Fuel Supply - The Times Of Central Asia

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Inflation

Kyrgyzstan Drafts $419 Million Plan to Curb Rising Prices

Kyrgyzstan has drafted a plan worth about $419 million to curb rising prices in 2026–2027. The authorities aim to increase food production and build reserves, but fuel imported primarily from Russia remains a major source of inflationary pressure largely beyond the government’s control. The draft was presented to the Cabinet on August 21. During the first seven months of 2026, consumer prices and tariffs in Kyrgyzstan rose by 6.7% from their December 2025 level. Average annual inflation over the same period was 10.7%. Food prices rose particularly sharply, with fresh fruit up 16% and meat products 14.5%. Lamb recorded the largest increase at 23.1%. Horse meat rose by 16%, while beef increased by 14.2%. The authorities have already intervened directly in the meat market. In March, Kyrgyzstan introduced a six-month ban on livestock exports. Temporary state controls on beef and mutton prices also applied earlier this year but expired on May 2. The plan calls for increasing the productive livestock population by at least 20,000 head. Agribusinesses will be eligible for preferential loans, while the dairy and poultry sectors will receive subsidies. Storage facilities with a combined capacity of 18,000 metric tons are planned in all seven regions. Farmers are to receive 68,000 metric tons of seed and the necessary amounts of mineral fertilizer. The government also intends to ensure sufficient wheat supplies for the domestic market and purchase another 20,000 metric tons from local producers for state reserves. The draft would establish direct supply channels for agricultural products and expand the network of retail outlets operating without intermediaries. Kyrgyzstan relies on imports for almost all of its petroleum products. Deputy Energy Minister Nasipbek Kerimov said in July that Russia had supplied about 95% of the country’s annual fuel needs in recent years, with total consumption of around 2 million metric tons. This summer, Russia’s fuel shortages worsened amid refinery outages following Ukrainian drone attacks, high seasonal demand, and transport problems. Moscow tightened restrictions on fuel exports and turned to imports to support domestic supplies. For Kyrgyzstan, the decline in Russian supplies quickly became a problem. According to the National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic, the average price of AI-92 gasoline reached 88.24 soms per liter by August 12, around 6% above the July average. AI-95 rose by 12% to 109.24 soms, while diesel increased by 5% to 102.08 soms. The government has already raised its year-end inflation forecast to 14–15% from an earlier projection of 9%, citing rising fuel costs as one reason. The National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic kept its policy rate at 12% on July 27. Among the external inflation risks, the central bank cited volatile global food prices and possible disruptions to petroleum-product supplies through the Strait of Hormuz. Its medium-term inflation target is 5–7%. Kyrgyzstan cannot quickly replace Russian fuel, but importers have begun seeking supplies farther afield. Kanatbek Eshatov, president of the Association of Oil Traders of Kyrgyzstan, said on August 12 that reduced supplies from Russian refineries had prompted deliveries from...

Fuel Supply

Kyrgyzstan Turns to China as Russian Fuel Supplies Falter

Kyrgyzstan, which has depended almost entirely on Russian fuel for years, is accelerating its search for alternative suppliers. On August 17, the authorities began direct talks with China’s Sinopec. The search has become more urgent as Russian supplies have grown less reliable and gasoline prices in Bishkek have risen. Some filling stations have also periodically run out of AI-95 gasoline. Erlist Akunbekov, Kyrgyzstan’s deputy chairman of the Cabinet of Ministers, met with executives from China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) in Urumqi on August 17. Representatives of more than ten Kyrgyz oil-sector companies traveled to China with him. The sides discussed direct supplies of petroleum products, including transportation and customs clearance. “Kyrgyzstan is interested in increasing supplies of petroleum products from China. This area has great potential and, I believe, represents a long-term direction for trade and economic cooperation between our countries,” Akunbekov said during the meeting. Until recently, Bishkek had little reason to change the established arrangement. Russia is relatively close and supplies petroleum products to Kyrgyzstan duty-free under agreed indicative balances within the Eurasian Economic Union. Russian fuel accounts for more than 90% of Kyrgyzstan’s imported petroleum products. From January through May 2026, Russia supplied more than 251,000 tons of gasoline and 235,150 tons of diesel fuel. Jet fuel deliveries reached 48,150 tons. But the reliability of this model has come into question amid problems at Russian refineries. Ukrainian drone strikes and refinery maintenance have reduced available supplies. Seasonal demand and export restrictions have added further pressure, while renewed attacks in late July and early August worsened the situation. By mid-August, restrictions on fuel sales were in place in at least ten Russian regions, while gasoline sales on the St. Petersburg International Mercantile Exchange had fallen by about 20% since the beginning of the month. Particularly significant for Central Asia was the strike on the Orsk refinery in Russia’s Orenburg region, near the border with Kazakhstan. The refinery, with an annual processing capacity of about 6 million tons, halted operations after an August 11 attack. Regional authorities have said repairs could take up to six months. For Kyrgyzstan, problems in Russia quickly show up at the pump. In May, a liter of AI-92 gasoline in Bishkek cost an average of 78.4 soms, or about $0.90. By August 17, the price of the country’s most popular gasoline grade had reached 87.9 soms, about $1 per liter. AI-95 was selling for 109.9 soms, about $1.25, while diesel cost 99.9 soms, about $1.14 per liter. Some filling stations have been unable to offer AI-95, while others have temporarily stopped operating. The government initially introduced price controls in late May, then partially rolled them back in July as maintaining fixed prices became increasingly difficult amid rising import costs. The search for alternatives began before the latest meeting with Sinopec. Kyrgyzstan has held talks with Kazakhstan and Belarus, while separate discussions have involved Uzbekistan. Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan have also been approached. Agreements have already been reached with Belarus for supplies of diesel and...

Energy

Kazakhstan Mini-Refineries Eye Russia After Rail Export Restriction Lifted

Kazakhstan has lifted a railway export restriction on petroleum products from mini-refineries. For small plants, many of which operate well below capacity, the decision restores an opportunity to sell their products outside the country. Kazakhstan Temir Zholy (KTZ), the national railway company, revoked the restriction following an August 7 decision by the country’s Chief Transport Prosecutor’s Office. The timing is notable: after a series of strikes on its refineries, Russia is facing fuel shortages and has already begun importing gasoline from abroad, including Kazakhstan. Other restrictions on fuel exports from Kazakhstan remain in force, so the KTZ decision does not fully reopen gasoline and diesel exports. Some fuels remain subject to separate bans, and exports to Russia are treated differently from shipments outside the Eurasian Economic Union. What Mini-Refineries Produce The number of mini-refineries actually operating in Kazakhstan depends on how such facilities are defined. Official documents have referred to roughly 30 small petroleum-product producers. More recent industry data provide a clearer picture: more than 30 mini-refineries are registered, with declared crude-processing capacity of about 4.5 million metric tons a year. Of these, 22 are considered operational, with a combined capacity of about 2 million tons. Actual processing is considerably lower, having increased from roughly 400,000 to 800,000 tons annually over the past five years. These are not smaller versions of Kazakhstan’s major refineries in Atyrau, Pavlodar, and Shymkent. Most mini-refineries lack equipment for deep refining, so their output is simpler. Their main products include fuel oil, heating and marine fuels, naphtha, and other distillates. In 2023, mini-refineries processed 895,000 tons of feedstock and produced 346,000 tons of fuel oil, 145,000 tons of diesel fuel, and 171,000 tons of bitumen. Much of this output was not intended for Kazakhstan’s motorists. Mini-refineries produce semi-finished products, including straight-run fuel oil with a relatively high share of light fractions that can be processed further. Their opportunities on the domestic market are also limited by product quality: Kazakhstan has required K4 and K5 motor-fuel standards since 2018, while official assessments say mini-refineries generally lack the equipment to produce fuel above the K3 standard. Restoring export opportunities could therefore have a tangible economic effect for these businesses. The plants have spare capacity but insufficient domestic demand for much of their current product range. Rail exports once again give them a way to look for buyers outside Kazakhstan. And that inevitably raises the question of Russia. Russia Is Looking Abroad for Fuel There is no direct evidence that KTZ lifted the restriction specifically because of the Russian market. Neither the Kazakh authorities nor the railway company has made such a connection. But the decision comes at a convenient time for potential Russian buyers. Ukrainian drone strikes and unplanned refinery outages have reduced Russian gasoline production and contributed to domestic shortages. Moscow has responded by restricting fuel exports and increasing imports from abroad. Russia has already turned to several suppliers. In July, Belarus shipped a record 212,000 tons of gasoline to Russia, while Moscow has also begun...

Fuel Supply

Tajikistan Holds Talks on Fuel Imports from China

Tajikistan has begun negotiations with China on importing gasoline and diesel fuel as the country grapples with a sharp decline in fuel imports. Prices are rising, and filling stations in Dushanbe are experiencing diesel shortages. The two sides are discussing possible transport routes and which companies in Tajikistan would be authorized to import petroleum products. Tajikistan’s Ministry of Energy and Water Resources, cited by Asia-Plus, said Chinese fuel could be delivered directly through the Kulma border crossing or via Tajikistan’s northern neighbors. The volume and timing of any future deliveries have yet to be agreed, while pricing remains under discussion. Dushanbe is also negotiating increased fuel imports from other Central Asian countries and seeking supplies from Iraq. Agreements have already been reached with Iran on imports of petroleum products and crude oil, although implementation has been postponed because of the armed conflict in the region. Additional supplies from Kazakhstan were discussed during a meeting between President Emomali Rahmon and President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana on July 29. The talks included the possibility of increasing deliveries of petroleum products from Kazakhstan to the Tajik market. Kazakhstan’s presidential administration said the leaders discussed energy cooperation, along with trade and transport logistics. On July 10, Tajikistan’s Minister of Energy and Water Resources, Daler Juma, said the country had sufficient fuel reserves for approximately 60 days. He added that the government was negotiating with several countries in addition to Russia, which remains Tajikistan’s principal fuel supplier. Fuel imports into Tajikistan have fallen sharply over the past month. During the first half of the year, Russia accounted for 72.3% of all fuel supplied to the Tajik market, while domestic refineries produced only about 0.5% of total supply. The Times of Central Asia previously reported that disruptions in Russia’s fuel market had intensified competition for alternative fuel supplies across Central Asia and increased costs for the region’s most import-dependent economies.

Energy Security

Central Asia Rethinks Energy Security After the 2026 Fuel Crisis

The summer of 2026 marked a turning point for energy security in Central Asia. In July, drone strikes temporarily halted crude oil receipts and loadings at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s (CPC) marine terminal in Novorossiysk. Although CPC resumed normal operations on July 27, the incident exposed the vulnerability of one of the region’s principal export routes to external security risks. Russia, which for decades has been Central Asia’s principal supplier of refined petroleum products, has also faced prolonged pressure in its domestic fuel market. Reduced utilization at some refineries and rising domestic demand have created longer-term challenges. Restrictions on gasoline and diesel exports have added to the pressure, affecting the Russian economy and neighboring states that have traditionally relied on Russian supplies. For three decades, Central Asia’s system for supplying refined fuels remained relatively stable. Russian refineries covered shortages in local markets, providing fuel that was both comparatively affordable and predictable in volume. The events of 2026, however, reaffirmed a basic principle of national security: during large-scale crises, governments tend to prioritize domestic stability over external trade commitments. For Central Asian states, this has prompted a fundamental reassessment of long-established approaches to energy security. Any strategy dependent on a single external supplier ultimately becomes vulnerable to disruptions beyond its control, regardless of their origin. The current crisis has also revealed significant differences in how well prepared the region’s governments are to protect their domestic fuel markets. Kyrgyzstan has proved the most vulnerable. The country consumes around 1.6 million metric tons of fuel annually, with 90-95% of supplies imported from Russia. Faced with a sharp reduction in available supplies during May and June 2026, the Kyrgyz authorities were forced to begin urgent negotiations with alternative suppliers, including Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, and Belarus. Uzbekistan has been in a somewhat stronger position. Until recently, Russian companies dominated the country’s imported gasoline market. During the first five months of 2026, Uzbekistan spent more than $1 billion on imports of crude oil and petroleum products, while spending on motor gasoline imports increased by 85.1% compared with the same period a year earlier. Tashkent has responded by prioritizing strategic fuel reserves. Ahead of the coming autumn and winter season, the government has begun building a 120,000-metric-ton reserve of motor gasoline. Kazakhstan, meanwhile, enjoys a considerably higher degree of energy self-sufficiency thanks to its developed refining sector, centered on the modernized refineries in Atyrau, Pavlodar, and Shymkent. It is therefore unsurprising that Bishkek turned first to Astana when seeking emergency fuel supplies. Kazakhstan’s potential to serve as a regional supplier nevertheless has clear limits. The country’s domestic fuel market periodically comes under structural pressure during the spring and autumn agricultural seasons and when planned maintenance is carried out at its refineries. As a result, Astana must balance support for its regional partners with maintaining stability at home. Although Kazakhstan annually agrees with Russia on duty-free import quotas of up to 1.12 million metric tons of Russian petroleum products under the indicative fuel balance mechanism, the current...

Fuel Supply

Kyrgyzstan Fuel Crisis: Bishkek Relaxes Fuel Import Rules to Ease Supply Pressures

Kyrgyzstan has relaxed fuel import rules and extended restrictions on exports as it seeks to mitigate growing pressure on its domestic fuel market amid disruption to Russia’s refining sector. Under a July 13 resolution, the Kyrgyz Cabinet of Ministers suspended, until April 1, 2027, provisions of a 2019 government decree restricting the import of oil and petroleum products by road. The exemption had previously been due to expire on September 30, 2026. The change allows fuel to be delivered into Kyrgyzstan by road tanker, giving importers greater flexibility to obtain supplies through alternative routes. Other requirements governing fuel imports, including transportation safety rules and accompanying documentation, remain in force. The measure comes as Russia, the source of more than 90% of Kyrgyzstan’s imported petroleum products, has imposed temporary restrictions on gasoline exports after Ukrainian drone attacks reduced production at several Russian refineries. At the same time, the Cabinet amended the country’s export rules for petroleum products. The current export ban on crude oil, gasoline, diesel fuel, and other petroleum products transported by road or rail will now remain in effect until Kyrgyzstan’s domestic fuel demand is fully satisfied or until the EAEU’s common oil and petroleum products market becomes operational. According to the government, the changes are intended to stabilize the domestic fuel market and ensure adequate supplies for consumers. The latest measures add to a series of steps taken by Bishkek to address mounting fuel supply challenges. As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, Kyrgyzstan is also seeking to increase domestic production of the country’s most widely used AI-92 gasoline by upgrading surplus stocks of lower-octane AI-80 fuel. Earlier this month, the government also eased its temporary fuel price controls after shortages emerged. Emergency price regulation introduced on May 25 established benchmark import prices of $860 per metric ton for AI-92 gasoline, $940 for AI-95 gasoline, $950 for diesel fuel, and $575 for liquefied petroleum gas. However, under a separate July 7 resolution signed by Chairman of the Cabinet of Ministers Adylbek Kasymaliev, AI-95 gasoline was removed from the list of socially significant goods subject to state price regulation, and retail price caps were abolished. The government said the changes were necessary to restore uninterrupted fuel supplies after AI-95 gasoline temporarily disappeared from filling stations in Bishkek.