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Climate Change

Kyrgyzstan Mudflows Surge Past 2024 Total as Officials Warn of Climate Risks

Kyrgyzstan has recorded more than 240 mudflows since the beginning of 2026, already well above the 133 cases registered during the whole of 2024. The figures were reported by the country's Ministry of Emergency Situations following a series of destructive floods and mudflows in June, when heavy rain hit several parts of the country, damaging homes, farmland, and a wide range of infrastructure. According to the ministry, 66 mudflow and flooding incidents were recorded between June 19 and 21. The southern part of the country – Batken, Osh, Jalal-Abad, as well as the northern region of Talas were among the affected regions. More than 300 homes were damaged or flooded over that three-day period, while emergency crews evacuated around 50 people from dangerous areas. The ministry also reported heavy livestock losses. The deadliest recent incident occurred on June 24, when a mudflow swept away a car on the Osh-Alay highway, killing six people. The ministry had earlier reported two mudflow-related deaths this year, bringing the reported 2026 toll to at least eight. That remains lower than the 25 deaths recorded in 2024, despite the higher number of incidents this year. Emergency officials say improved response work and protective measures have helped reduce casualties, though the scale of the damage remains severe. Kyrgyzstan has faced repeated mudflow damage in recent years, including flooding in southern regions and around Issyk-Kul. Its mountainous geography makes it particularly exposed to mudflows, as well as avalanches and landslides. Officials have also pointed to climate change, saying heavier and less predictable rainfall is increasing the danger. [caption id="attachment_51096" align="alignnone" width="768"] Image: Ministry of Emergency Situations of the Kyrgyz Republic[/caption] The Ministry of Emergency Situations is working with counterparts in Uzbekistan and Tajikistan under the regional RESILAND CA+ program, which is backed by the World Bank. The project is designed to reduce disaster risks in particular through building protective infrastructure and improving forecasting. In Kyrgyzstan, the program covers 21 high-risk sites in four regions. Work has already begun on strengthening vulnerable areas and restoring mudflow-protection infrastructure. The regional push comes as Central Asian governments warn that climate-related disasters are becoming harder to manage at the national level alone. “Completely preventing mudflows is impossible, but their impact on people can be significantly reduced,” Deputy Emergency Situations Minister Akylbek Mazaripov said. He also urged residents to take greater care when building homes near riverbeds and other hazardous areas. “Each person’s safety is also their own responsibility,” Mazaripov said. “Before building a house near a riverbed, people need to understand that one day a mudflow may pass through there.” Emergency crews remain deployed in affected areas, where they are clearing riverbeds, repairing protective structures, and coordinating relief work with local authorities.

Flood Forecasting

U.S. Companies to Help Kazakhstan Improve Snow Monitoring and Flood Forecasting

United States-based aviation technology firms Dynamic Aviation and Airborne Snow Observatories Inc. will work with Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation to improve snow monitoring, spring runoff forecasts, and early flood warnings, as the country seeks to avoid a repeat of the devastating floods of 2024. The cooperation program was discussed last week during talks between Kazakhstan’s Deputy Water Resources Minister Aslan Abdraimov and representatives of the two American companies, according to the ministry. The project will use aerial monitoring technologies to collect data from river basins, prepare cartographic materials and analytical reports, and integrate that information into Kazakhstan’s flood forecasting and modeling systems. The parties agreed on a phased rollout of the program. The first phase will focus on the Zhabai River basin, where high-precision snow measurements will be carried out using aviation-based technology. The collected data will be integrated into the ministry’s database to refine methodologies, train local specialists, and assess the feasibility of expanding the system to other parts of the country. Later stages will extend monitoring and forecasting to other priority river basins and regions, with the long-term goal of using the system nationwide to improve water management, lower flood risks, and help reservoir operators plan releases more accurately. “It is important for Kazakhstan to have not only up-to-date data but also a practical tool that enables early management decisions, reduces flood risks, and protects the population, infrastructure, and agriculture,” Abdraimov said. The initiative builds on Kazakhstan’s broader efforts to modernize flood management following the severe spring floods of 2024, when rapid snowmelt triggered large-scale flooding across western and northern regions of the country. As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, Kazakhstan recently launched the Tasqyn flood forecasting and modeling system, which is integrated with the Global Flood Awareness System, an international flood warning network. The 2024 floods destroyed thousands of homes and forced nearly 100,000 people to evacuate, highlighting the vulnerability of Kazakhstan’s water management system to increasingly volatile climate conditions.

Pest Control

Rats Reported at Turkmen Presidential Residence Near Ashgabat

A reported rat infestation at a Turkmen presidential residence near Ashgabat has prompted an overnight extermination operation at the compound in Archabil. According to Chronicles of Turkmenistan, sanitary workers were sent from Ashgabat to the presidential country residence on the night of June 15-16 after rats were found around the grounds. The operation reportedly lasted several hours. Pest-control teams flooded burrows and underground tunnels with water, collected the dead rats, and then treated the area with chemicals. Several carcasses were sent for laboratory testing at the Institute of Clinical Medicine and Epidemiology, housed in the former anti-plague station building. The tests reportedly found no dangerous infectious diseases. The rodents were identified as brown rats, also known as Norway rats. The species is common in urban environments and can carry diseases including leptospirosis, salmonellosis, and murine typhus. The apparent rise in rat numbers in Ashgabat and nearby areas has been linked to the regular killing of stray cats and dogs by city authorities. With fewer natural predators, they said, rats can spread more easily. Animal round-ups are a recurring feature of official preparations in Turkmenistan. In May, Turkmen.News reported that stray cats and dogs were removed from the western port city of Turkmenbashi ahead of a visit by President Serdar Berdimuhamedov. According to the outlet, this was not done subtly, with some animals “were bludgeoned to death with sticks and iron bars” in public view, including in front of children. The reported infestation is awkward for a state that presents Ashgabat and its elite residences as models of cleanliness and order. Turkmenistan’s government has not commented publicly on the incident.

Red Book

Kyrgyzstan Begins Updating Red Book as Scientists Survey Rare Species Nationwide

Kyrgyzstan has begun preparing its first comprehensive update of the national Red Book in nearly two decades. On June 3, 2026, the Ministry of Natural Resources, Ecology and Technical Supervision and the National Academy of Sciences signed a cooperation agreement to collect updated data on rare and endangered species of flora and fauna. The project is scheduled to last two years and is estimated to cost about 21 million soms. What Has Been Decided Under the agreement, scientists from the National Academy of Sciences will carry out field and desk-based research across the country to obtain current, reliable information on rare and threatened species. The studies are intended to clarify population sizes, habitat ranges, and extinction risks. At the end of the 24-month project, the scientists will submit a scientific database to the ministry, which will serve as the basis for a new edition of the Red Book. The ministry said updating this information will make it possible to protect vulnerable species more effectively and preserve the country’s biodiversity. A Book Reissued Only Twice in 40 Years A full edition of Kyrgyzstan’s Red Book has been published only twice. The first appeared in 1985, when it was still called the Red Book of the Kirghiz SSR. The second was released in 2006-2007 in two volumes: Animals and Plants and Fungi. Since then, the protected list has been adjusted without a new full edition. In 2019, officials said the list had increased by 22 animal and plant species, but no complete printed edition followed. This is the gap the new revision is intended to close. Since the last edition, both the condition of wildlife populations and monitoring methods have changed. New field data is therefore needed to ensure that the document reflects the current situation. Which Species Are Protected Today The current Red Book of Kyrgyzstan includes 57 bird species, 23 mammal species, two amphibian species, eight reptile species, seven fish species, and 18 arthropod species. In addition to animals, 89 species of higher plants and fungi are protected. These figures will be the starting point for the review. Researchers will need to determine which species are still found in their former habitats, which populations have declined, and which species may need to be added to the list for the first time. Snow Leopard: A National Symbol and a Rare Example of Recovery The best-known inhabitant of Kyrgyzstan’s mountains on the list is the snow leopard. On December 30, 2023, it was officially recognized as a national symbol of the country by presidential decree. The species is listed as vulnerable on the International Union for Conservation of Nature’s Red List and has rare or endangered status in all 12 countries across its range. Kyrgyzstan is also one of the few countries where official figures indicate that the snow leopard population is growing. According to the 2024 count, the country had about 511 individuals, compared with 282 in 2013. Penalties for the illegal capture and export of the animal were also increased...

Air Pollution

EBRD Backs $69 Million District Heating Upgrade in Bishkek to Tackle Air Pollution

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has arranged a financing package worth up to $69 million, or €64 million, for two district heating utilities in Kyrgyzstan’s capital, Bishkek. The package will modernize heating infrastructure and reduce winter air pollution in one of the world’s most polluted cities. The package will support Bishkekteploset (BTS) and Bishkekteploenergo (BTE), two municipal heating companies serving a city of more than one million people. Under the agreement, the EBRD will provide sovereign-backed loans totaling up to $29.5 million, including $18.6 million for BTS and $10.9 million for BTE. The financing will be complemented by up to $24.5 million in concessional funds from the Green Climate Fund through its Green Cities Facility, alongside investment grants totaling $11.6 million. The EBRD will also allocate an additional $3.6 million for project implementation support and an equal opportunities action plan. The investment will allow BTS to modernize pumping stations, including through the installation of small-scale solar photovoltaic systems. BTE will introduce large-scale district energy heat pumps, the first such installations in Central Asia. It will also upgrade boiler houses with renewable energy components. Both companies will modernize district heating networks and install supervisory control and data acquisition systems. They will also purchase specialized service vehicles. The projects will reduce reliance on fossil fuels and support cleaner heating solutions. They are also expected to cut greenhouse gas emissions in Bishkek. Bishkek joined the EBRD Green Cities program in 2024 and adopted an environmental action plan that identified modernization of the city’s heating system as one of its most urgent priorities. The Kyrgyz capital currently relies heavily on the coal-fired Bishkek Thermal Power Plant for both electricity and heating. The plant generates about 13% of Kyrgyzstan’s electricity and supplies heat and hot water to nearly two-thirds of the city. As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, emissions from the aging power plant account for about 15% of Bishkek’s air pollution. Air pollution remains one of Bishkek’s most pressing environmental challenges, particularly during winter, when widespread coal burning for household heating pushes pollution levels sharply higher. The city regularly ranks among the world’s ten most polluted urban centers in IQAir’s global air quality index.

Water Security

Opinion: The Amu Darya Stress Test – Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and the Politics of Agricultural Adaptation

Central Asia’s water crisis is usually discussed as a problem of rivers, reservoirs, and diplomacy. But in 2026, the Amu Darya is also becoming something else: a test of state adaptation. The river basin entered the irrigation season under acute pressure. According to data cited by Kabar, the flow of the Amu Darya stood at only 66.8% of its normal level as of February 11, compared with 101.8% a year earlier. The Times of Central Asia previously reported that the river’s flow could fall to around 65% of its historical norm, raising risks for food security and agriculture across downstream states. Meanwhile, Afghanistan’s Qosh-Tepa Canal is advancing. The canal, one of the Taliban government’s most ambitious infrastructure projects, is designed to divert water from the Amu Darya to irrigate large areas of northern Afghanistan. Carnegie Politika has estimated that, once fully operational by 2028, it could take up to 10 cubic kilometers of water annually from the river. For Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, the implications are direct. Both rely heavily on Amu Darya water. Both inherited agricultural systems shaped by Soviet-era irrigation, cotton production, and centralized planning, and both are now facing a combination of climate stress, upstream extraction, and aging water infrastructure. Yet their responses are increasingly different. The emerging contrast is not simply between two agricultural policies; it is between two institutional logics: adaptation and control. Uzbekistan’s Adjustment Strategy Uzbekistan is one of the most exposed countries in the region. Its population is large, its agriculture remains water-intensive, and some of its most vulnerable regions, including Khorezm and Karakalpakstan, sit near the lower reaches of the Amu Darya. For decades, the old model relied on large-scale irrigation, cotton, rice, and the assumption that water would continue to move through the regional system much as it had before. That assumption is now weakening. Tashkent’s response remains costly and far from complete. Uzbekistan still faces serious water losses, degraded land, salinization, and uneven implementation of reform. But the direction of travel is visible: the state is trying to reduce exposure by changing crops, infrastructure, and diplomatic behavior. Rice is one example. Traditional flooded rice cultivation is extremely water-intensive, and water shortages have already pushed some Uzbek rice farmers away from traditional Amu Darya regions toward areas with more stable access to water. Uzbekistan has also begun experimenting with less water-intensive methods. In Karakalpakstan, UNDP has supported the introduction of upland rice, which can reduce water consumption by up to 40% compared with traditional rice cultivation. Separately, Uzbekistan has announced plans to expand resource-efficient rice cultivation, including drip irrigation and drought-resilient rice varieties. The state is no longer treating the old water-intensive model as untouchable. In 2026, Uzbekistan allocated significant public financing for water-saving technologies. Government-linked reporting has described plans to expand drip irrigation, sprinkler systems, and laser land leveling across hundreds of thousands of hectares, with a broader target of expanding water-saving technologies to 3.5 million hectares by 2028. Laser leveling may sound technical, but its use reflects a shift from simply demanding more...