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TCA Interviews

Saving The Caspian Seal: An Interview with Assel Baimukanova

The Caspian seal is the only marine mammal native to the Caspian Sea and the world’s only seal species found exclusively in an inland body of water. Once numbering close to one million, its population has declined dramatically over the past century due to commercial hunting, habitat degradation, pollution, accidental entanglement in fishing gear, and climate change. Today, the species is listed as Endangered on the IUCN Red List. Kazakh zoologist Assel Baimukanova has spent the past 13 years studying the Caspian seal alongside her father, renowned scientist Mirgaliy Baimukanov. Their work takes them to remote islands in the northern Caspian, where they spend weeks living in tents, monitoring the animals and collecting data essential to understanding the rapidly changing sea. The Times of Central Asia spoke with Baimukanova about how the Caspian seal coexists with offshore oil production, why scientists perform necropsies on dead animals, and what the future holds for the sea’s only endemic marine mammal. TCA: Assel, you have been studying the Caspian seal for 13 years. Since it is an endemic species found nowhere else in the world, are there many international researchers working on it, or is it studied mainly by Kazakh scientists? Baimukanova: The Caspian seal is indeed an endemic species, meaning it is found only in the Caspian Sea. But it is not studied only by our Institute of Hydrobiology and Ecology. Several research organizations, both in Kazakhstan and abroad, are involved in studying the species. Russian and Iranian scientists also work on the Caspian seal. In addition, we cooperate with researchers who study other seal species in Estonia, Finland, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Each of these countries has experience studying different pinniped species, so we regularly exchange expertise and research findings. Our cooperation with international colleagues was particularly active between 2005 and 2017, when we carried out a number of joint research projects. TCA: In your documentary film, you say that although the Caspian Sea is shared by several countries, Kazakhstan bears the greatest responsibility for protecting the Caspian sealbecause the species’ most important habitats are located in Kazakh waters. Baimukanova: Yes, that is true. In spring and autumn, up to 90% of the Caspian seal population may gather in Kazakhstan’s sector of the Caspian Sea. In winter, the animals breed on the ice in the northern Caspian. Depending on ice conditions, breeding colonies may be located in either the Kazakh or Russian sectors. During spring and autumn, however, most seals are found in the shallow and hard-to-reach northeastern part of Kazakhstan’s sector of the sea. That is why the condition of our part of the Caspian is critical to the conservation of the species. TCA: But the ice cover is shrinking every year because of climate change. Should we already be worried, or is there no immediate cause for concern? Baimukanova: There is every reason to be concerned. Warm winters are becoming more common, while cold and severe winters are becoming increasingly rare. Ice still forms, but it...

Heatwave

Kazakhstan Wildfires: Heatwave Tests Reforms Three Years After Semey Ormany

Between July 5 and 11, Kazakhstan’s state forest fund recorded 43 wildfires as an intense heatwave pushed much of the country into conditions of high and extreme fire danger. The Ministry of Ecology said all of the fires were contained before they could develop into large-scale disasters. For Kazakhstan, however, the significance of those figures extends beyond a single week. Three years after the deadly Semey Ormany wildfire exposed serious shortcomings in the country’s emergency response system, each fire season has become a test of whether the reforms introduced since 2023 are keeping pace with increasingly severe weather conditions. How the Fires Were Fought Of the 43 recorded wildfires, 34 occurred within the state forest fund, while nine affected forests managed by regional authorities. Officials said the fires were detected and contained through a combination of aerial surveillance, early warning systems, and coordinated operations involving forestry services and emergency responders. Aircraft conducted reconnaissance flights, transported firefighting crews to remote locations, and carried out water drops where ground access was limited. Firefighters and forestry personnel established firebreaks, extinguished smoldering vegetation, and continued patrols after the flames had been brought under control to prevent reignition. The most difficult situation developed in Akmola Region, where the number of forest fires since the beginning of the fire-hazard season has risen 68.4% compared with the same period last year. Regional authorities responded by strengthening forest patrols and increasing monitoring of high-risk areas, while urging residents to avoid lighting fires or burning dry vegetation during the continuing hot and dry weather. Heat Keeps Raising the Stakes Even as firefighters succeeded in containing the week’s blazes, weather conditions continued to increase the likelihood of new outbreaks. According to Kazhydromet, prolonged heat and limited rainfall have left much of Kazakhstan under high or extreme wildfire danger. Forecasters expect only limited relief. A cold front may bring localized rain and thunderstorms to northern Kazakhstan, but meteorologists say the precipitation is unlikely to significantly reduce wildfire risks. Southern regions are forecast to remain under temperatures of 104-113°F (40-45°C), allowing vegetation to dry rapidly and creating conditions in which even relatively small fires can spread quickly. The persistence of these weather patterns highlights a broader challenge. Kazakhstan’s emergency services are increasingly responding not to isolated wildfire events, but to prolonged periods during which multiple regions face elevated fire danger simultaneously. What Has Changed in Three Years Kazakhstan’s approach to wildfire management changed fundamentally after the June 2023 Semey Ormany disaster, when a fast-moving forest fire in the Abai Region killed 14 forestry workers, destroyed more than 60,000 hectares of forest, and caused an estimated $354 million in damage. A subsequent investigation identified serious shortcomings in the country's preparedness and a lack of regard to the protection of frontline personnel, prompting one of the most significant reforms of the country’s forest protection system since independence. In 2024, Kazakhstan established the Forest Fund Protection and Defense Service to train a generation of specialists and strengthen coordination during major wildfires. The upgraded response system...

Plastic Recycling

From Waste to Design: How UpKel Is Rethinking Plastic Recycling in Kyrgyzstan

In Kyrgyzstan, much of the country’s plastic waste remains unsorted and ends up in landfills, while recycling infrastructure is limited. A growing number of local initiatives are treating discarded plastic as a usable material. One of them is UpKel, a circular design project that turns plastic waste into custom accessories and home decor. The Times of Central Asia spoke with UpKel founder Chinara Sultanalieva about plastic recycling in Kyrgyzstan and how design and local production can support a circular economy. She also discussed the obstacles holding back the sector. TCA: Tell us a bit about UpKel. How did the project start, and when did you realize you wanted to work in plastic recycling? Chinara: For almost 10 years, I worked in the corporate sector. I liked my job. I analyzed complex financial, management, and economic data and presented it to lenders, investors, and local communities. I also prepared sustainability reports, which let me see how the value created by a business could be distributed in the interests of employees and affected communities. Still, I always wanted to do something more meaningful. In 2019, I was selected to take part in the Community Solutions Program in the U.S. and spent four months at an environmental NGO in Seattle, Washington. I was struck by how much importance is placed there on environmental protection and public health, and by how local organizations support environmental initiatives and, importantly, keep people informed about upcoming changes in legislation. I was also impressed by the waste management system in the U.S. For example, Washington state alone had more than 80 organic waste recycling facilities. In one nearby city, compost was made from sludge produced by the wastewater treatment system, and the local zoo composted animal manure. I was especially interested in composting toilet systems, which I later introduced in Kyrgyzstan. At the same time, I understood that working directly with organic waste would be difficult and would likely face resistance from society. So I decided to start with plastic waste recycling. Plastic is visible, easier to measure, and recycling markets for it already exist, unlike for organics or mixed materials. Also, with this material, even a small-scale production operation can create a local circular economy without needing heavy industrial infrastructure. TCA: Why did you choose plastic specifically, and how did the UpKel model take shape? Chinara: Plastic waste remains a major part of environmental pollution. It is highly visible and can take hundreds of years to break down, possibly even longer than current estimates suggest. I was already familiar with the international Precious Plastic movement and had visited Rocket Plastic in Almaty, which operates on that model. So after returning to Kyrgyzstan, I founded the public foundation EcoFem to promote responsible resource use and gender equality. With support from a U.S. Embassy grant, I launched the country’s first workshop producing items from recycled plastic based on the Precious Plastic model. The workshop was set up to process four types of plastic waste. There are seven plastic categories...

Wildfire

Open Flames Extinguished at Semey Ormany as Crews Tackle Hotspots

Open flames at a 60-hectare forest fire in Kazakhstan’s Semey Ormany reserve had been extinguished by early July 17, although hundreds of personnel remained at the site tackling isolated smouldering hotspots. The fire prompted the evacuation of 190 children and 20 adults from a nearby summer camp. Police officers carried some of the youngest children to waiting vehicles as staff tried to prevent panic and move everyone out quickly. The blaze was reported on the morning of July 16 in the Kamyshenka forestry area of the reserve’s Borodulikha branch. By that afternoon, it had spread across an estimated 60 hectares. Prime Minister Olzhas Bektenov sent both ministers responsible for the response to the Abai region to oversee the operation. As of 7 a.m. on July 17, the operation involved 769 personnel, 191 vehicles, and eight helicopters. Aircraft had completed 219 water drops, delivering 474 tons of water. Crews worked through the night to contain the fire and continued soaking smouldering areas after the open flames were extinguished. [caption id="attachment_52405" align="aligncenter" width="1280"] Image: EcologyofQazaqstan[/caption] The Emergency Situations Ministry said the threat to Kamyshenka had been lifted. Ground teams and aircraft remained in place while the authorities worked toward full containment and continued monitoring the area. The fire broke out in the same reserve where 14 forestry workers died in June 2023. That blaze burned more than 60,000 hectares and caused damage estimated at 161.6 billion tenge. It also led to criminal cases and a major overhaul of the reserve’s equipment. In May 2024, a court sentenced the reserve’s acting director and the head of its Novoshulbinsk branch to seven years in prison for fire-safety violations that led to multiple deaths. The Abai regional appeals court upheld the convictions in August. Two other officials received two-year prison terms later that year, and the Prosecutor-General’s Office said in January 2025 that all criminal cases linked to the disaster had concluded. Kazakhstan has since invested in new wildfire equipment and monitoring. In June, the authorities unveiled a specialized firefighting vehicle developed after the 2023 disaster. By April, an AI early detection system using 37 cameras covered 510,000 hectares of Semey Ormany. Dangerous conditions persist across the region. Kazhydromet forecast temperatures of 35–37°C in the Abai region on July 18, with winds reaching 15–20 meters per second in the southwest. High fire danger was expected in the northwest and center of the region, with extreme fire danger in the south.

Forestry

Tajikistan Turns to Satellites to Discover How Much Forest It Has Left

In Barvoz village in the Western Pamirs, Zarifkhon Gulchinov watched a green forest near his home become a semi-desert during the 1990s. The collapse of the Soviet Union and Tajikistan’s civil war left the isolated region short of electricity and coal. Families cut trees to heat their homes and cook. “I also went to the forest for firewood, but I cut down only old and dry trees and bushes,” Gulchinov recalled. He later joined a community forestry program and received five hectares of degraded land to restore. Villagers now plant hundreds of trees and protect young growth from livestock. They also maintain an irrigation canal fed by mountain water. Such places explain why a forest inventory is more than a technical count. A strip of trees can supply fuel or hay. It can also hold a riverbank together and shield fields from erosion. Yet Tajikistan has spent decades without a reliable national picture of where its forests remain or what condition they are in. Counting What the Country Has On July 15, Deputy Forestry Agency Director Davlatali Sharifzoda announced a national inventory using satellite images and field inspections. The work will cover forests under every form of ownership, and its results will support ten-year management plans for each state forestry enterprise. Local coverage has described the exercise as Tajikistan’s first complete forest inventory using satellite data. A World Bank project appraisal says the country last conducted a national inventory in 1990. The current exercise is therefore the first nationwide inventory since independence and the first to use modern mapping methods across the country. The inventory combines Sentinel-2 and RapidEye images with geographic information systems. Machine-learning tools classify forest types, while mobile laser scanners can create three-dimensional models of tree stands. Field teams will still visit selected plots to measure tree diameter and height, and count the number of trees in each area. Their observations will show whether the satellite classifications match conditions on the ground. The work is being carried out by Aerogeodesy Dushanbe and Austria’s Umweltdaten GmbH through the World Bank-backed Tajikistan Resilient Landscape Restoration Project. A June progress update said the team carrying out the inventory had been appointed and work was underway. The project is due to close on September 30, 2027. Why the Numbers Diverge Tajikistan has long been described as one of Central Asia’s least forested countries. The figure most often used is about 3% of the national territory, or roughly 420,000 hectares. The World Bank has also noted that land administered by the Forestry Agency covers a much larger area, but much of that land is pasture rather than forest. Preliminary satellite work has now put forest cover at about 4.7%. The higher estimate does not mean that Tajikistan suddenly gained trees. Better mapping may be capturing sparse woodland and remote areas missed by older records. The final inventory should also separate actual forest cover from land that belongs to the state forest fund but carries little or no tree cover. That distinction affects...

Earthquakes

Central Asia Remains Highly Vulnerable to Major Earthquakes

Earthquakes accounted for more than half of all deaths linked to natural hazards worldwide between 2000 and 2023, according to the World Health Organization (WHO). The agency warns that millions of people across its European Region still live or receive medical treatment in buildings that may not withstand a major seismic event. WHO has focused on hospitals because they must continue treating patients when injuries rise and local infrastructure is damaged. The agency estimates that earthquake-resistant standards add less than 4% to the cost of a new hospital, while retrofitting an existing facility typically costs about 1% of its value. Although WHO highlighted the danger facing Istanbul, the warning also applies to Central Asia. Nearly all of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan lie in areas of high seismic hazard, along with parts of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. Recent tremors in Almaty have brought the issue back into public view. As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, a magnitude-5.0 earthquake struck 74 kilometers northeast of the city on February 17, 2026. Residents left homes and offices, although no major damage was reported. Almaty introduced its Mass Alert system in May 2024 after an earlier earthquake caused panic across the city. Forty-four people sought medical treatment, most after being injured while leaving buildings. The system is connected to 28 seismic stations and sends warnings to mobile phones through cell towers. Up to 200 minor tremors are recorded each year within an 80-kilometer radius of Almaty. Approximately 30 tectonic faults run through the city and surrounding area. Experts estimate that an earthquake measuring 9-10 points in intensity could destroy as many as 30% of local buildings, given the density of high-rise construction in vulnerable foothill districts. A major earthquake could also interrupt hospital care without causing a building to collapse. Loss of electricity or water could halt surgery and emergency treatment, while blocked roads could prevent staff from reaching medical facilities. Kazakhstan resumed mandatory earthquake drills in Almaty after the strong tremors of 2024. Medical personnel have trained with rescue workers at emergency assembly points, and the military has practiced deploying mobile hospitals. The preparations reflect concern about the condition of older buildings and the rapid expansion of high-rise development. The densely populated Fergana Valley also poses a cross-border challenge because a single earthquake could affect communities in Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. Damage to roads or delays at border crossings could slow medical assistance when hospitals are under pressure. WHO recommends regular emergency exercises and medical teams that can continue operating when communications fail. Hospitals also need access to essential supplies if damaged transport routes delay deliveries. Central Asia's seismic history shows the possible scale of destruction. The 1911 Kemin earthquake, estimated at magnitude 8.2, destroyed hundreds of buildings in Verny, now Almaty. A magnitude-7.3 earthquake devastated Ashgabat in 1948, and the 1966 Tashkent earthquake left more than 300,000 people homeless. Those disasters occurred before much of the region's current urban growth. Dense construction has increased the number of people exposed to seismic...