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Central Asian Leaders Arrive in Azerbaijan for UN COP29 Climate Summit

The 29th session of the Conference of the Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29) opened in Azerbaijan's capital Baku on November 11, drawing approximately 50,000 participants, including government representatives, politicians, investors, and environmentalists from 198 countries. Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev attended the Summit, where he was welcomed by Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and UN Secretary-General António Guterres. Tokayev will open the plenary session and hold talks with various heads of state, as well as representatives of international organizations and businesses. Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov has also arrived at the conference and is scheduled to address the opening session on November 12. He will participate in the special session “High-Level Dialogue: Advancing the Mountain Agenda and Mainstreaming Mountains and Climate Change,” organized by Kyrgyzstan with the support of Azerbaijan and Mongolia. This discussion will also feature Mongolian President Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh, Nepali President Ram Chandra Poudel, and representatives of international organizations. Russia is represented at the summit by its Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. Additionally, representatives of the Taliban, which the UN does not recognize as the legitimate government of Afghanistan, have been included in the delegation for the first time. Armenia, however, has not yet confirmed its participation due to ongoing territorial disputes with Azerbaijan. The Summit is being held at the Baku Olympic Stadium, with sessions set to conclude on November 22. COP29 has been termed a “finance summit” due to its primary focus on financing developing nations in the fight against climate change. Delegates are also working to establish a framework to improve national emissions reduction programs.

China Officially Joins the Middle Corridor

It was announced during the 8th International Silk Road Expo in Xi’an in September 2024 that China will formally join the Middle Corridor under the guise of participation by the China Railway Container Transport Corporation (CRTC). This move signals a growing reliance on Central Asia’s trade-route infrastructure potential. China's shift to overland routes is part of a broader strategy to diversify away from traditional maritime routes through chokepoints like the Strait of Malacca, which carry geopolitical risk. Kazakhstan's strategic geographic location naturally makes it indispensable to China’s trade, and infrastructure projects currently underway represent a key component of the Middle Corridor’s potential. In July 2024, Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev ratified agreements with China aimed at further developing the Middle Corridor, enhancing both road and rail infrastructure. The country has already been upgrading its rail infrastructure, modernizing dry ports like Khorgos on the Chinese border, and expanding transit facilities at the Caspian Sea port of Aktau. The increased flow of goods through Kazakhstan is evident: over 212 container block trains have passed through the country by September 2024, with the number projected to exceed 300 by the year’s end. These build-outs, and particularly Kazakhstan’s modernization of its railways, go hand-in-hand with the recently finished improvements along the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars (BTK) line, which connects Azerbaijan to Turkey via Georgia. The expansion of the BTK line's capacity from 1 million to 5 million tons per year has now been completed. As a result of all these efforts, the travel time for goods from China to the Black Sea has been reduced to just 10–12 days, highlighting the efficiency of the corridor. Azerbaijan also plays a crucial role in this economic ecosystem. Baku’s port of Alat serves as a critical transit point for cargo crossing between Central Asia and the South Caucasus. Azerbaijan’s collaboration with Kazakhstan, Georgia, and Turkey has led to significant investments in expanding port facilities and upgrading railway systems beyond the crucial BTK link mentioned above. The result is a smoother, more reliable flow of goods from China to Europe. Azerbaijan is winning its bet to become a regional logistics hub. In addition, a Chinese consortium recently secured the contract for the construction of the Anaklia deep-sea port in Georgia, a strategically important site on the eastern edge of the Black Sea. The project was initially awarded to a Georgian-American consortium, but was cancelled in 2020 due to political and legal disputes. Following a new tender process this year, the Chinese consortium emerged as the sole bidder. If supporting infrastructure is adequately developed and the Black Sea’s cargo transit capacity can be significantly enhanced, then the Anaklia port could become a critical node in the Middle Corridor, enhancing its role in Eurasian trade and bolstering regional connectivity. China’s increased reliance on Central Asian, trans-Caspian, and South Caucasus routes is not just about efficiency. It is also a strategic diversification to mitigate the risks posed by geopolitical instability in other regions. Traditional sea routes through maritime choke-points as well as overland routes like...

Azerbaijan Is Bringing Uzbekistan into the Middle Corridor

The Treaty on Allied Relations between Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan, signed last month, formalizes their growing strategic partnership and signals a new phase in their deepening ties. Their relationship has gained momentum particularly as Azerbaijan has been prioritizing the expansion of its networks in the region since 2020. Uzbekistan now plays a significant role in Azerbaijan’s efforts to strengthen the Trans-Caspian International Trade Route (TITR, also known as the Middle Corridor), the key trade and infrastructure link among Central Asia, the South Caucasus, and Turkey.   Uzbekistan and the Middle Corridor Within the last year and a half, many international financial institutions have published comprehensive studies on the implementation of the TITR project. One of the most influential was organized by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) in June 2023, in collaboration with the European Commission. It was an in-depth examination of existing and potential infrastructure and logistical networks across the region. The goal of the report was to determine the “most sustainable option” for efficient transport connections between Central Asia and Europe. This report identified a route that it called the Central Trans-Caspian Network (CTCN), running principally through southern Kazakhstan. This route leverages the already well-established infrastructure and logistical systems there, making it the most viable option for trade and transport in the region. In a separate and complementary report, published in November 2023, the World Bank noted that Uzbekistan’s rail connections with Kazakhstan might be improved, but it did not identify any potential projects. Nevertheless, the Darbaza–Maktaaral project in Kazakhstan, projected for completion in 2025, could be extended first to Kazakhstan’s Syrdarya station, whence a further branch line could run to Zhetysai on the border with Uzbekistan. That project would reduce congestion at the existing Saryagash border crossing, which connects to Keles in Uzbekistan, in the north of the Tashkent conurbation. It could increase transport capacity by as much as 10 million tons per year. Still, the project focuses only on increasing the level of bilateral trade, largely in foodstuffs and agricultural goods, and does not target Uzbekistan’s integration into the Middle Corridor. On the other hand, Azerbaijan has been working actively with Uzbekistan to integrate it into the Middle Corridor, without relying on routes through southern Kazakhstan. Their cooperation includes significant efforts to enhance infrastructure and logistics. Examples include joint ventures in logistics centers and, notably, inter-modal transport links between Samarkand and Baku. Such efforts are designed to offer Uzbekistan direct access to the Caspian Sea and European markets via Azerbaijan, largely bypassing Kazakhstan and building a stronger trade partnership within the trans-Caspian framework.   Uzbekistan’s Relations with Turkey Set the Context While this all started only a few years ago, a look back to 2016 when Uzbekistan’s President Islam Karimov died provides a more complete picture. After Shavkat Mirziyoyev succeeded Karimov, Uzbekistan began to open up from its diplomatic isolation. One of the first interested parties was Turkey. Both nations signaled interest in improving ties, and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan began to take steps...

Kyrgyzstan Seeks Crude Oil Supplies from Azerbaijan

At a meeting with Azerbaijan’s Energy Minister Parviz Shahbazov, his counterpart from Kyrgyzstan, Taalaibek Ibrayev, proposed signing a long-term contract to supply Azeri crude oil to Kyrgyzstan. The bilateral meeting took place on September 16 in Bishkek, on the sidelines of the 4th meeting of energy ministers of the Organization of Turkic States (Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkey, and Uzbekistan). Representatives of Turkmenistan and Hungary attended as observers. The Azeri Energy Minister expressed its readiness for cooperation, and proposed establishing a special working group to organize oil supplies. Ibrayev also proposed that Azerbaijan participate in hydropower and renewable energy projects in Kyrgyzstan, and consider preferential financing of $2 million from the Azerbaijan-Kyrgyzstan Development Fund for the purchase and installation of charging devices for electric vehicles in Kyrgyzstan. Today, Kyrgyzstan’s local capacity for refining crude oil and producing motor fuel covers about 5% of domestic demand, with the rest imported from Russia. During Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov’s visit to oil-rich Azerbaijan earlier this year, negotiations were held with the Azeri state oil company, SOCAR, on Azerbaijani oil supplies to Kyrgyzstan’s Junda refinery. Energy Minister Ibrayev commented that the Junda oil refinery requires more than 1 million tons of crude oil annually for refining. On August 30, the refinery reopened in the town of Kara-Balta, about 100 kilometers west of Bishkek. Late in March, the refinery completed a significant overhaul and plans to reach its total annual capacity of processing 800,000 tons of crude oil by the end of this year.

Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan Collaborate to Construct Ferries

Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan plan to cooperate on the construction of ferries. These ferries will be provided for Uzbekistan's needs, and the project will cost $150 million. Several measures are being suggested to expand the countries' cooperation in the transport and transit sectors. The joint construction of warehouse infrastructure is being mooted, as well as the creation of a joint venture to further develop transportation along the Trans-Caspian route. The Times of Central Asia previously wrote about the Uzbekistan-Azerbaijan business forum that was held in Tashkent on August 22. As a result of the forum, a portfolio of projects worth $2 billion was formed in energy, chemistry, mining, textile, agriculture, urban development, and other areas. Also, on May 1 this year, the energy ministers of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan met in Tashkent and signed a memorandum of cooperation to connect their countries' energy networks. The initiative's main goal is to study the means of connecting energy systems through a high-voltage cable installed in the Caspian Sea to export green energy from Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan to countries of the European Union.

Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan Seal Lucrative Deals

On August 22, at the invitation of Shavkat Mirziyoyev, President of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, arrived in Uzbekistan on a state visit. The event, covered by the presidential text service, included a report on a meeting between the presidents, and the first sitting of the Interstate Supreme Council on August 23, at which Mirziyoyev announced:  “Today, we will sign the Treaty on Union Relations. For several years, we have raised Uzbekistan-Azerbaijan relations to the highest level of interstate cooperation." The Uzbek president then referred to the 30th anniversary of diplomatic relations between Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan, to be celebrated next year and in turn,  Mirziyoyev proposed commemorating the date and declaring 2025, 'Year of Economic Cooperation between Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan'. As a result of the meeting, an agreement was made to adopt a comprehensive program covering 20 prioritized sectors. Cooperation on a portfolio of projects, worth over 2 billion dollars, in energy, chemistry, mining, textile, agriculture, urban development, and other areas was established, and agreement met on increasing the number of air flights, easing surface and air transport procedures, and digital solutions. Mirziyoyev proposed establishing a mechanism for regular meetings between rectors of the two countries' leading universities and holding a joint media forum. Prospects of building tourism and business complexes in the capitals were also discussed to increase the flow of tourists, humanitarians, and business exchanges. In addition,  the presidents signed an Agreement on Union Relations, adopted at the first meeting of the Interstate Supreme Council. The meeting closed with a ceremonial signing of bilateral documents comprising: ¾ Intergovernmental agreement on labor activity and protection of citizens’ rights; ¾ Practical action plan for further expansion of trade, economic, and investment cooperation; ¾ Memorandum on cooperation in the fields of preschool education, vocational education, secondary special education, higher education, and science; ¾ Action plan in the field of tourism for 2024-2026; ¾ Cooperation program for 2024-2026 between the Ministry of Justice of Uzbekistan and the State Agency for Citizen Services and Social Innovation under the President of Azerbaijan; ¾ Memorandum on cooperation between the Center for Professional Development of Lawyers under the Ministry of Justice of Uzbekistan and the Academy of Justice of the Ministry of Justice of Azerbaijan; ¾ Agreement on cooperation between the National Guard of Uzbekistan and the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Azerbaijan, and ¾ Memorandum on cooperation between centers of forensic expertise. During the event, the presidents also met with representatives of companies from both countries including Azerbaijan’s PASHA Holding, SOCAR, SOFAZ, Agalarov Development, Silk Way Group, Matanat, Sarda Group, AzerGold, Azermash, Azerbaijan Investment Holding, Azerbaijan Railways, and  Alyat Free Economic Zone. The meeting concluded with the launch of various cooperative projects ranging from the construction of hotel and residential complexes in Tashkent and building material production in the Kashkadarya region (Uzbekistan),  to the establishment of textile clusters and a sewing factory in Azerbaijan. To mark the end of the state visit, the two presidents and their wives attended in a concert featuring artists from the two countries.