Entrepreneurship - The Times Of Central Asia

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Business Registration

Registered Businesses in Kazakhstan Rise More Than 20% Despite Tax Reform

The number of registered businesses in Kazakhstan increased by more than 20% during the first half of 2026, according to government data, easing earlier concerns that the country’s new Tax Code would trigger widespread business closures. The growth came despite higher value-added tax (VAT) rates and tighter registration requirements introduced this year. During a government meeting, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of National Economy Serik Zhumangarin said the number of registered business entities had reached 2.939 million by the end of June, up by nearly 499,000, or 20.4%, from the beginning of the year. The strongest increase came from individual entrepreneurs and self-employed workers. Their combined number rose from 1.86 million to 2.352 million over six months, while the number of self-employed workers reached 688,597. The expansion also coincided with improved fiscal performance. Government revenues increased by almost 16% during the reporting period, while VAT receipts were nearly 1.5 times as high as a year earlier, according to official figures. Growth was also recorded among corporate businesses. The number of registered legal entities increased from 579,756 to 587,117 during the first half of the year, while the number of VAT payers rose from 135,845 to 158,194. The figures indicate that businesses have largely adapted to the new tax environment despite concerns voiced before the reforms took effect. Earlier this year, analysts warned that higher taxes and stricter registration rules could force many small businesses to close, but the first six months of data have not supported those expectations. The structure of Kazakhstan’s small and medium-sized business sector also remained largely unchanged. More than 60% of all SMEs continue to operate in trade and agriculture, as well as other services. These remain the country’s largest entrepreneurial sectors. Growth varied across industries, reflecting differences in business activity. Among small legal entities, the mining sector recorded the fastest increase at 2.9%. Construction and agriculture both grew by 2.5%, while information and communications expanded by 2.4%. The figures indicate continued investment in traditional industries and digital services. Among medium-sized enterprises, real estate posted the strongest growth at 5.8%, nearly double the pace of the next-fastest sector. Finance and insurance grew by 3.2%, while other service industries expanded by 3.1%, reflecting continued demand in domestically oriented sectors. The figures also point to the growing role of small and medium-sized businesses in Kazakhstan’s economy. SMEs accounted for 40.9% of gross domestic product in 2025, up from 33.5% in 2021, according to official data. The sector has become an increasingly important source of investment and regional development, while contributing to economic diversification. Employment data reflect the same trend. During the first quarter of 2026, Kazakhstan had 9.4 million employed people, including 4.5 million working in small and medium-sized businesses. This means that nearly one in two employed people now works in the SME sector. The first-half data indicate that Kazakhstan’s business sector continued to expand despite a more demanding tax environment. While it remains too early to assess the long-term impact of the tax reform, the increase...

Entrepreneurship

Almaty Launches Startup Program to Attract Investment

Almaty has hosted the Almaty Investment Initiative, where city officials and private-sector representatives unveiled a new program aimed at fostering technology entrepreneurship. The initiative, implemented jointly by MOST Holding and the city administration’s Digitalization Department, seeks to attract international capital and develop a sustainable startup ecosystem. The program’s launch comes amid intensifying competition among regional urban centers for investment in the technology sector. Almaty aims to position itself as a gateway for projects targeting both the domestic market and export-oriented growth. The acceleration program is designed to run for two years and will include nine thematic tracks supporting up to 250 startups. Organizers plan to use a range of formats. These include the Investment Readiness Accelerator (IRA), which focuses on helping startups secure funding during the program, as well as an international off-site track in Shanghai intended for 10 startups planning to enter the Chinese market. Another component is the Soft Landing program, designed for foreign companies considering Kazakhstan as a base for regional expansion. Within the initiative, city authorities are expected to act as both regulators and potential customers for innovative solutions. Priority sectors include transportation, tourism, environmental technologies, energy, education, and healthcare. According to Olzhas Zhanabek, head of Almaty’s Digitalization Department, support for startups is seen as a tool for modernizing the city’s economic structure. “Our task is to create conditions for the growth of projects that can enter international markets and bring practical benefits to the city,” he told The Times of Central Asia. MOST Holding will serve as the program operator, facilitating connections between entrepreneurs, investors, and government agencies. Particular emphasis will be placed on solutions that can be integrated into the city’s infrastructure. Organizers say the initiative aims to attract around $60 million in investment for participating startups. In addition, approximately 45 projects are expected to enter foreign markets, while up to 15 startups may pilot and implement their solutions in Almaty. Pavel Koktyshev, co-founder and CEO of MOST Holding, said the program is intended to support startup development while ensuring practical implementation. “We want to bring together the city, businesses, and investors on a single platform. This is not just about preparing projects, but also about implementing solutions in the real economy,” he said. The event also addressed issues related to attracting foreign capital. Participants discussed opportunities linked to the infrastructure of the Astana International Financial Centre (AIFC), as well as strategies for Kazakhstani companies seeking to enter global markets.

Entrepreneurship

Founder of inDrive Sees Kindred Spirit in Olympic Champion’s Father

Years ago, Stanislav Shaidorov, a former figure skating champion of Kazakhstan, sold his car to help pay for his son Mikhail’s training on the ice. After Mikhail won Olympic gold this month, the older Shaidorov was presented with an Audi Q8 by a businessman who had done the same thing for a different cause. “This story is personal for me,” said Arsen Tomsky, founder and CEO of the ride-hailing app inDrive, which operates in dozens of countries. “I did the same twice in my life — once to pay salaries when my first company had no money, and once to send the Yakutia esports team to a national championship when we couldn’t afford the tickets,” Tomsky said on Instagram. Yakutia is in Russia. Tomsky was born in Russia, moved many employees to Kazakhstan after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, and obtained Kazakhstani citizenship in 2023. Forbes Kazakhstan ranked Tomsky as the 11th richest business executive in the country in 2025. Kazakhstan has been celebrating 21-year-old Mikhail Shaidorov’s achievement at the Winter Olympics in Milan – his country’s first gold medal in figure skating. His father is also getting recognition as a pillar of support earlier in his son’s career, when success was far from assured. “As the father and first coach, he helped Mikhail take his first steps on the ice rink and was always by his son's side during the most difficult moments of life,” President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev said at a ceremony in Astana for the gold medal winner and his key supporters. “You went together through the winding path leading to the high peak,” Tokayev said to Stanislav Shaidorov on Wednesday. “Now you are seeing the fruits of your hard work and sweat, being honored and respected.” Tomsky, the inDrive founder, said he could relate to Stanislav Shaidorov’s decision to give up his car for his son’s dream. “In moments like that, you don’t think about the car,” the executive said. “You think about the future and the people you believe in.”

Tax Reform

Are Kazakhstan’s Small Businesses Really Leaving Over Taxes?

As Kazakhstan prepares for tax reforms set to take effect in 2026, a new wave of panic has surfaced in the national discourse, one suggesting that small businesses are facing a stark choice: shut down or relocate to neighboring countries promising more favorable tax environments. This narrative has gained traction twice in the second half of 2025. The first wave came in mid-autumn, triggered by reports suggesting that Kazakhstani entrepreneurs were looking to move operations to Kyrgyzstan or Uzbekistan. These claims quickly spread across Kazakh social networks, particularly Threads. However, early signs indicated that the alarm was not being sounded by small businesses themselves, but by representatives of the B2B services sector, especially consultants and accountants. Media outlets amplified comments that stirred fear, reinforcing what increasingly appeared to be media-driven panic. One such moment came in late September when the Kazakhstan Association of Tax Consultants hosted a presentation by its chairman, Saken Karin, titled “Tax Reality 2026: Opportunities and Risks.” Karin warned that the proposed reforms would “tear apart the B2B and B2C sectors,” criticizing state approaches to tax administration. Even then, experts argued that large-scale relocation of Kazakhstani businesses made little practical sense. “Which Kazakhstani businesses can realistically relocate to Kyrgyzstan? Probably only IT companies, which are location-independent. Most SMEs in Almaty rely on the quasi-public sector or the domestic market, which is considerably larger and wealthier than that of our neighbors,” said financier Rassul Rysmambetov. The numbers back this up: in 2024, the economy of Almaty alone reached $60 billion, compared to Kyrgyzstan’s national GDP of approximately $17.5 billion. Despite this, a second wave of panic is now gaining momentum, this time shifting focus to Uzbekistan as a destination for potential business migration. Once again, social networks, particularly Threads, are amplifying the noise, citing interviews such as one with tax expert Maxim Baryshev, who praised the tax systems of Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. Baryshev represents the professional accounting organization Uchet.kz. His colleague, Uchet.kz manager Timur Abiev, has previously spoken out against what he views as unfounded panic surrounding tax reform. Despite growing anxiety on social media, government officials have yet to launch a strong counter-narrative. This lack of response reinforces the idea that panic is being stoked by peripheral sectors rather than the business community itself. When Finance Minister Madi Takiev was asked about claims of a mass relocation of small businesses to neighboring countries, he dismissed them as unfounded. He argued that tax thresholds and turnover requirements in those countries are broadly comparable to Kazakhstan’s and noted that businesses relocating abroad would still be subject to domestic taxation if their economic center of interest remained in Kazakhstan, making such moves economically unviable. As for the accounting industry, its vocal opposition to reform may be tied to structural weaknesses. Kazakhstan’s accounting sector has been slow to adapt to changing demands and is struggling to train enough professionals to meet market needs. The number of established training institutions remains small. A recent government meeting focused on SME support included plans...

Economic Growth

Kazakhstan Projects Strong GDP Growth as Economy Nears 300 Billion Dollars in 2025

Kazakhstan’s economy is entering a new phase of growth. By the end of 2025, the country’s gross domestic product is projected to exceed $300 billion for the first time, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev announced at a national award ceremony for the Altyn Sapa, Paryz, and Best Product of Kazakhstan prizes. Over the past decade, Kazakhstan’s GDP has shown consistent growth in absolute terms, with the exception of the pandemic year of 2020, when the economy contracted to $171.1 billion. Since then, the country has reached new historical highs each year, from $197.1 billion in 2021 to $288.41 billion in 2024. In 2025, growth is expected to reach a record level.The president noted that, over the past five years, growth in the real sector has become noticeably more balanced. Gross value added in the manufacturing industry increased by 25 percent, outpacing growth in the extractive sector. “Economic growth is expected to exceed 6% this year,” Tokayev said. “Moreover, GDP is projected to exceed $300 billion for the first time” The president highlighted that, over the past five years, growth in the real sector has become noticeably more balanced. Gross value added in the manufacturing industry increased by 25%, outpacing the growth of the extractive sector. Investments in fixed capital grew by 70% over the same period, and labor productivity rose by 40%. As a result, non-resource exports doubled, the number of exporters tripled, and the geography of supply expanded to 140 countries. According to Tokayev, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) now account for 40% of GDP and remain one of the most dynamic segments of the economy. “Over the past five years, the number of SMEs has increased by 1.5 times, and their output by 2.5 times. Today, 4.5 million people work in the business sector, almost half of the country’s employed population,” the president said. Tokayev also placed particular emphasis on the finalization of certain provisions in the new Tax Code, which is set to take effect in 2026. The president acknowledged that he had received a large number of appeals from entrepreneurs and instructed the government to carefully review the most problematic provisions. “It is important to understand that the sustainable development of entrepreneurship is based on the fulfillment of mutual obligations: the state creates the climate, and businesses pay taxes. The government must find a reasonable balance, there is no other option,” he stated. The president also called for continued development of the country’s digital business ecosystem to enhance transparency and reduce bureaucratic hurdles. Kazakhstan plans to significantly increase investment in its economy over the next five years, with the goal of nearly tripling its volume by 2029.

Entrepreneurship

Kazakhstan Aims to Double Output of Existing Medium-Sized Enterprises

Kazakhstan’s Ministry of National Economy, in partnership with the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), is developing a strategy to help existing medium-sized enterprises increase their production capacity two to threefold. The initiative is part of the “Improving the Investment Attractiveness of Medium-Sized Businesses” program. Deputy Minister of National Economy Yerlan Sagnaev announced the initiative at a press conference hosted by the Central Communications Service. According to Sagnaev, companies will receive state-backed support in the form of diagnostic assessments and customized development plans. “Today, medium-sized businesses are primarily concentrated in the manufacturing sector, which currently accounts for about 12% of total SME output. Yet there remains significant untapped potential for growth, as much as two to three times the current level,” he said. Sagnaev noted that the most active sectors include metallurgy, light industry, construction materials, mechanical engineering, and chemicals. The state plans to prioritize these industries, including through joint programs with the EBRD. According to ministry data, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) now contribute 39.8% to Kazakhstan’s GDP. In the first half of 2025, the sector’s total output reached $82.6 billion, representing a 25% increase. Employment in the SME segment rose by 3.9% to 4.4 million people, with trade, industry, construction, transport, and agriculture driving the highest growth. However, challenges persist. A recent Business Climate rating by the “Atameken” National Chamber of Entrepreneurs shows that while 35.4% of small businesses plan to expand, only 10.1% are interested in launching new projects. Requests for government support remain modest at 18.8%, and 6.2% of respondents are considering staff cuts or closures. Timur Zharkenov, Deputy Chairman of the Atameken Board, highlighted the most pressing concerns for medium-sized businesses: a high tax burden (28.1%), labor shortages (16.2%), and inconsistent support from local authorities for investment initiatives. In autumn 2025, domestic manufacturers reported a decline in orders and a rise in production costs, reinforcing the urgency of state support and the need to improve operational efficiency.