Foreign Investment - The Times Of Central Asia

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Foreign Investment

Kazakhstan Finance Day in New York Showcases Market Reform, IPO Ambitions, and Alatau City Pitch

At Kazakhstan Finance Day in New York, officials and executives used the panel “Investment Opportunities in Kazakhstan” to present the country as entering a new phase of market development, citing macroeconomic stability, capital-market reform, potential initial and secondary public offerings, and infrastructure tied to the Alatau City project. The panel session was held at Citigroup headquarters in Manhattan and was moderated by Stephanie von Friedeburg, global head of Citi’s Public Sector Group. Speakers included Timur Suleimenov, governor of the National Bank of Kazakhstan; Adil Mukhamejanov, chairperson of the management board of the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE); Zhandos Shaikhy, deputy chairman of the management board of Baiterek National Managing Holding; Aidar Ryskulov, managing director for economics and finance at Samruk-Kazyna; and Bayan Konirbayev, deputy CEO and chief digital officer of the Alatau City Authority. Opening the event, von Friedeburg noted that the forum’s return to Citigroup headquarters for a third time reflected the continued engagement between Kazakhstan and U.S. investors. Kazakhstan’s ambassador to the United States, Magzhan Ilyassov, linked the event to growth in bilateral economic ties, citing more than $17 billion in commercial agreements signed during President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev’s November 2025 visit to Washington, and adding that further agreements were under consideration. The first financial presentation came from Suleimenov, who reported that Kazakhstan’s economy grew 6.5% in 2025, inflation had eased to 11%, and the National Bank remained committed to returning inflation to its 5% target. He framed the country’s investment case around tighter macroeconomic coordination, fiscal discipline, and financial-sector development. “We’re also exploring the development of a national crypto reserve framework, where digital assets will gradually be accumulated and managed as part of a sovereign reserve diversification strategy,” Suleimenov explained. He also pointed to continued work on the digital tenge and national digital financial infrastructure. Suleimenov connected that financial agenda to the investment case, arguing that Kazakhstan was reducing its structural dependence on oil revenue and moving ahead with legal and tax changes aimed at improving the investment climate. He described the Middle Corridor as increasingly important and called the route through Kazakhstan, the Caspian, and the Caucasus “the only viable, reliable route” between the East and West. [caption id="attachment_47460" align="aligncenter" width="1258"] Kazakhstan Finance Day in New York; image: K. Krombie[/caption] The discussion then moved to Samruk-Kazyna’s finances and privatization plans. Aidar Ryskulov put the fund’s assets under management at $88 billion and EBITDA at $10.8 billion. He indicated that the fund intended to remain active in international debt markets this year. The clearest transaction signal concerned Kazakhstan Temir Zholy (KTZ). Ryskulov stated that Samruk-Kazyna was targeting a public-market transaction this year, with London, Hong Kong, and Astana under consideration, although timing would depend on macroeconomic conditions. He also characterized Kazatomprom as “one of the best assets” and presented it as undervalued and a high-dividend company. Zhandos Shaikhy focused on Baiterek’s scale and project pipeline. “Today, we manage over $36 billion of assets across diversified sectors,” he remarked, adding that “during the last year, Baiterek has extended more than...

U.S.-Kazakhstan Relations

Kazakhstan Central Bank Chief Eyes Deeper U.S. Investment Links

Addressing senior executives from more than a dozen Fortune 100 companies active in Kazakhstan at a U.S. Chamber of Commerce-hosted event in Washington, D.C., on April 14, Timur Suleimenov, Governor of the National Bank of Kazakhstan, laid out the country’s economic outlook and later spoke with The Times of Central Asia on a range of related issues. He was accompanied by Erzhan Kazykhan, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev’s Special Representative for Negotiations with the United States, Deputy Foreign Minister Alibek Kuantyrov, and Kazakhstan’s Ambassador to the United States, Magzhan Ilyassov. [caption id="attachment_47306" align="aligncenter" width="1536"] Timur Suleimenov, Governor of the National Bank of Kazakhstan, with Javier Piedra[/caption] Kazakhstan’s U.S. Financial Stakes Amid Growth and Inflation Suleimenov offered a compelling case for Kazakhstan’s economy, citing steady growth, higher investment flows, and a deepening consumer market. Kazakhstan’s economy expanded 6.5% in 2025, marking a third straight year of growth above 5%. GDP per capita surpassed $15,000 – compared to approximately $3,162 in Uzbekistan and about $2,420 in Kyrgyzstan. Fixed-income investments rose 15% year-on-year, and foreign direct investment climbed to 20.5% (from 14.5%), broadening beyond oil. Suleimenov emphasized the Central Bank’s strong stewardship, citing a new tax and budget code to enhance fiscal discipline and monetary policy that supports investment, stressing that, “We will deal with inflation pressures and external shocks simultaneously while managing cryptocurrencies and private digital payments systems, which can weaken central bank control over money and policy transmission. The markets suggest that we have been doing an excellent job in a complex environment.” The government, Suleimenov said, is on track to consolidate the budget, with the deficit projected at 2.5% this year, 1.7% next year, and 0.9% by 2028, adding that this will strengthen fiscal-monetary coordination, and noting Kazakhstan’s debt-to-GDP ratio of 24% remains low compared with countries such as the United States (125%), Japan (230%), Italy (137%). As inflation declined to 11% in March 2026 from 11.7% the previous month, Suleimenov reassured TCA that officials regard it as transitory, saying that “inflation was driven by resilient domestic demand backed by fiscal and quasi-fiscal stimulation, external price pressures (Russian inflation, global food prices), increasing regulated prices (utilities and fuel), and tax reform (a VAT increase from 12% to 16%), with volatile and elevated inflation expectations. For these reasons, we responded with rate hikes and liquidity tightening, bringing inflation down to about 11%, with a further easing expected to single digits by the end of this year.” Suleimenov reaffirmed that “the United States is integral to Kazakhstan’s financial system and long-term asset strategy.” He noted that Kazakhstan manages approximately $190 billion in long-term assets, including some $75 billion in National Bank reserves, $60 billion in the National Fund, and $55 billion in the unified pension fund. Around one-third of these assets are invested in U.S. securities, while roughly $50 billion is managed by American firms, underscoring deep financial ties beyond industrial investment. TCA asked how U.S. sanctions and export controls affect Kazakhstan, a concern that was especially acute in the initial stages of the Russo-Ukrainian...

U.S.-Uzbekistan Relations

The American-Uzbek Business Council Launches in Washington

Washington D.C. - At the launch of the American-Uzbek Business and Investment Council in Washington on April 6, the most revealing line came early. Ambassador Sergio Gor, the White House’s special envoy for South and Central Asia, and Co-Chair of the Council, did not begin with trade statistics or a list of deliverables. He began with a blunt assessment of how the region has been treated in Washington. “For too long, this region has not found the attention that it deserves,” he said. That observation is hardly novel to anyone who follows Central Asia. What made it notable was the speaker and the setting. U.S. policy toward the region has often been episodic, driven at different times by Afghanistan, by Russia, by sanctions enforcement, or by concern over Chinese influence rather than sustained by a coherent regional economic strategy. Gor’s remarks suggested an attempt, at least by the current administration, to correct for that pattern. He was equally clear, however, that this was a political opening, not yet a settled doctrine. “Take this opportunity that the next two and a half years present,” he told the room, an unusually candid acknowledgment that Washington’s attention may be real without yet being durable. His other key formulation explained how the administration wants to make that attention count. “Never before in the history of the U.S. government has commercial diplomacy been such a major pillar of U.S. foreign policy,” Gor said. Whatever the phrasing, the intended shift was clear. Washington is signaling that in Central Asia, economic statecraft will not be treated as a side channel to politics, but as a primary instrument of policy. In that sense, the new council is less a ceremonial bilateral upgrade than a mechanism for turning political attention into projects, financing, and institutional follow-through. [caption id="attachment_46673" align="aligncenter" width="1600"] Image: TCA[/caption] Saida Mirziyoyeva, head of Uzbekistan’s presidential administration and the Uzbek co-chair of the council, answered that shift with a line that was just as pointed. “We are no longer at the stage where we speak about potential,” she said. “We are at the stage where we must deliver.” For a government that has spent years presenting Uzbekistan as a reforming economy open to outside capital, that was a significant change of emphasis. The argument is no longer that Uzbekistan deserves credit for opening up but that it now expects to be judged by execution. Her most substantive remarks were about institutions rather than ambition. The council matters, she said, because it should help “solve problems quickly, without unnecessary bureaucracy” and ensure that “no project is lost along the way.” That is a more serious claim than the language of partnership that usually fills these forums. Mirziyoyeva was effectively acknowledging the gap that often opens between political endorsement and project delivery. Uzbekistan’s challenge is no longer simply attracting attention from foreign partners but getting projects through financing, approvals, and implementation without losing momentum inside the state apparatus. That urgency reflects the scale of the opportunity. Uzbekistan, with a...

Islamic finance

Uzbekistan Targets $50 Billion in Investment with Financial Reforms

Uzbekistan is preparing to introduce Islamic finance services nationwide, with the first offerings expected in 2027. Under the country’s updated “Uzbekistan 2030” development strategy, at least three commercial banks are expected to provide Sharia-compliant financial services by the end of the decade, marking a significant shift in the structure of the banking sector. Against this backdrop, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev was briefed on March 25 on a broader set of initiatives aimed at strengthening the country’s investment climate. These include plans to establish the Tashkent International Financial Center, launch an International Center for Digital Technologies, and gradually introduce Islamic finance mechanisms. The presentation comes as Uzbekistan seeks to position itself more competitively in the global economy amid rising geopolitical uncertainty and intensifying competition for foreign investment. Officials said the country’s natural resources, economic potential, and ongoing reforms create favorable conditions for attracting international companies exploring new markets. Mirziyoyev stressed the need to act swiftly to capitalize on emerging opportunities, noting that attracting foreign investors requires modern infrastructure, a transparent business environment, and legal systems aligned with international standards. Uzbekistan aims to attract more than $50 billion in investment this year. A central component of the strategy is the Tashkent International Financial Center, which is expected to serve as a platform for new investment flows and long-term economic growth. By 2030, it is projected to attract an additional $20-25 billion, contribute up to 1% of annual GDP growth, and create as many as 15,000 highly skilled jobs. The center will operate under a special legal regime incorporating elements of the common law system of England and Wales, while allowing its governing bodies to adopt independent regulations. Plans include the establishment of a Tashkent International Commercial Court and an International Arbitration Center to handle disputes. Investors are expected to benefit from tax incentives, simplified visa procedures, and the ability to freely move and repatriate capital, alongside access to modern financial instruments, including digital assets. In parallel, Uzbekistan is developing the International Center for Digital Technologies under the Enterprise Uzbekistan brand. The center will function under a special legal framework expected to remain in place until 2100. Within a regulatory sandbox, companies will be able to test new technologies, pay salaries in foreign currency, and operate under international labor and data standards. The digital center will focus on artificial intelligence, data processing, research and development, and startup support. By 2030, it is expected to attract up to 1,000 companies, create more than 300,000 jobs, and generate export revenues of up to $5 billion. Several major international technology firms have already expressed interest in the initiative. The introduction of Islamic finance is another key pillar of the reform agenda. The proposed system includes instruments such as murabaha, mudarabah, musharakah, and Islamic leasing, all designed to comply with national legislation. Tax measures are also under consideration, including exemptions on certain transactions and investment income. To oversee the sector, an Islamic Finance Council will be established under the Central Bank, with similar bodies to be created within...

Aviation Investment

European Investment Fund Commits Over $200 Million to Tajik Airline

The European investment fund CFC s.r.o. plans to invest more than $200 million in the development of Tajikistan’s private carrier Shohin Airlines. The five-year agreement follows several months of negotiations between the parties. According to Shohin Airlines, the final round of talks took place on March 10, 2026, in Dushanbe. The meeting was attended by the airline’s chief executive officer, Zafar Ahmadzoda, and the founder of CFC s.r.o., Guntars Selikovs. One factor influencing the investor’s decision was the recent improvement in Tajikistan’s sovereign credit ratings by the international agencies Moody’s and S&P Global Ratings. This development has increased foreign partners’ confidence in the country’s economic stability. The parties agreed that the investment will be directed toward expanding the airline’s fleet, developing operational capacity, and modernizing infrastructure. “The signing of the investment agreement is an important milestone in Shohin Airlines’ development,” Ahmadzoda said, noting that the deal is expected to accelerate the company’s growth and expand its route network. Selikovs stated that negotiations lasted more than six months and included meetings in Dubai and several European countries. “This allowed us to thoroughly assess the company’s business model and market potential,” he said. Shohin Airlines is a private carrier focused on developing regional aviation in Tajikistan and neighboring markets. At present, the company operates specialized helicopter flights. The next stage of development will involve fleet expansion. In the near future, the airline plans to acquire an L-410 NG, a Czech-made turboprop aircraft designed for regional transport. CFC s.r.o., a fund registered in the Czech Republic, operates across markets in Europe, the Persian Gulf, and Central Asia. Its investment strategy focuses on fast-growing industries. The agreement with Shohin Airlines could become one of the largest private investments in Tajikistan’s aviation sector in recent years and may signal growing interest among international investors in the country.

Agriculture

Farmers, Courts, and Investors: Examining Recent Land Disputes in Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan’s agricultural sector is once again in the spotlight following a recent report by Human Rights Watch and the Uzbek Forum for Human Rights, which raised concerns about the treatment of cotton and wheat farmers under what it describes as a coercive state production system. At the same time, local agricultural representatives argue that the situation is more complex and that recent legal and institutional changes have improved farmers’ ability to defend their rights. The debate intensified earlier this year after complaints from farmers in parts of the Syrdarya region, particularly in the Xovos district, regarding land seizures linked to failure to meet so-called “normative yield” requirements. Komoliddin Ikromov, head of the Agrobiznes Association, has been among the most vocal local figures commenting on these developments. State Plan Abolished, but Normative Yields Remain According to Ikromov, it is important to distinguish between the former state production plan and the current regulatory framework. “There is no state plan now,” he said. “The state order was abolished in 2020. What exists today is the concept of rational land use. If a farm’s yield falls below the normative level for three consecutive years, then the land may be withdrawn, but only through a court decision.” While cotton state procurement was abolished beginning with the 2020 harvest, reforms affecting wheat and grain procurement were phased in and linked to the 2021 harvest. Ikromov referred to Article 36 of the Land Code, which sets out the procedure for termination of land-use rights where land is used irrationally or in violation of law. Detailed criteria — such as persistent underperformance relative to normative yield levels — are established in related regulatory acts rather than in the Land Code text itself. “Under current legislation, the khokim (local governor) cannot independently seize land,” Ikromov said. “The case must be submitted to the court. Only a court can decide.” Ikromov cited reforms adopted beginning in 2022 and subsequently strengthened by presidential measures in 2024, which expanded electronic auction procedures and curtailed direct administrative land allocation. Complaints from Farmers Beginning in January, the Agrobiznes Association started receiving complaints from farmers, mainly in Syrdarya. “I personally received about 50 to 60 appeals,” Ikromov said. “In total, there were more than 100 messages, mostly through Telegram.” According to him, many complaints concerned pressure to voluntarily surrender land leases through notarized statements. Farmers alleged that they were being encouraged or pressured to go to a notary and sign documents relinquishing their land. “These were not isolated cases,” he said. “In some districts, it was widespread. But after the issue was raised publicly, the process shifted. Now cases are going through courts.” Ikromov noted that unusual weather conditions contributed to the problem. Heatwaves and water shortages in 2024 made it difficult for some farmers to meet normative yield levels. In areas like Xovos, where soil fertility is relatively low, he said, agricultural production is already more challenging. Legal Process and Court Outcomes Following public attention, including Ikromov’s interview with the Uzbek outlet Kun.uz, land disputes increasingly...