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Espionage

Bulgarian Spy Ring Attempted to Threaten Kazakh President’s Western Ties

A spy cell in the UK, including five Bulgarian nationals, targeted multiple individuals and locations over nearly three years, according to court documents at the Old Bailey, officially known as the Central Criminal Court of England and Wales. The Bulgarian nationals had stood accused of spying for Russia at the behest of the fugitive Jan Marsalek, the former COO of Wirecard, described by prosecutors as “believed to be linked to the Russian state”. The trial centered around thousands of sinister messages between Marsalek and Bulgarian national Orlin Roussev, who compared himself to the fictional character of ‘Q’ from the James Bond movies, and his “team leader” Bizer Dzhambazov, who managed the other three defendants, all belittlingly referred to as “the minions”. Roussev and Dzhambazov had pleaded guilty to their role in the spy ring prior to the trial. [caption id="attachment_29626" align="aligncenter" width="1600"] The Central Criminal Court of England and Wales; image: TCA, Stephen M. Bland[/caption] The story has all the hallmarks of a Hollywood script: gadgets, beautiful women, and dozens of fake IDs used to rent cars and properties across Europe for various operations. The defendants plotted espionage, psyops, and disinformation campaigns, and even kidnapping and murder, some of which were partially carried out in the UK and across continental Europe, including in Germany, Austria, and Spain, as well as other locations. Messages presented to the court indicate that, beyond their alleged collaboration with the Russian FSB, the gang operated as mercenaries for any party willing to pay. The Bulgarians devised schemes appealing to their purported connections in Russia, Kazakhstan, Serbia, China, Malaysia, and Colombia. Germane to Central Asia, the spy ring engaged in a range of covert activities targeting Kazakhstan. In 2021, they botched a surveillance operation against Bergey Ryskaliyev, a long-time adversary of former President Nursultan Nazarbayev. Ryskaliyev, the former governor of Kazakhstan’s Atyrau region, fled to London after being accused of embezzling hundreds of millions of U.S. dollars and was sentenced in absentia to 17 years in prison for leading an organized criminal group. Targeting Kazakhstan’s President By 2022, the group’s efforts had escalated into an elaborate scheme to influence Western government officials to impose punitive measures against Nazarbayev’s successor, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev. The plan began with the creation of an entity designed to lend legitimacy to a fabricated grassroots opposition movement, the inception of which was discussed in Telegram chats between Marsalek and Roussev. “If you have a preferred name… otherwise I will use my imagination and historical facts from the past centuries. Also… how about for the fake company or real company that we register to use some Chess terms…”, Marsalek suggested with regards to naming the NGO. To which Roussev replied: “Let's call it ‘Truth on the Steppes Publishing Ltd.’” The duo would later refer to the entity as “TOTS”. Marsalek agreed, saying, “UK… will be done in a few days… that one I will register tomorrow - UK company ‘Truth on the Steppes Publishing Ltd.’” Shortly after, "Truth on the Steppes Publishing Ltd"...

TCA Interviews

Kazakh Researchers Uncover Important Step Towards Treating Parkinson’s Disease

Kazakhstan’s reputation in the global scientific community is evolving, thanks to research conducted by local scientists. Aizhan Ahmadi, a doctoral graduate from Nazarbayev University’s (NU) School of Natural, Social, and Human Sciences, and her team have made a discovery that could pave the way for future treatments for Parkinson’s disease. TCA: Tell us about your research. Aizhan: I recently completed my doctoral studies, defended my dissertation, and earned my PhD. Before that, I worked at a university for five years. During my research, I focused on a mutated protein called DJ-1, which is found in patients with Parkinson’s and Alzheimer’s diseases. More than 20 years ago, European scientists identified mutations in DJ-1 in some patients suffering from these diseases. Despite extensive research in dozens of laboratories, the protein’s exact role remained unclear. While analyzing previous studies, we came across a large European research project with an interesting hypothesis about DJ-1. We decided to explore this direction further and we succeeded in proving that DJ-1 has a previously unknown function. Understanding how DJ-1 protects biomolecules is not only crucial for developing new treatment methods for Parkinson’s disease but also for explaining cell aging. This discovery is vital for pharmacologists, as they cannot develop effective drugs without fully understanding a protein’s function. For the first time, we have proven a new function of DJ-1. I believe this is a fundamental breakthrough for both global science and Kazakhstan’s scientific community. We submitted our findings to Nature Communications, a leading scientific journal. After a rigorous eight-month review process, our research was accepted. This was a difficult but rewarding journey. Our study is the first from independent Kazakhstan to be published in such a prestigious journal, making it a landmark achievement for our country. TCA: What challenges come with studying biology in Kazakhstan? Aizhan: Basic biological research is extremely resource-intensive. It takes time, energy, and has no guaranteed results. We invested grant funding and used millions of dollars’ worth of equipment. However, when a discovery is made, its contribution to science and medicine is invaluable. Our study was conducted entirely within Kazakhstan, without relying on foreign laboratories. This is particularly significant because many still doubt whether serious scientific breakthroughs can come from Kazakhstan, especially in biochemistry. Alongside me, my supervisor, Darkhan Utepbergenov, and several undergraduate students participated in the research. Professor Utepbergenov, a Kazakhstani scientist, graduated from Novosibirsk State University, worked in Germany and the U.S. for nearly 20 years, and then returned to Kazakhstan as a professor. He has said that this is his most significant work to date, and even he still finds it hard to believe that such a discovery was made in Kazakhstan. His contribution to both research and teaching at Nazarbayev University has been immense. TCA: As a young woman in science, what motivated you to pursue this path? How can Kazakhstan raise the status of scientists? Aizhan: First and foremost, better financial support is essential. Salary structures need improvement, bureaucratic obstacles must be reduced, and science communication should be...

OPEC

Kazakhstan Balances OPEC+ Compliance with Bold 2025 Oil Surge

Kazakhstan has reaffirmed its commitment to the OPEC+ agreement on oil production volumes while simultaneously planning to increase production in 2025, signaling a growing influence on the international cartel despite not being a member. In February, Kazakhstan’s Energy Ministry issued a statement confirming its adherence to the OPEC+ agreement. “Kazakhstan will take the necessary measures in 2025 and 2026 to fulfill its commitments and compensate for overproduction in 2024,” the statement read. The government acknowledged that production would increase in 2024 due to the expansion of the Tengiz field but emphasized the importance of honoring OPEC+ commitments. Kazakhstan also pledged to engage in negotiations within the framework of international law. In March, major oil producers, including ExxonMobil, Total, and Shell, agreed to reduce oil production in Kazakhstan to align with OPEC+ requirements. “We have set quite a serious task for them to reduce oil production in Kazakhstan to achieve the planned parameters. The conversation was productive, and we did not receive any refusals,” Energy Minister Almasadam Satkaliyev stated. Similar assurances were made in April 2024, even after the country exceeded its March quota by 131,000 barrels per day. Planned Production Increase Despite these commitments, Kazakhstan plans to produce over 96.2 million tons of oil and gas condensate in 2025, marking a 9.7% increase from the previous year’s 87.7 million tons. According to Energy Minister Satkaliyev, Atyrau Region is expected to produce 57.4 million tons (+9.1%), Mangistau Region 17.8 million tons (+7.2%), West Kazakhstan Region 12.9 million tons (+4.9%), while Aktobe Region’s output is projected to decline slightly to 4.7 million tons (-2.1%). Industry experts note that this decision has caused friction with OPEC+ members, particularly Saudi Arabia. Oleg Chervinsky, a columnist for the Oil and Gas of Kazakhstan. Facts and Comments Telegram channel attributes the production increase primarily to the expansion of the Tengiz field, which is set to begin operations in the second quarter of 2025 with investments totaling $533 million. Additional investments of $144 million are being made at Karachaganak, while work continues on the offshore Kalamkas-Sea-Khazar project. Kazakhstan’s Growing Influence Chervinsky argues that Kazakhstan has become a key player in OPEC+ despite its non-membership. In March, OPEC+ decided to increase oil production from April by approximately 138,000 barrels per day, the first such decision since 2022. The move came amid sluggish global demand and U.S. President Donald Trump’s calls for Saudi Arabia to boost production. According to Reuters, Kazakhstan’s excess production played a significant role in OPEC+’s decision. Three sources within the cartel reported that several OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia, were “outraged” by Kazakhstan’s record-breaking production levels and demanded that the country compensate for the overproduction. However, as Chervinsky points out, the cartel has no direct enforcement mechanisms over Kazakhstan, and the government remains committed to its plan to increase production by nearly 10% in 2025. With its ability to influence OPEC+ decisions while maintaining production independence, Kazakhstan is emerging as an increasingly formidable player in the global oil market.

Railway Development

Modernization of Kazakh Railway Infrastructure is a Priority

According to the National Infrastructure Plan of the Republic of Kazakhstan until 2029, the overall level of wear and tear of the railroad network is about 50%. In addition, the qualitative characteristics of the track do not meet current business demands and are inferior to other countries in terms of its development. In order to improve the quality and guarantee reliable and safe transportation of passengers and cargo by rail, KTZ plans to repair about 11,000 km of railway sections by 2029. According to JSC NC Kazakhstan Temir Zholy, which operates the country's railway mainline network, 1,430 km of track was repaired as part of last year's summer track works, including 570 km of major railway track overhauls. As Sakеn Rakhmetov, Brach Director of KTZ’s Mainline Network Directorate, told The Times of Central Asia, train speed improvements were achieved on 413 km of track for passenger trains with Talgo cars, 605 km for passenger trains, and 406 km and 507 km for freight and container trains, respectively. In the upcoming season, which will begin in March, 1,480 km of track across the country are planned for repair, including 512 km of major overhauls. "Repair work will be carried out on key railway sections with heavy train traffic. The first projects are planned on the Beineu-Mangystau, Zhambyl-Tyulkubas, Shu-Almaty, and Makat-Aksarayskaya sections," Rakhmetov explained. KTZ has developed a corresponding Program for the Development of Railway Infrastructure Capacity. Several modernization and reconstruction projects are planned, including upgrades to signaling, centralization, and blocking systems. "A limiting factor in the railway infrastructure's throughput capacity is the processing ability of stations, as well as the useful length of receiving and departure tracks. With the introduction of modern locomotive types and the increasing share of container trains, both train weight and composition length have grown, while station infrastructure has remained unchanged. For instance, 59% of stations and passing loops currently cannot accommodate long trains. Therefore, by 2029, the development of approximately 200 stations and junction points is planned. This year alone, work is set to begin on 31 stations," Rakhmetov stated. Notably, to increase the processing capacity of railway stations, a Sorting Systems Development Program was approved in 2024. As part of this program, work will begin this year on modernizing the sorting system at Karaganda-Sortirovochnaya station. Overall, by 2029, Kazakhstan plans to construct 5,000 km of new railway lines and repair 11,000 km of tracks, with 2,800 km already having been renovated over the past two years. Regarding the modernization of station buildings and passenger platforms, efforts to provide high-quality services to the population saw the completion of routine repairs on 36 stations in 2024. Architectural lighting was installed at the Astana-1 and Kurort-Borovoe stations, while heating systems were repaired at 16 stations. In total, between 2024 and 2029, 54 stations across the country will undergo modernization and major renovations at an estimated cost of 100 billion tenge ($204 million).

Bilateral Cooperation

Kazakhstan and Italy to Strengthen Military Cooperation

Kazakhstan and Italy are set to take their bilateral relations to a new level by enhancing military cooperation through targeted collaborations and strategic agreements. This partnership represents a significant step in bolstering the defense capabilities of Kazakhstan while strengthening ties between the Central Asian power and a key European Union member state. Key Areas of Collaboration The partnership will focus on several critical areas, including joint training initiatives, personnel exchanges, and advancements in military technology. Known for its ambitious modernization efforts across various sectors, Kazakhstan sees collaboration with Italy as an opportunity to upgrade its defense infrastructure and expertise. With its advanced military technology and extensive experience in both conventional and peacekeeping operations, Italy could provide Kazakhstan with valuable insights into modern warfare techniques and operational strategies. Potential areas of cooperation include cybersecurity, counterterrorism, and border security, reflecting mutual interests in maintaining regional and global stability. Additionally, military equipment production and joint defense projects are on the table, positioning Italy as a potential key player in Kazakhstan’s defense procurement strategy. By sharing technology and expertise, both nations aim to enhance their military preparedness and foster mutual growth. The news comes after a Kazakh delegation, headed by the Defense Minister of Kazakhstan, Ruslan Zhakssylykov, visited Italy’s Ministry of Defense and various military facilities, according to the Kazakh Ministry of Defense. The Strategic Importance Kazakhstan occupies a vital geopolitical position in Central Asia, serving as a crossroads for trade and security routes connecting Europe and Asia. A stronger defense partnership with Italy, a NATO member, underscores Kazakhstan’s intention to diversify its international relations and expand its defense partnerships beyond neighboring powers, China and Russia. For Italy, this cooperation aligns with its broader goal of deepening ties in Central Asia, a region that is becoming increasingly significant for global peace and security, especially given its proximity to Afghanistan and the interplay of great-power politics in the area. Enhanced ties with Kazakhstan offer Italy a foothold in Central Asia and a strategic partner with shared commitments to regional security and stability. This partnership also complements Kazakhstan’s multi-vector foreign policy approach, which seeks to balance relations with major global players while focusing on national interests. Deepening ties with Italy helps Kazakhstan diversify its defense alliances and reduce over-reliance on any single foreign power for military support. Recent Developments Recent discussions between Kazakh and Italian defense officials have demonstrated a commitment to cooperation. Agreements on military education programs and joint exercises are already underway. A key highlight of this partnership is Kazakhstan’s potential involvement in Italy’s defense technology initiatives. Reports suggest that ongoing negotiations could lead to joint production deals involving advanced military equipment, including drones and surveillance systems. Such developments would allow Kazakhstan to benefit from Italy’s state-of-the-art defense capabilities while contributing to its domestic military-industrial base. Outlook for the Future This emerging partnership between Kazakhstan and Italy signals a new chapter in Kazakhstan’s defense strategy. The collaborative efforts will not only help Kazakhstan grow its military competency but also fortify Italy’s presence in an...

Security

Videos Show Man Tackling Hostage-Taker at Almaty Airport

A Kazakh man who disarmed a hostage-taker by grabbing the knife from his hand at Almaty International Airport is being celebrated internationally for his courage. Several videos and accounts of the dramatic scene in the airport on Friday are circulating widely on the internet. The videos show the assailant holding a woman by her hair and making threats as security officials converge. He then lets go of the woman after a man offers himself as a hostage - and disarms the hostage-taker shortly afterward. A scuffle ensues as the man and officials subdue the attacker. Multiple reports identified the man who disarmed the attacker as former boxer Musa Abdraim, who is in his early 50s. The World Boxing Council identified him as Mussa Abraimov. WBC President Mauricio Sulaiman said on Instagram that he had a “great” video call with the former boxer and that he would receive the council’s “bravest man on earth” award. Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev was informed about the hostage situation at the airport, according to presidential press secretary Ruslan Zheldibay. “The President highlighted the bravery and skill of the man who disarmed the criminal and ordered that he be nominated for a state award,” Zheldibay said on social media platforms. The woman who was taken hostage and released was in uniform, suggesting that she was an airport employee. The attack occurred in the security check area of the airport. A criminal case has been opened against the hostage-taker. Authorities have not commented on his motivations. Abdraim spoke to journalists after the incident. "I watched him carefully, and as soon as his grip weakened slightly, I had to seize the knife from his hands,” Tengri News, a media outlet based in Kazakhstan, quoted him as saying. “As a man, as a citizen of the Republic of Kazakhstan, I simply could not have acted differently."