Kazakhstan will begin construction of a major fertilizer plant valued at $1.35 billion, under an investment agreement recently approved by the government. The project aims to boost domestic fertilizer production and reduce the country’s reliance on imports.
Strategic Industrial Partnership
The facility will be built in the Mangistau region under a joint venture between Kazakhstan’s national gas company QazaqGaz and Turkish construction firm ESTA Construction. The new company, Qazesta Fertilizers Ltd., will oversee the project, which is expected to benefit from Mangistau’s favorable logistics for export across the Caspian Sea.
The plant is designed to produce up to 700,000 tonnes of urea and 42,000 tonnes of ammonia annually. Construction is scheduled to take three and a half years, creating an estimated 3,000 jobs during the building phase and 400 permanent positions upon completion.
Officials say the project will support the development of Kazakhstan’s gas chemical industry and contribute to import substitution. Currently, the country produces three types of fertilizers, ammonium nitrate, ammophos, and ammonium sulfate, but domestic output meets only half of the 3.2 million tonnes required to satisfy national demand.
Challenges in Fertilizer Use and Production
Kazakhstan’s limited fertilizer use has drawn concern from analysts. According to Energyprom.kz, citing UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) data, nitrogen fertilizer application has not exceeded 4.0 kg per hectare since 2000, and dropped to just 2.4 kg in 2022. In contrast, Uzbekistan applied 187.2 kg per hectare that year, while Russia applied 17.6 kg.
Phosphate fertilizer usage in Kazakhstan was similarly low at 1.33 kg per hectare, compared to 5.91 kg in Russia.
Domestic fertilizer production also declined in 2024. Total output fell by 9.3% to 367,500 tonnes. Production of nitrogen fertilizers dropped by 11.4% to 345,500 tonnes, while phosphate fertilizer output rose by 47.1% to 22,000 tonnes. Despite the gains, national supply still lags behind farmers’ needs.
Import Dependency and Export Growth
Kazakhstan remains dependent on foreign supplies of nitrogen fertilizers, with imports accounting for 57.8% of the market. In 2024, imports rose by 7.3% to 472,300 tonnes. Meanwhile, exports of nitrogen fertilizers nearly doubled to 214,400 tonnes. Phosphate fertilizers, however, are largely produced domestically, with imports making up just 1.2% of supply.
Kazakhstan’s largest fertilizer export destinations in 2024 included Brazil (187,600 tonnes), Poland (92,500 tonnes), Ukraine (87,600 tonnes), and Russia (67,400 tonnes). However, declining global prices led to a 13.5% drop in export revenue, despite only a 1.1% decrease in volume.
Global Market Dynamics
Geopolitical factors continue to shape global fertilizer markets. Sanctions imposed on Russia and Belarus in 2022 initially triggered shortages and price spikes, although some restrictions were later eased to mitigate food security risks. In 2024, U.S. imports of Russian fertilizers rose by 20% to $85.5 million.
At the same time, the European Union is weighing new duties on fertilizer imports from Russia and Belarus, a move that has drawn criticism from European agricultural associations concerned about rising input costs.
In this shifting global context, Kazakhstan’s expanded fertilizer capacity could enhance its role as a regional supplier. The launch of the Mangistau plant is expected to not only reduce reliance on imports but also strengthen Kazakhstan’s export potential, positioning the country more competitively in the global agro-industrial market.
