Environment - The Times Of Central Asia

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Caspian Sea

Japan Funds $3 Million Caspian Sea Monitoring Project in Kazakhstan

Japan is funding a $3 million project to improve monitoring of the shrinking Caspian Sea, focusing particularly on Kazakhstan’s shallow northern basin. The project, implemented by the United Nations Development Programme in partnership with Kazakhstan, was officially launched in Aktau on October 5. Experts from across the Caspian region are expected to take part in joint research and a regional scientific platform designed to improve the exchange of data and expertise. For Kazakhstan, the most immediate problem lies in the northern Caspian. The water there is extremely shallow, meaning that even relatively small declines in sea level can push the shoreline back considerable distances. Habitats used by Caspian seals and sturgeon are already changing, while ports and shipping face growing difficulties. Scientists link the decline to changes in the Caspian Sea’s water balance. The sea has no connection to the world’s oceans and depends on river inflow, precipitation, and evaporation. The Volga supplies most of its river water, while rising temperatures are increasing evaporation. In July 2025, the Caspian was reported to have fallen to its lowest level in the instrumental record. The Times of Central Asia reported that the shallow northeastern section along Kazakhstan and Russia was retreating particularly rapidly. The consequences could become far greater than the shoreline retreat already visible today. A study published in Communications Earth & Environment found that a five-meter decline from the study’s reference level could turn about 77,000 square kilometers of the Caspian’s current water surface into land, equivalent to around one-fifth of its present area. The northern basin would be among the areas most severely affected. The new project is intended to provide a clearer picture of how the decline is unfolding. Specialists will assess Kazakhstan’s existing observation network along the northern Caspian and identify where additional monitoring sites and modern equipment are needed. Sea level and river-flow measurements will be combined with data on temperature, salinity, evaporation, weather conditions, seabed depth, and satellite observations to improve projections of future changes. Kazakhstan is also tracking the volume of water reaching the Caspian. According to data from the Zhaiyk-Caspian basin inspectorate cited by the Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation, 6.16 billion cubic meters had reached the sea since the start of 2026. Over the previous two and a half years, the total exceeded 35 billion cubic meters, including more than 17 billion during the exceptional floods of 2024.

Environmental Assessment

Sea Breeze Uzbekistan Clears Second Stage of Environmental Review

The $5 billion Sea Breeze Uzbekistan project has completed the first two stages of its environmental impact assessment, receiving positive state environmental opinions for both, according to the Ecology Committee. The controversial resort is planned for the shores of the Charvak Reservoir, one of the most popular recreation areas near Tashkent. Its location has made the project the subject of sustained environmental scrutiny. Uzbekistan’s National Committee for Ecology and Climate Change said the second-stage opinion was issued on September 10. The review will continue with a final assessment planned after construction is completed and before the complex is put into operation. The project is being developed by Azerbaijani businessman and singer Emin Agalarov, who spent more than two decades at Crocus Group, the property company founded by his father, Aras Agalarov. He left in 2023 to focus on his own development business. Agalarov was formerly married to Leyla Aliyeva, daughter of Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev. His flagship Sea Breeze resort is on Azerbaijan’s Caspian coast. Plans for the resort include hotels and residences alongside leisure and commercial facilities. The project also envisages a bridge across the reservoir and venues for year-round concerts and festivals. From Government Approval to Environmental Review In August 2025, the Uzbek government approved the direct lease of 577 hectares in the Bostanlyk district of Tashkent region to Sea Breeze Uzbekistan LLC for 25 years, with a preferential right to extend the lease. For critics of the project, the central issue from the outset has been water. Charvak plays an important role in the region’s water system and is used for water supply, irrigation, and hydropower. Its shores are also one of the main resort areas for residents of Tashkent. Construction of a large complex has raised concerns about pollution and the pressure it would put on the shoreline. The #SaveChorvoq campaign emerged on social media in 2025 as activists sought greater scrutiny of the plans. The first stage of the environmental review, approved in February 2026, required further hydrological and biodiversity studies. The second stage reviewed those findings and set more specific conditions for construction and operation. Its positive opinion was issued on September 10 and remains valid for three years. Public hearings were held in the Bostanlyk district on January 23, 2026, giving residents and environmental groups an opportunity to raise objections and proposals. Members of the Ecology Committee’s Public Council have also carried out site inspections, which the committee said have so far found no breaches of environmental requirements. Separate water-protection requirements apply to the project. Its wastewater is to be taken outside the coastal area and directed to a centralized treatment system, while construction must take place outside designated water-protection zones. The timing of the approvals has also drawn scrutiny. The government approved the investment project and land lease in August 2025, six months before the first-stage environmental opinion was issued. In August this year, authorities were still awaiting documents needed for the second stage, including details on wastewater infrastructure and the scale...

Water Security

Opinion: Central Asia’s Old Water Bargain Was Built for Cotton

Central Asia inherited a water bargain built for another economy. In the Soviet system, upstream republics stored water and released it for summer irrigation. Downstream republics used that flow for cotton and other crops. The cost of the exchange stayed inside one plan. Water releases, electricity, fuel, and crop quotas were part of the same political economy. After 1991, the dependence survived, but the plan that balanced it did not. The 1998 Syr Darya agreement already tied reservoir operation to irrigation releases and set compensation for the winter power Kyrgyzstan gave up. The 2000 Chu-Talas agreement went on to share the cost of operating and maintaining shared water infrastructure between Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. Those agreements were important, and they show why today’s dispute is not new. Central Asia has long known that water regulation carries a cost. What it has not built is a wider settlement that prices storage and seasonal regulation under today’s climate, energy, and market conditions. That question is now open again. In January 2026, Kyrgyzstan’s new Water Code came into force. It recognizes water as a commodity and introduces fees for domestic and external users. Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have rejected payment for transboundary river water, saying existing agreements do not provide for it. Downstream governments fear an open-ended bill and a precedent that could turn every dry season into a financial dispute. The old model rested on cotton and central planning. Several conditions have changed. The climate is less stable, energy demand keeps rising, and national economies now want more from water than a cotton plan once did. Uzbekistan’s own reform language has turned against the old cotton model. At the UN General Assembly in 2023, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev said “millions of people were forced to pick cotton” in Uzbekistan over a century. In August 2026, he called the old system one that left Uzbeks “slaves to cotton.” That history shapes the water argument. Uzbekistan is not abolishing cotton. It still grows the crop and continues to reform the sector. But as Tashkent moves away from the old cotton-centered model, the regional water logic built around that model also needs revising. The same pressure runs through the Amu Darya, where agricultural adaptation has become an economic and political issue rather than a purely hydrological one. Less predictable river flows make seasonal storage more valuable. Water is also becoming scarcer in parts of the region. Kyrgyzstan sits at the center of that question. It is the only country in Central Asia whose water resources are almost entirely formed within its own territory, and Kyrgyz officials argue that it carries the upkeep for infrastructure that serves its neighbors. They say the country spent about $80 million on the water sector last year and around $259 million over five years. That spending covers the water sector as a whole, including infrastructure whose benefits reach beyond Kyrgyzstan’s borders. Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan reject paying for river water, saying existing agreements do not require it. But storing that water and releasing it...

Rogun Dam

Tajikistan Ratifies $300 Million World Bank Grant for Rogun Dam

Tajikistan’s lower house of parliament has ratified a $300 million World Bank grant for the Rogun Hydropower Plant, providing fresh financing for the country’s largest infrastructure project. The agreement was approved on October 1. The funding comes from the International Development Association (IDA), the World Bank’s concessional financing arm for low-income countries. It will support continued construction and equipment installation, alongside safety and environmental safeguards and support for communities affected by resettlement. The World Bank approved the grant in June. Together with an earlier package, its approved financing for Rogun now totals $650 million. Tajikistan is also raising money from other international partners. Italy committed $150 million through its Climate Fund in July. The Asian Development Bank, Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, European Investment Bank, Islamic Development Bank, and Gulf development funds have also approved or expressed interest in supporting the project. The World Bank expects up to $3 billion in concessional financing to be mobilized for the project. By August, the dam had reached a height of about 190 meters. About 145 meters remain before it reaches its planned height of 335 meters, according to Italian construction group Webuild, one of the main contractors on the project. Two generating units are already producing electricity while construction continues, with their output expected to increase as the reservoir level rises. The World Bank currently puts planned capacity at 3,780 MW and expects the plant to be fully operational in 2033. It estimates annual generation at about 14.4 billion kWh. Rogun is intended to reduce Tajikistan’s chronic winter electricity shortages and increase power exports. The World Bank expects electricity from Rogun to be exported to Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. Hydropower could also help balance fluctuations in growing solar and wind generation across the region. Rogun is being built on the Vakhsh River, which joins the Panj to form the Amu Darya. Reservoir filling therefore also concerns downstream Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, where Amu Darya water is extensively used for agriculture. The environmental coalition Rivers without Boundaries has criticized the project’s impact assessments, arguing that they rely on outdated data and do not adequately account for climate change or the project’s wider effects across the basin. The World Bank says Tajikistan must comply with regional water-sharing arrangements. Reservoir filling is expected to proceed gradually through 2039, with compliance monitored throughout the project. In September, the World Bank also published new resettlement and livelihood restoration documents for communities affected by construction and the expanding reservoir. The Times of Central Asia previously reported on the expansion of international financing for Rogun after Italy committed $150 million to the project.

Water Governance

“Water Insecurity Is Not Experienced Equally”: Why Scarcity Is Also a Social Problem

A water crisis begins long before a river runs dry. Across Central and South Asia, retreating glaciers and the overuse of groundwater are putting supplies under growing pressure. Environmental sociologist Devendraraj Madhanagopal argues that the more revealing question is often who gets the water that remains. An assistant professor at XIM University’s School of Sustainability, Madhanagopal has studied climate adaptation among fishing communities on India’s southern coast. In an interview with The Times of Central Asia, he draws on that research to discuss why water scarcity can deepen social inequalities in the Aral Sea region. Giving local people more responsibility for managing water without the resources or authority to act, he warns, can make matters worse. TCA: Glacier retreat and changes in snow cover are increasingly affecting water security in both Central and South Asia. However, these processes are often discussed mainly from environmental or hydrological perspectives. In your view, which social consequences are currently underestimated? How could changing water availability affect local communities, agriculture, employment, and migration? Dr. Madhanagopal: Before discussing the availability of water at the country, regional, or continental level, we also need to focus on the social and cultural dimensions of water and on how available water is distributed among different social groups. Communities have historically developed customary institutions, informal rules, practices and local leadership structures to share and distribute water resources. Many of these arrangements have gradually weakened over recent decades in Asia with the rise of resource-intensive development. At the same time, governments in India and Central Asia, including Kazakhstan, have increasingly recognized that water security requires the effective management of complex and interconnected systems. Institutions have been established, and governments increasingly seek support from think tanks, research organizations, and NGOs to address the socio-political and governance dimensions of water management. Nevertheless, significant knowledge and governance gaps remain. Glacier retreat and changes in snow cover are receiving increasing attention from scientists and policymakers. However, discussions about water governance still tend to focus on macro-level transboundary disputes, glacier retreat, and technocentric adaptation, including efficiency improvements and infrastructure. Much less attention is given to social inequalities, power, politics, and conflicts over access to water. This matters because water insecurity is not experienced equally. We need to ask who gets access to water, who bears the burden of scarcity, and how marginalized groups experience water insecurity. Lessons from previous water conflicts and governance failures have not always been adequately incorporated into planning and monitoring in India and many Central Asian countries. We also often view Central Asia primarily through geopolitical frameworks rather than environmental ones. Policy discussions should pay greater attention to interconnected river basins and the diverse environmental conditions across the region. Research and policymaking should examine how climate change and water insecurity affect agriculture, employment, and migration at both local and regional levels. Policymakers should also recognize that water insecurity can intensify local conflicts over shared resources and exacerbate existing inequalities, including gender inequality. These challenges ultimately require localized as well as regional responses. [caption...

Chemical Safety

22 Uzbek Pupils Hospitalized After Cotton Field Spraying Near School

Twenty-two pupils in southern Uzbekistan were hospitalized after chemicals were sprayed on a cotton field beside their school, the Interior Ministry said. Seven remained in hospital as of September 29, while 15 had been discharged. The children, all in grades 10 and 11 at School No. 51 in Guzar district, Kashkadarya region, fell ill on September 23. They were taken to the district medical center around midday with nausea and headaches. The ministry said the Shokhmalik Shermurod Ugli farm had sprayed the nearby field at about 9 a.m. It used Agro Augron, a chemical applied to make cotton plants shed their leaves before harvesting. Twenty hectares of the farm’s 88 hectares lie close to the school. Investigators suspect the pupils inhaled chemical fumes and have ordered expert examinations. The authorities have opened a criminal case under Article 201, Part 1, of Uzbekistan’s Criminal Code, concerning violations of rules for handling harmful chemicals. The Kashkadarya regional police investigation department is conducting the inquiry.