Kyrgyzstan Business & Economy - The Times Of Central Asia

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Kyrgyzstan to Introduce Mandatory QR Code Tax Payments

Beginning July 1, 2025, all taxes and insurance contributions in Kyrgyzstan must be paid exclusively using a unique payment code or QR code. The change was announced by the press service of the State Tax Service (GNS) of the Kyrgyz Republic. The new system will apply to taxes, non-tax revenues, and mandatory insurance contributions. Taxpayers will be able to generate a QR code through their account on the State Tax Service website or via a dedicated mobile application. Alternatively, QR codes can be obtained at Business Service Centers or local tax offices. Mirlan Rakhmanov, Deputy Chairman of the State Tax Service, emphasized that the shift to QR code payments is designed to enhance transparency and streamline the payment process. “Payment via QR code enables real-time crediting of funds to the state budget, eliminates manual entry errors at banks, accelerates service delivery, and reduces the need for queuing,” Rakhmanov stated. Banking sector representatives who attended consultations with tax officials expressed readiness to support the transition. The State Tax Service confirmed that banks are technically equipped to implement the new system without disruptions. The announcement comes as part of a broader package of reforms aimed at modernizing tax administration. The agency reported that it has intensified analytical efforts to combat tax evasion, particularly schemes involving the artificial fragmentation of businesses to qualify for tax benefits intended for small enterprises. “The State Tax Service possesses the digital tools necessary to monitor economic activity, including through data-sharing arrangements with other government agencies,” the statement added.

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The Battle for Control Over Central Asia’s Digital Future

Central Asia is digitalizing quickly. Governments across the region have invested in smart cities, 5G, and AI-powered platforms. Kazakhstan ranks 24th in the world in global e-government indexes, and in Tashkent and Bishkek, young, tech-savvy populations are pushing for innovation. But such progress is not without risks. A new report from the German Marshall Fund (GMF), a Washington-based think tank, outlines how Central Asia is becoming ever more reliant on Chinese and Russian technology. These two countries, the report argues, are using digital tools not just to supply infrastructure but to shape how governments in the region manage data, surveillance, and speech. Beijing and Moscow’s tech exports act as snares, tying customers into their own economies. “Central Asian governments are aware of these challenges,” Dylan Welch, the author of the report and a China analyst at the GMF, told The Times of Central Asia. But he notes that it can be difficult to convince policymakers to prioritize the dangers of such overexposure. “For the national leaders, their imperative is to deliver economic growth because they have these young, dynamic populations that need jobs… if they don't deliver on that, then they're in for a long period of instability at home,” he said. This makes Chinese and Russian offers to develop their digital industries extremely tempting. An Entrenched Presence The report coincides with a flurry of Russian and Chinese engagement in the region. Over the weekend, Kazakhstan announced that between them, Beijing and Moscow will be responsible for delivering a new generation of nuclear reactors to the country, currently leaving French and Korean alternatives out in the cold. Then came this week’s visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to Astana for a summit with the five Central Asian leaders. On the digital front, one notable announcement from this summit included a plan to develop an Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Center in Kyrgyzstan. China has used the term “Digital Silk Road” to describe its investments in Central Asia, and it has built much of the physical infrastructure behind the region’s digitization drive. For its part, Russia has exported its software, legal models and surveillance practices. Taken together, these systems are helping local governments tighten control over digital life. “This strategic integration makes it more difficult for regional states to diversify in the future, even though many continue to pursue multi-vector foreign policies aimed at balancing global partnerships,” Yunis Sharifli, Non-Resident Fellow at the China-Global South Project, told TCA. Where the Vulnerabilities Lie The report uses a “technology stack” framework to explain the problem. This framework looks at five layers: network infrastructure, data storage, consumer devices, digital platforms, and government policies. Across these layers, it argues, Central Asia is exposed to Chinese and Russian influence. Take Kazakhstan. It may be the most advanced digital economy in the region, but most of its internet traffic still passes through Russia. Telecom firms across the region are also required to install a Russian-made surveillance technology known as SORM (System for Operative Investigative Activities), which can intercept internet...

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From Reform to Roadblocks: The Uneven Evolution of Motor Insurance in Central Asia

Motor insurance markets across Central Asia exhibit contrasting levels of development, from Kazakhstan’s expanding, digitized sector to Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan, where the system remains largely ineffective. Beyond compensating for damages, motor insurance is increasingly viewed as a tool for strengthening financial markets, promoting road safety, and easing the fiscal burden during emergencies. Kazakhstan Kazakhstan leads the region in insurance market volume. According to the Agency for Regulation and Development of the Financial Market (ARDFM), compulsory third-party motor insurance (OSGPO) premiums totaled more than KZT 106 billion ($205 million) in 2023, an 18% increase from the previous year. Since 2019, Kazakhstan has operated an electronic OSGPO registration system, streamlining policy purchases and reducing fraud. Integration with the Ministry of Internal Affairs databases now enables more effective monitoring of compliance. In April 2025, the country introduced a revised bonus-malus system with 18 risk classes, ranging from M2 (highest risk, coefficient 3.5) to Class 13 (lowest risk, coefficient 0.5). New drivers are assigned Class A with a coefficient of 1.8. The updated system accounts for accident history, traffic violations, and the duration of accident-free driving. Despite this progress, voluntary comprehensive insurance (CASCO) remains underutilized; fewer than 5% of car owners hold such policies. Barriers include high costs, limited public understanding, and the persistent mistrust of insurers. Nevertheless, demand for CASCO is growing amid rising accident rates and vehicle costs. Once considered a luxury for owners of new cars, CASCO is increasingly popular among middle-income drivers, particularly those buying vehicles on credit or lease. According to Ranking.kz, CASCO premiums reached KZT 13.4 billion ($26 million) in January-February 2025, slightly below the same period in 2024 ($29 million) but still well above pre-pandemic levels. CASCO now covers a broad range of risks, including accidents, theft, vandalism, fire, and natural disasters. For many Kazakhstani drivers, comprehensive coverage is becoming a central part of their financial strategy rather than a discretionary purchase. Kyrgyzstan In Kyrgyzstan, however, the motor insurance system is largely dormant. Although a compulsory insurance law was passed in 2015, only 8-10% of the vehicle fleet is insured. The absence of a unified digital platform, weak interagency coordination, and low public confidence hinder progress. The authorities intend to relaunch reforms in 2025, focusing on digital integration between the Ministry of Internal Affairs and the National Bank. Beginning July 1, 2025, fines will be imposed on uninsured drivers: 3,000 KGS (around $35) for individuals and 13,000 KGS (about $150) for foreign nationals and legal entities. The new penalties are expected to promote compliance and foster a stronger insurance culture. Uzbekistan Uzbekistan, in contrast, has made substantial strides since 2019. Restrictions on foreign insurers have been lifted, and the Insurance Market Development Agency has spearheaded a digital transformation of the sector. In 2023, motor insurance premiums surpassed 250 billion som, largely from OSGPO policies. The government has expanded policy coverage and supports online issuance to increase accessibility and competition. As of September 1, 2024, all compulsory motor insurance policies will be digitized and issued through a centralized...

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Kumtor Launches Tire Retreading Program to Cut Costs and Waste

Kumtor, Kyrgyzstan’s largest gold mining operation, has initiated a tire retreading program for its fleet of large Caterpillar mining dump trucks. The announcement was made by Kubat Abdraimov, chairman of the board of the state-owned Kyrgyzaltyn company, which oversees the Kumtor enterprise. The retreading work is being carried out at a facility in Tokmok. The first set of refurbished tires has already been installed on dump trucks and is undergoing operational testing at the mine. If successful, the program will expand, with the Tokmok plant expected to retread between 200 and 300 tires annually. “This will save more than $1.5 million per year. At the same time, we are solving an important environmental problem by reducing waste and reusing resources,” Abdraimov said during a site inspection of Kumtor’s production facilities. New tires for Caterpillar dump trucks can cost up to $30,000 each. In the high-altitude conditions of the Kumtor mine, located at 3,500 to 4,500 meters above sea level, tire wear is especially rapid, making operations significantly more expensive. According to the company’s press service, the refurbished tires were delivered to the mine at the end of May. One vehicle fitted with the retreaded tires has already logged over 1,000 kilometers and more than 100 hours of work under full load. The condition of the tires is being monitored continuously. In the early years of Kumtor’s development during the 1990s, the initial tire supply came from the Belarusian manufacturer BelAZ. However, the products proved unsuitable for the mine’s extreme conditions, leading to a switch to Canadian suppliers along with other imported components. Abdraimov also highlighted the critical contribution of technical personnel to the reliability of mining operations. “The mine uses modern mining and auxiliary equipment. Work is carried out around the clock in challenging weather and at high altitudes. The reliability and qualifications of the repair crews are key to sustainable operation,” he said. Industry experts suggest the tire retreading initiative could be a foundational step in creating a domestic industrial cluster focused on the repair and maintenance of mining equipment in Kyrgyzstan.

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IMF Forecasts Slower Growth for Kyrgyzstan, While Authorities Project Higher Rates

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Kyrgyzstan's economic growth to slow to 6.8% in 2025, even after strong performance in the first half of the year. In its latest report, the IMF projects medium-term growth to stabilize at 5.2%. By contrast, Kyrgyz authorities remain bullish, forecasting GDP growth of 8.5-9% by year-end. According to the National Statistical Committee, Kyrgyzstan's GDP expanded by more than 12% between January and May 2025, with preliminary figures placing the economy’s value at 573 billion KGS (approximately $6.5 billion). Reflecting this momentum, the National Bank of Kyrgyzstan recently revised its growth forecast upward from 8% to 9%. The central bank attributed this adjustment to accelerated investment activity, rising household incomes, and stronger domestic demand. Growth is being driven by key sectors such as manufacturing, trade, and construction, bolstered by proactive fiscal measures and robust business activity. Diverging Forecasts and Economic Narratives While acknowledging the resilience of Kyrgyzstan’s economy amid global volatility, the IMF maintains a more cautious outlook. Its report highlights a decline in inflation to single-digit levels and improvements in public debt management, both of which create fiscal space for critical investments in infrastructure, energy, and human capital. “In the medium term, growth is expected to approach its potential of 5.2% as re-export trade normalizes. However, the economic outlook remains sensitive to geopolitical risks. Strengthening fiscal buffers and implementing structural reforms remain priorities for the country,” the IMF noted in a statement. This divergence in outlook is not new. In 2023, then Prime Minister Akylbek Japarov famously wagered with World Bank Chief Economist Hugh Riddell that GDP growth would exceed 7%. Japarov ultimately won the bet, as the actual performance validated his projection, despite widespread skepticism. Experts Weigh In Economist Nurgul Akimova attributes the differing forecasts to contrasting methodologies. “International organizations use standardized models that consider macroeconomic indicators, institutional stability, and vulnerability to external shocks,” she explained. “Kyrgyz authorities, by contrast, often base their projections on optimistic assumptions about investment inflows, export expansion, and remittances.” Akimova also highlighted the political motivations behind domestic forecasts. “Official estimates serve to project confidence, both to the public and to investors. However, overly optimistic projections can obscure risks and complicate fiscal planning.” “In the short term, the government can often meet its targets by mobilizing domestic resources. But in the long run, IMF forecasts tend to be more accurate as they account for both internal and external vulnerabilities,” she concluded.

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The Next Steps for Central Asian Finance: Interview with Azerbaijani Fintech Leader Dr. Fuad Karimov

This week The Times of Central Asia will be attending the CAMCA Regional Forum, which this year is being held in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. The CAMCA network is a collection of professionals and policymakers dedicated to sharing ideas, knowledge and inspiration to accelerate the development of the Eurasia region; its name stands for Central Asia, Mongolia, the Caucasus and Afghanistan. Ahead of the Forum, The Times of Central Asia spoke with Dr. Fuad Karimov, Regional Managing Director of the payment software company Xsolla, about what the CAMCA program means for the Eurasian finance industry, and how Azerbaijan can work more closely with Central Asia. TCA: What condition do you feel fintech spaces are currently in, particularly in the Eurasia region? FK: Fintech [financial technology] across the CAMCA region is accelerating. Countries like Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have made significant progress in regulation and adoption. In Azerbaijan, key drivers include state-led digitalization and innovative companies like PashaPay and Birbank, which are transforming consumer payment behavior. Cross-border transfers, mobile banking, and contactless solutions are increasingly common across the region. In what areas do you think CAMCA initiatives can help them improve? CAMCA can create platforms to harmonize financial regulations, facilitate cross-border fintech testing, and promote knowledge exchange. It can also help reduce friction in currency conversion. Regional collaboration can attract investors from the West and Asia. Priorities should include cybersecurity, financial literacy, AI in finance, and coordinated exploration of digital currency pilots like e-Manat, e-Tenge, and e-Soum. You're moderating a session on harnessing fintech in CAMCA markets. What topics do you expect to touch upon, and who are you looking forward to hearing from? We’ll cover the rise of digital national currencies (CBDCs), crypto regulation, exchange rate risk, and the impact of AI on lending, compliance, and fraud prevention. I’m especially looking forward to hearing from fintech leaders in the CAMCA region — each representing diverse policy environments and innovation models. Where do you see opportunities for Central Asia to work more closely with Azerbaijan? There’s strong potential in co-developing cross-border payment systems, digital identity frameworks, and startup accelerators. Azerbaijan can share experience in building public-private fintech partnerships, while Central Asia offers scale and growing demand. Aligning exchange rate mechanisms, regulatory approaches, and education systems will enhance regional integration. The CAMCA platform is an ideal space to turn these synergies into actionable policy and investment opportunities.