Tajikistan Business Economy - The Times Of Central Asia

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Bilateral Relations

Kazakhstan and Tajikistan Sign Allied Relations Treaty

A treaty on allied relations between Kazakhstan and Tajikistan was signed on August 22 during Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev's state visit to Tajikistan and talks with Tajik President Emomali Rahmon in Dushanbe. Noting its significance, Rahmon stated that the treaty opens a new page in the history of Kazakh-Tajik cooperation and will become a solid foundation for strategic partnership between the two nations. President Tokayev, in turn, emphasized that “there are no problematic issues between our countries” and announced plans to increase bilateral trade to $2 billion. Over the past five years, the annual trade volume between Kazakhstan and Tajikistan has more than doubled, exceeding $1 billion. Referencing Kazakhstan's readiness to increase supplies to Tajikistan of some 85 commodities valued at $200 million, Tokayev announced: “We agreed to expand the range of goods supplied, systematically remove barriers that hinder trade and economic cooperation between our countries, and strengthen partnership in the transport and logistics sector. There is a serious potential for increasing bilateral trade in the agro-industrial sector. In the first six months of this year, agricultural trade between our countries increased by 12%, amounting to almost $300 million." Tokayev also emphasized the importance of cooperation in the water sector: “We agreed to continue the coordinated work on the rational use of resources of transboundary rivers of Central Asia. Kazakhstan is grateful to the Tajik side for timely decisions related to fulfilling obligations in the water and energy sector, particularly on [irrigation] water supplies to Kazakhstan.” During the talks, it was stated that over the past five years, Kazakhstan has invested $700 million in Tajikistan's economy. Today, more than 80 percent of Tajikistan's fruit and vegetable exports go to Kazakhstan, and Tajikistan imports large amounts Kazakh wheat, flour, and other grain products. On August 21, the eve of Tokayev’s visit, Dushanbe hosted a Kazakh-Tajik business forum, during which the parties signed 14 commercial contracts and cooperation agreements worth $1.2 billion.

Economy

ADB Gives Grant to Support Women in Tajikistan

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has approved $17.5 million in grant assistance to improve women's agricultural skills and food security in Tajikistan. The project, which aims to support women farmers, will cover six districts in Khatlon province (Bokhtar, Farkhor, Kulyab, Panj, Shahritus, and Vose), the country's largest agricultural region. ADB's Director General for Central and West Asia, Eugene Zhukov, said the bank views women as critical agents of change, and the project aims to increase their role in agriculture. The project will provide women access to modern resources, including drying plants, greenhouses, water-saving technologies, and training in financial management and production technologies. Particular emphasis is placed on climate-resilient farming practices to reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts such as drought and heat stress. The project will also establish small-scale crop processing and storage centers to increase the value of crops in the market. In addition, the project will create digital platforms for the training and trading of agricultural products. It is also expected to address social problems faced by women, such as gender-based violence. Under the guidance of the Women and Family Committee, a shelter offering counseling, a referral system, and training and entrepreneurship opportunities will be opened. ADB has supported Tajikistan for 26 years, serving as the country's largest donor. During this time, Tajikistan has received over $2.6 billion from ADB, of which more than $2 billion was provided through grants. Since 2018, the country has received the bank's financial assistance exclusively on a grant basis.

Bilateral Trade

Russia Remains Tajikistan’s Largest Trade Partner

Russian news agency TASS is reporting that, according to the Statistics Agency under the President of Tajikistan, trade between Tajikistan and Russia has exceeded $1.1 billion in 2024 so far. During the first seven months of 2024, the trade volume between the two countries was 12.1% more than in the same period of 2023. Russia continues to be Tajikistan’s largest trade partner, and also accounted for 26.7% of all imports entering the country during this period. In terms of bilateral trade, China remains in second place, with turnover to and from Tajikistan of almost $1 billion. Rather surprisingly, Switzerland has now became Tajikistan's leading export partner. In the first seven months of 2024, Tajikistan sent 26.6% of its products to Switzerland. In January-July of this year, the trade volume between the two countries amounted to more than $641 million, and compared to the same period in 2023, it increased almost 110 times.

Tajikistan Intends To Expand Production of Armored Vehicles and Special Equipment

Tajikistan's Sipar Group plans to significantly expand the production of armored vehicles and special equipment at its plant in the city of Tursunzade. The project is being implemented with a foreign investment of $15 million, allowing the company to produce 17 types of special vehicles. The plant is already actively developing its production capacity. The enterprise assembles military and civilian vehicles using components from the United Arab Emirates. Tajikistan's Minister of Industry and New Technologies, Sherali Kabir, said that armored vehicles in Tursunzade are manufactured using Canadian technologies; therefore, they are in no way inferior to their counterparts produced in other Central Asian countries. So far, the plant has produced a limited volume of vehicles, but given the demand, it plans to increase its production capacity significantly in the coming years. The project will also create more than a hundred new jobs, which will make an important contribution to the region's economic development. The plant's products are aimed not only at the domestic market, but also with the possibility of exporting to other Central Asian countries in mind, which would allow Tajikistan to strengthen its position in the international arena in the defense industry.

ADB Grants $71 million for Business Reforms and HPP Reconstruction in Tajikistan

As reported by the Avesta Information Agency, Minister of Finance of Tajikistan, Faiziddin Kahkhorzade, and Shani Campbell, the permanent representative of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) in the country, have signed contracts for two grants totaling $71 million. The first grant of $50 million is aimed at improving Tajikistan's business environment, including digitization, reforms to boost exports, improved infrastructure management, and increased financial transparency. Small and medium-sized enterprises will also be supported in adapting to climate change. The second grant of $21 million will replace the fourth unit at the Head HPP located near the city of Levakant (formerly Sarband) in Tajikistan's Khatlon region, which failed in 2019. As a result of the upgrade, the installed capacity of hydropower is expected to increase from 240 megawatts in 2012 to 274 megawatts by 2026. Since Tajikistan became a member of the ADB in 1998, the bank has provided more than $2.6 billion in assistance to the country, including more than $2 billion in grants. These funds were directed to the development of transport and energy infrastructure, healthcare, education, agriculture, and other important sectors of the economy.

Energy

World Bank Considers Loan for Tajikistan’s Rogun Hydropower Plant

Tajikistan's Deputy Minister for Finance, Yusuf Majidi, has announced that the World Bank will consider financing the development of the Rogun hydroelectric power plant. According to him, the bank can allocate $650 million for this project in September this year. $250 million has been allocated as preferential loans; starting in 2025, the station's construction will be financed by other investments. Majidi specified that the construction of the hydroelectric power plant (HPP) is also financed by the Islamic Development Bank and Arab funds; according to preliminary data, this is about $550 million. When the Rogun HPP reaches full capacity, about 70% of the electricity produced will be exported to other Central Asian countries. According to the Eurasian Fund for Stabilization and Development (EFSD), financing the Rogun HPP is one of the main risks to Tajikistan’s budget and debt sustainability. The EFSD notes that a possible increase in the cost of hydropower construction could reduce funding for other critical infrastructure projects and social spending. Rogun is located 110km from Dushanbe on the Vakhsh River, and is the largest in the region. Its construction began in 1976, but it was destroyed after the collapse of the USSR. Later, Tajikistan continued work on the construction of hydroelectric power plants at its own expense and with the help of international funds and organizations, and so far, two of the six units with a capacity of 600 MW provided for in the project have been put into operation. The third is scheduled for 2025.