EAEU - The Times Of Central Asia

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Russia Turkey CSTO Multi-vector Foreign Policy EAEU Organization of Turkic States Geopolitics

Turkey’s Turkic Gambit: Balancing Influence in Post-Soviet States

Despite its superpower ambitions, which have diminished somewhat since February 24, 2022, Moscow views Turkey’s growing geopolitical influence with increasing concern. The Organization of Turkic States (OTS), which includes several Central Asian republics, is perceived by the Kremlin as a rival to its regional blocs, such as the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). However, for Central Asian nations, the OTS is not a political or military alliance but rather a framework for economic, cultural, and humanitarian cooperation. The extent of Turkey’s influence remains limited within these parameters. A Historical Perspective Russia continues to interpret geopolitical dynamics through the lens of century-old concepts, particularly Pan-Slavism and Pan-Turkism, both of which emerged as nationalist movements against the Russian and Ottoman empires. Pan-Turkism gained traction in the Ottoman Empire but lost momentum following its adoption and subsequent rejection by Mustafa Kemal Atatürk. The ideology was later revived during the Cold War, when Turkey’s NATO membership positioned it as a force for destabilizing Soviet Central Asia, Azerbaijan, and Turkic regions within Russia, such as Tatarstan and Bashkortostan. Despite Turkish efforts, Pan-Turkic sentiment found limited success, influencing only Azerbaijan, which aligned closely with Turkey after losing the First Nagorno-Karabakh War. Azerbaijan formalized this relationship in the early 1990s with the doctrine of “Two Countries, One Nation.” Baku only began to see concrete benefits from its alliance with Ankara after winning the Second Karabakh War in 2020. The Organization of Turkic States: Reality vs. Rhetoric Although the first summit of Turkic states was held in 1992, the OTS’s precursor, the Turkic Council, was only founded in 2009. The agreement, signed in Nakhchivan, Azerbaijan, initially included Turkey, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan. Uzbekistan expressed interest in joining in 2018, and officially became a member in 2019, whilst Hungary (2018), Turkmenistan (2021), the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (2022), and the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) (2023) hold observer state status. Turkmenistan has frequently been rumored to be considering full membership. Turkey’s geopolitical aspirations in Central Asia have often clashed with the ambitions of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan delayed its membership in the Turkic Council until 2019 due to strained relations with Ankara which dated back to the mid-1990s. Turkey, the first country to recognize the independence of the Central Asian republics, expected to leverage its Cold War victory over the Soviet Union to expand its influence in the region. While Kazakhstan initially welcomed Turkish economic expansion and Pan-Turkic rhetoric, it became increasingly skeptical in the 2000s. Uzbekistan, however, was cautious from the outset and largely resisted Turkish influence. Kazakhstan’s shift in perspective coincided with Ankara’s increased push for deeper Turkic integration. Turkish-backed initiatives in Kazakhstan revealed clear expectations that Ankara would lead such a union, prompting Astana to resist. Kazakhstan, which balances ties with the West, China, and Russia, rejected the notion of falling under Turkish leadership. The Kazakh government neutralized Pan-Turkic voices by integrating key advocates into political positions, redirecting their efforts toward promoting Kazakh nationalism instead. Turkey’s Role in the...

Finance Stock Market International Cooperation EAEU Market economy

Single Securities Market to Be Launched in the EAEU

Last week, the Eurasian Intergovernmental Council convened in Almaty, where the heads of government from the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) member states agreed to standardize securities trading across their stock exchanges. The agreement is expected to further integrate the financial markets of the five member countries, according to Myktybek Abirov, vice president of the Kyrgyz Stock Exchange. “The main purpose of the agreement is to harmonize the rules and standards of securities circulation within the common economic space, which will facilitate financial market integration, improve investor access, and enhance liquidity,” the Kyrgyz Ministry of Economy and Commerce stated. “The adoption of such rules will create new opportunities for businesses and investors, expanding their reach and strengthening economic ties between EAEU countries.” Abirov told The Times of Central Asia that the agreement will allow both private and state-owned companies to list their securities on stock exchanges across EAEU member states. “This is a welcome development, as it gives our issuers access to other stock markets,” Abirov said. “They will be able to place their securities in Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus, and Armenia, while investors will gain broader access to financial instruments, enabling them to diversify risks.” According to Abirov, efforts to establish a unified securities market within the EAEU have been ongoing for a decade. The newly reached agreement includes the mutual recognition of financial brokers across member states’ stock exchanges. “Each EAEU country currently has slightly different listing requirements. Now, the Eurasian Economic Commission has set unified standards that companies must meet,” he explained. “Securities that comply with these standards will be tradable on financial markets without additional procedures.” Private financial sector representatives have expressed unanimous support for the initiative, emphasizing that greater integration will be beneficial - provided that administrative and regulatory procedures are sufficiently streamlined. The key challenge now is ensuring effective implementation, they noted. Officials at the Kyrgyz Stock Exchange hope that the first such trades will take place this year. Meanwhile, the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) has confirmed its readiness to list foreign securities under the new framework.

Caspian Region EAEU Economic Cooperation Iran

Iran Expands Economic Cooperation with EAEU and Kazakhstan

In recent years, Iran has strengthened its trade, economic, and transport ties with the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), an economic bloc comprising Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Russia. In December 2024, Iran was granted observer status in the EAEU, joining Cuba and Uzbekistan as the bloc’s third observer state. This status allows Iran to attend EAEU meetings and access non-confidential documents but does not grant decision-making rights. A year earlier, in December 2023, the EAEU and Iran signed a full Free Trade Agreement (FTA), establishing duty-free trade for 90% of goods and covering more than 95% of mutual trade between the parties. According to official statistics, the EAEU plays a significant role in Iran's foreign trade. In 2023, the bloc accounted for 10.1% of Iran’s exports, making it Iran’s third-largest trading partner after China (30.4%) and Turkey (14.5%). [caption id="attachment_28237" align="aligncenter" width="800"] Image: Marko Bukorovic[/caption] Strengthening Ties with Kazakhstan Iran has also worked to deepen bilateral cooperation with EAEU members, particularly Kazakhstan. On January 30, Iranian First Vice President Mohammad-Reza Aref visited Almaty to attend a meeting of EAEU prime ministers. He also held bilateral talks with Kazakhstan’s Prime Minister Olzhas Bektenov, focusing on expanding trade, economic, agricultural, transport, and logistics cooperation. According to Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Trade and Integration, in the first eleven months of 2024, trade turnover between Kazakhstan and Iran reached $296 million, an 8.1% increase compared to the same period in 2023. Kazakhstan’s exports to Iran rose by 29.1% to $100.6 million. Bektenov described Iran as a friendly neighbor in the Caspian region and emphasized Kazakhstan’s interest in diversifying and increasing exports to Iran. The country has identified 60 types of goods worth over $132 million for potential export and is prepared to meet Iran’s demand for grain products, including wheat and barley. Expanding Transport and Logistics Cooperation Discussions also covered transport and logistics cooperation, with a focus on increasing cargo traffic along the North-South Corridor, which connects Russia, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Iran. Both sides expressed interest in expanding transit capacity and modernizing key port terminals in Kazakhstan (Aktau and Kuryk) and Iran (Anzali and Amirabad). The Iranian Vice President stressed the geographic and economic importance of the Iran-Kazakhstan partnership and reaffirmed both countries’ commitment to increasing bilateral trade to $3 billion annually.

Agricultural Produce EAEU Trade Economy Agriculture

Kazakhstan Restricts Potato Exports to Non-EAEU Countries Amid Price Surge

Rising potato prices in Kazakhstan have prompted the government to impose a six-month restriction on potato exports to non-Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) countries, according to Tengrinews. The decision is aimed at stabilizing domestic prices and preventing further spikes. Price Surge Linked to High Export Demand The price increase has been driven by strong demand from neighboring countries, particularly Uzbekistan, and rising export prices. In 2024, Kazakhstan’s potato exports increased by 1.5 times, from 411,000 metric tons to 605,000 tons, according to government data. Export-oriented producers significantly raised their prices, increasing them from 170 KZT ($0.32) to 270 KZT ($0.51) per kilogram. This spike in export demand has directly impacted the domestic market, with retail prices soaring in many regions. For example: In Aktobe, potatoes were sold for no more than 200 KZT per kilogram in early January but doubled within a week. In supermarkets, prices have climbed to 388 KZT ($0.73) per kilogram, with some areas seeing prices as high as 400 KZT ($0.75) per kilogram. Even lower-quality potatoes have become more expensive, as sellers report rising costs with every new shipment. Export Restrictions to Stabilize Prices To address these challenges, the government has restricted potato exports to non-EAEU countries for six months. Exports to EAEU member states will continue but under stricter oversight. As part of these measures, the issuance of phytosanitary certificates for exports has been entirely suspended as of January 16, 2025. Sufficient Reserves to Meet Domestic Needs Despite the export restrictions, the Ministry of Agriculture has assured citizens that domestic reserves are sufficient to meet demand until the early 2025 harvest. As of January 19, reserves (excluding stocks in trade networks) amount to over 850,000 tons. Key figures from 2024 and early 2025 include: Total potato harvest (2024): 2.9 million tons, including 300,000 tons from the early harvest. Imports (2024): 56,000 tons. Consumption (August–December 2024): 844,000 tons. Exports (2024): 620,000 tons. Forecasted consumption (January–April 2025): 675,000 tons. The government’s measures aim to ensure that prices stabilize while maintaining sufficient supplies for domestic consumers until the next harvest. Growth vs. Food Security Kazakhstan’s decision to restrict potato exports to non-EAEU countries highlights the delicate balance between export-driven agricultural growth and ensuring food security at home. While the restrictions are expected to ease price pressures domestically, they underscore the challenges of managing supply chains and export demand in a region with fluctuating agricultural dynamics.

Agricultural Produce EAEU Agricultural Export USAID Agriculture

Kyrgyzstan Boosts Exports of National Dairy Products

Exports of Kyrgyzstan's dairy products have seen significant growth, with member states of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) increasing their imports from the republic. Just six months ago, Kyrgyzstan lagged behind its EAEU counterparts in dairy production and exports. Impressive Growth in Exports According to the Ministry of Agriculture, milk sales by Kyrgyz farms rose by 124% in 2024, while dairy exports increased by as much as 167%. By the end of 2024, Kyrgyzstan had exported more than 33,000 tons of milk and dairy products, compared to just under 30,000 tons in 2023. The growth was driven not only by traditional products - such as cheese, butter, ice cream, cream, milk powder, and pasteurized milk - but also by national dairy specialties made from cow's milk. Notably, Kyrgyzstan exported over 120 tons of fermented milk products, such as the national beverages chalap and bozo, to Russia, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan in 2024. Additionally, exports of kurut, a traditional Kyrgyz snack made from dried curd balls, exceeded 3.3 tons last year, reflecting the growing demand for unique national products abroad. Context Within the EAEU This progress comes in the wake of criticism from the Eurasian Economic Commission (EEC) last summer, which ranked Kyrgyzstan among the lowest milk producers in the Union. According to EEC data, Armenia was at the bottom with an annual production of 123,000 tons of milk, while Kyrgyzstan was second-to-last with 620,000 tons. For comparison, neighboring Kazakhstan produces over 2 million tons annually, while Russia leads the EAEU with 13.5 million tons of milk produced per year. International Support Spurs Growth The Kyrgyz Ministry of Agriculture attributed the surge in dairy production and exports in part to foreign assistance programs, particularly a USAID initiative. This project has funded the construction of new dairy processing facilities for dozens of farmers in southern Kyrgyzstan. Additionally, more than 100 farmers continue to receive training and counseling on modern cow husbandry practices, which have improved productivity and product quality.

Foreign trade turnover EAEU Export Foreign Trade GDP Government Trade

‘Made in Kyrgyzstan’ Program Aims to Boost Exports and Strengthen Global Presence

Kyrgyzstan’s Ministry of Economy and Commerce has launched the National Export Program "Made in Kyrgyzstan" for 2025-2028. Coordinated by the Kyrgyz Export Center, the initiative aims to help domestic producers access international markets, enhance the country’s export potential, and establish the “Made in Kyrgyzstan” brand as a recognizable symbol abroad. Program Goals and Priorities The program focuses on increasing Kyrgyzstan’s export volumes and foreign trade revenues by strengthening the position of Kyrgyz-made goods in global markets. It prioritizes key industries, including textiles, food, jewelry, and halal products, with the goal of making Kyrgyz exports more competitive internationally. To achieve these objectives, the program will: Support local entrepreneurs by promoting participation in international exhibitions and trade fairs. Facilitate access to financing and preferential loans for exporters. Streamline bureaucratic processes to expedite export procedures. Ensure domestic products meet international quality standards and certification requirements. Additionally, the program emphasizes increasing the export of high value-added goods and diversifying Kyrgyzstan’s export portfolio to reduce its negative foreign trade balance. Foreign Trade Trends According to the National Statistical Committee, Kyrgyzstan’s foreign trade turnover for January - October 2024 totaled $13.4 billion, marking a 6.4% increase compared to the same period in 2023. However, the trade balance remained negative, with exports accounting for 23.3% and imports for 76.7% of the total turnover. Key highlights include: Exports: Grew by 25.2% to $3.1 billion, largely driven by gold exports, which made up 34.1% of the total. Excluding gold, exports reached $2.1 billion, an increase of 21.9%. Imports: Rose by 1.8%, amounting to $10.3 billion. Trade with member states of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) - Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Russia - amounted to $4.2 billion, a 13.7% increase. Russia (71.8%) and Kazakhstan (26.4%) remained Kyrgyzstan’s largest trading partners within the EAEU. Meanwhile, trade with countries outside the EAEU reached $9.2 billion during the same period. Strengthening Export Potential The "Made in Kyrgyzstan" program aspires to boost exports of diversified, high-quality products while addressing the country’s trade deficit. By empowering local businesses, improving export infrastructure, and fostering global competitiveness, the initiative represents a significant step forward for Kyrgyzstan’s economic growth and international trade ambitions.