Cabotage Transportation in Eurasia: Expanding Connectivity, or Creating Unequal Conditions?
Freight transportation by road is the most popular and versatile type of shipping due to its mobility, flexibility, and accessibility. This sector is expected to undergo significant changes in Kazakhstan and other member states of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) starting in 2025. However, industry experts warn that these changes could lead to domestic market losses for Kazakhstani participants. Starting January 1, 2025, transportation companies from EAEU member states will be allowed to carry out cabotage transportation -- shipment of goods between two places in the same country -- within Kazakhstan. This means that foreign carriers will be permitted to perform up to three domestic deliveries in the country following their international shipment. For example, a Russian truck delivering goods to Almaty may complete up to three cabotage shipments within Kazakhstan between cities over seven days on its return route. However, experts suggest this measure could lead to domestic international road carriers losing their market share to foreign operators from Russia and Belarus, who are currently limited by sanctions. According to Ivan Yanson, director of the representative office of the Union of International Road Carriers of the Republic of Kazakhstan in Astana, currently, Belarus has about 40,000 vehicles engaged in international freight transportation, and Russia has a similar number. Meanwhile, Kazakhstan's fleet consists of approximately 15,000 trucks. This discrepancy in fleet size is a key factor influencing competitiveness. Another critical issue is the average age of Kazakhstan’s fleet, which exceeds 20 years. However, high wear and tear and the need for modernization are hindered by the high cost of tractor-trailers, recycling fees, and registration charges, which are often unaffordable for Kazakhstani entrepreneurs. In light of this, local carriers have repeatedly proposed postponing the decision to open Kazakhstan’s market to cabotage. Meanwhile, the development of cabotage in EAEU countries is part of the Union's Transport Policy for 2024–2026. Lawmakers believe these measures aim to expand trade connections and attract new companies. They argue that cabotage liberalization will help reduce empty mileage for EAEU road carriers, thereby lowering freight transportation costs. Kazakhstan's Ministry of Transport also emphasizes that opening the cabotage market will not cause financial or other negative consequences for domestic businesses. According to Deputy Minister Maksat Kaliakparov, carriers will only be allowed to perform up to three consecutive domestic shipments within another EAEU member state using the same vehicle, ensuring equal access for all. Currently, Kazakhstan is conducting internal procedures to amend its road transport legislation to align with the phased liberalization program for cabotage freight transportation, which began on January 1. “These amendments to national legislation are expected to be adopted in the first half of this year,” stated a government representative. The anticipated outcomes include fostering competition in the road transport services market, modernizing the truck fleet, establishing uniform conditions and rules for freight transport services within the EAEU, improving vehicle efficiency for international freight transport, and reducing environmental impact by using modern vehicles. Nevertheless, the effects of these legislative changes cannot be fully assessed until they are...