’d serve would be under house arrest with an electronic bracelet. Momentum behind investigations of key suspects has since waned, leading the EU Observer to call Qatargate “a missed opportunity to bring Europe to justice”. Foreign policy priorities pushed by Senator Menendez need to be re-examined When public officials are found to have used their office to promote external interests, their past policy activities should be closely examined. Bob Menendez has been a member of...