Kazakhstan Business & Economy - The Times Of Central Asia

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OPEC

Kazakhstan OPEC+ Oil Production Target Rises After Output Agreement

Kazakhstan's OPEC+ crude oil production target will rise by 10,000 barrels per day in September to 1.628 million barrels per day after seven producers agreed to increase their combined target by 188,000 barrels per day. The decision completes the gradual restoration of 1.65 million barrels per day of production withheld under voluntary cuts announced in April 2023. Following a virtual meeting on August 2, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman agreed to the latest adjustment. The United Arab Emirates was part of the original group implementing the voluntary cuts but left OPEC and OPEC+ on May 1, reducing the group making the monthly decisions from eight countries to seven. OPEC's rounded country allocations raise the targets of Saudi Arabia and Russia by 62,000 barrels per day each, Iraq by 26,000, Kuwait by 16,000, Kazakhstan by 10,000, Algeria by 6,000, and Oman by 5,000 barrels per day. OPEC+ said the adjustment would allow participating countries to accelerate compensation for previous overproduction. It does not cancel Kazakhstan's obligation to offset all excess volumes produced since January 2024 by producing below its applicable targets in future months. Kazakhstan has faced sustained pressure within OPEC+ after repeatedly producing above its agreed limits. The expansion of the Tengiz oilfield has pushed national output to record levels, while Astana has repeatedly said it intends to meet its compensation commitments. Reuters reported that successive OPEC+ increases this year have remained largely on paper because export disruptions have constrained supply from the Gulf, Russia, and Kazakhstan. Sources had indicated that the group could pause further increases in the fourth quarter, although the August 2 statement made no commitment on production policy for the final three months of 2026. Recent disruptions at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium provide an immediate limit on what Kazakhstan's higher target may mean. The Times of Central Asia reported on August 3 that tankers were loading and Kazakhstan had restored crude intake after attacks near CPC's Black Sea terminal, but the available statements did not establish a full return to planned export volumes. CPC handles more than 80% of Kazakhstan's crude exports, so renewed loading restrictions could again force producers to cut output regardless of the higher quota. OPEC+ is also reviewing members' production capacity before setting the baselines that will apply in 2027. The seven producers will meet again on September 6 to assess market conditions and decide whether to make further changes.

Caspian Pipeline Consortium

Chevron Says CPC Is Loading Tankers as Kazakhstan Restores Oil Intake

Chevron CEO Mike Wirth said that oil was flowing through the CPC pipeline and tankers were being loaded on July 31, one day after two vessels were attacked near its Black Sea terminal. Kazakhstan’s Energy Ministry said intake reached 100,000 metric tons a day from August 1 and rejected reports of a complete shutdown. “The pipeline is flowing. We’ve been loading ships this week,” Wirth said during Chevron’s second-quarter earnings call. He said two of CPC’s three single-point moorings were in service. The third was undergoing refurbishment and was expected to return during the third quarter. The ministry said CPC temporarily suspended pipeline system operations on July 31 but continued receiving crude and filling storage tanks. A complete shutdown “is not being considered,” it said. Further increases would depend on tankers arriving for loading near Novorossiysk. The two statements indicate that loadings restarted quickly after the July 30 attacks, but do not establish a full return to planned export volumes. CPC can receive crude while storage space remains available, but if tanker loadings fall behind, storage fills and producers must cut output as they did in late July. On August 2, OPEC+ raised Kazakhstan’s September target by 10,000 barrels per day to 1.628 million barrels. The increase formed part of a combined 188,000-barrel-per-day rise for Kazakhstan and six other producers. The group said countries that had exceeded their quotas since January 2024 would make up for the excess by producing less in future months. A separate OPEC+ monitoring committee, which includes Kazakhstan, stressed the “critical importance” of safeguarding international maritime routes and expressed concern about attacks on energy infrastructure. Its statement did not name CPC or the Black Sea incidents. For Kazakhstan, the higher quota may have little immediate effect if export flows remain constrained. Reuters has reported that OPEC+ may pause further increases after September while it reviews production capacity for quota baselines which will apply in 2027. The immediate risk is a repeat of late July, when disrupted loadings filled storage and forced sharp production cuts at Tengiz and other major fields. CPC loadings had resumed on July 27 after a week-long suspension. Three days later, two more tankers were attacked near the terminal. NISSOS SIFNOS was struck while loading Tengizchevroil crude at the SPM-3 offshore mooring, while MARATHI was hit while waiting for a berth about six nautical miles offshore. Both fires were extinguished, and no injuries to the crews or pollution were reported. Neither CPC nor Kazakhstan publicly identified an attacker. Ukraine’s drone forces later said they had struck four Russian tankers in the Black and Azov seas, but did not name the vessels or locations. The earlier stoppage had already demonstrated how swiftly export disruption can reach Kazakhstan’s oilfields. National oil and gas condensate production fell to about one million barrels per day on July 26, less than half the June average of 2.16 million barrels per day. CPC runs for about 1,510 kilometers from western Kazakhstan through Russia to the Black Sea. It handles...

Trans-Caspian Cable

Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan Begin Laying Trans-Caspian Fiber-Optic Cable

Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan have begun laying a fiber-optic cable across the Caspian Sea, marking the start of offshore construction on a long-planned digital connection between Central Asia and the South Caucasus. A specialized cable-laying vessel has departed the Port of Baku and begun laying the line toward Aktau, the Ministry of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Development of Kazakhstan announced. Weather permitting, the underwater installation is expected to take 15 to 20 days. Testing and commissioning are scheduled to be completed by the end of 2026. The 380-kilometer cable will connect Sumgait in Azerbaijan with Aktau in western Kazakhstan. It will be capable of transmitting up to 400 terabits of data per second, according to AzerTelecom. The full system, including testing and commissioning, is scheduled to be completed by the end of 2026. The project is being implemented by CaspiLink B.V., a joint venture established by Kazakhstan’s Kazakhtelecom and Azerbaijan’s AzerTelecom. It forms part of the Digital Silk Way initiative, a planned telecommunications corridor linking Asia and Europe. Preparatory work included surveys of the Caspian seabed and the selection of a route avoiding anchorage areas and military exercise zones. The armored cable was manufactured and tested in China before being delivered to the Kazakh port of Kuryk and transported to Baku for installation. As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, the project had entered active implementation after several years of delays and changes among the participating companies. The cable was first proposed in 2019, although earlier completion targets were not met. Once operational, the link will provide a direct subsea data route between Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan. It will also expand Kazakhstan’s capacity to carry internet traffic between Asian and European networks.

Copper Smelting

Kazakhstan Targets 50% Increase in Refined Copper Output with Balkhash Smelter

Kazakhstan plans to increase refined copper production by around 50% after approving the construction of a new smelter in Balkhash, one of the country’s largest industrial projects in recent years. The government expects the plant to expand exports of products with greater added value and reinforce Kazakhstan’s position among the world’s leading copper producers. The investment agreement was signed between the Ministry of Industry and Construction and Qazaq Smelter LLP and approved by Prime Minister Olzhas Bektenov. The project forms part of Kazakhstan’s strategy to increase domestic processing of mineral resources and reduce exports of raw materials. Private investment is estimated at 750 billion tenge, or approximately $1.6 billion. Construction is scheduled to begin in 2027, with commissioning planned for 2030. The smelter will have an annual production capacity of 300,000 metric tons of cathode copper, 10 metric tons of gold, 300 metric tons of silver, and more than 1.5 million metric tons of sulfuric acid. According to government estimates, the new facility will raise Kazakhstan’s total refined copper output to more than 800,000 metric tons per year. Exports of cathode copper and other processed copper products are expected to increase from 460,000 metric tons to 760,000 metric tons annually. The project will create around 1,200 permanent jobs. Kazakh citizens are expected to account for 90% of the workforce when the plant enters operation, rising to 95% over time. The investor has also committed to financing the education of 50 students each year at educational institutions in Karaganda Region to help train future specialists. Government data show that Kazakhstan’s manufacturing sector expanded by 9.8% during the first half of 2026, while cathode copper production reached 232,000 metric tons. Officials have repeatedly identified deeper processing of mineral resources as one of the country’s principal industrial-policy priorities. Kazakhstan already ranks among the world’s major copper producers. Production is concentrated within several vertically integrated mining groups, led by Kazakhmys, which operates mining and smelting facilities in Zhezkazgan and Balkhash. Other major producers include KAZ Minerals, whose flagship operations are Aktogay and Bozshakol, and Kazzinc, which produces refined copper alongside zinc, lead, and precious metals. The new Balkhash smelter is part of Kazakhstan’s effort to increase domestic processing as global demand for copper rises. Expanding power grids and the growth of electric vehicles are expected to support demand in the coming years. The Times of Central Asia previously reported that Australia’s C29 Metals partnered with Kazakh companies to explore new copper and gold deposits. The partnership is another example of international interest in the country’s mineral resources.

Railway Manufacturing

Alstom’s Jérôme Boyet: Kazakhstan Is Building a Regional Rail Manufacturing Hub

Kazakhstan has spent the past decade developing domestic rail manufacturing, supported by foreign investment and increased local production. The sector is also beginning to supply export markets. Kazakhstan is also preparing the next phase of railway expansion to increase network capacity and accommodate growing transit volumes. Alstom has operated in Kazakhstan since 2010, developing locomotive production and maintenance facilities while increasing the manufacture of components in the country. Its Astana plant has also produced locomotives for export. In an interview with The Times of Central Asia, Jérôme Boyet, Alstom’s managing director for Western and Central Asia, discusses the company’s investment plans and efforts to increase local production. He also considers how new locomotive projects and the Middle Corridor could affect Kazakhstan’s prospects as a regional rail manufacturing center. TCA: Alstom has now been operating in Kazakhstan for 15 years and has become one of the country’s largest industrial investors. What are the company’s current investment priorities, and how has its business in Kazakhstan evolved over that period? Jérôme Boyet: Over the past 15 years, Kazakhstan has become much more than a market for Alstom. It has evolved into one of our key manufacturing and engineering centers for Western and Central Asia. To date, we have delivered almost 500 electric locomotive sections to Kazakhstan Temir Zholy (KTZ) and another 50 to international customers. Our work extends well beyond manufacturing. Through service teams based across Kazakhstan, we maintain KTZ’s locomotive fleet throughout its life cycle, helping ensure the locomotives remain safe, reliable, and available for operation. To strengthen these capabilities, we launched a €50 million investment program in 2023 covering four service depots in Almaty, Astana, Shu, and Arys. The upgraded facilities are already beginning to deliver results and are scheduled to become fully operational by the end of 2027. The program will establish a nationwide maintenance network, reduce locomotive downtime, and further strengthen Kazakhstan’s technical expertise in fleet maintenance. These investments build on the industrial base we have developed over the past decade and a half. Today, our priority is to integrate manufacturing, maintenance, digital diagnostics, and local engineering expertise into a single industrial ecosystem capable of supporting the continued modernization of Kazakhstan’s railway network and growing freight traffic along strategic routes such as the Middle Corridor. TCA: How large is Alstom’s workforce in Kazakhstan today, and what role does workforce development play in your localization strategy? Jérôme Boyet: Alstom currently employs more than 1,300 people in Kazakhstan, with our workforce divided almost equally between manufacturing and service activities. Around 20% of our employees are women, while the average length of service exceeds four years. Importantly, 98% of our employees are citizens of Kazakhstan, reflecting the strong technical capabilities that have been developed locally. For us, localization goes beyond manufacturing components. It also means developing knowledge, engineering expertise, and professional skills within Kazakhstan. Our employees work across the entire industrial cycle from engineering, welding, and assembly to testing, diagnostics, and maintenance. As new locomotive and service projects move forward, we continue...

Marketplace

Kazakhstan Yet to Receive Wildberries Warehouse Request

Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Trade and Integration has said it is prepared to consider a request from RWB, the company formed through the merger of online marketplace Wildberries and outdoor advertising operator Russ, to establish additional warehouse capacity in the country. The company’s reported interest comes amid continuing drone attacks on logistics infrastructure in Russia. The ministry said it has not yet received any formal request from Wildberries. Should one be submitted, it would be considered in accordance with Kazakhstan’s legislation and the country’s national interests. “To date, the Ministry of Trade and Integration has not received any official request from Wildberries regarding the placement of additional warehouse facilities in the Republic of Kazakhstan. If such proposals are submitted, they will be considered in accordance with the legislation of the Republic of Kazakhstan and with due regard for the country’s national interests,” the ministry said. The ministry added that it supports investment projects aimed at developing modern logistics infrastructure, creating jobs, and expanding cross-border e-commerce. It also stressed that all market participants are subject to the same rules under Kazakhstan’s legislation and the regulations of the Eurasian Economic Union, with no special preferences or exemptions. As The Times of Central Asia previously reported, RWB began looking for warehouse space in Kazakhstan after a series of drone attacks on logistics facilities in Russia that began on July 18. The company is seeking approximately 100,000 square meters of warehouse space, although market participants say there is currently no single vacant logistics complex of that size in Kazakhstan. The expansion of logistics infrastructure has become a priority as Kazakhstan’s online retail market grows. The Ministry of Trade and Integration says the sector is now more than seven times larger than five years ago, surpassing $6.1 billion and accounting for 14.1% of retail turnover. By 2030, the government wants online sales to account for 20% of the domestic retail market.