Rise in economic growth

EDB Upgrades Economic Growth Forecast for Most Member States

In a newly-released Macroeconomic Outlook for its six member states,  the Eurasian Development Bank (EDB) reported that in 2024, Armenia’s GDP is expected to grow by 7.5%, Belarus’s by 3.4%, Kazakhstan’s by 5%, Kyrgyzstan’s by 5.5%, Russia’s by 3%, and Tajikistan’s by 8%.

For most EDB member countries, the outlook has been upgraded in response to strong early year performance and continued robust utilization of domestic growth sources. EDB analysts forecast a 3.4% growth in the region’s GDP by the end of 2024.

In Armenia, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan, high growth rates early in the year, driven by strong domestic demand and increased exports of basic metals, have led to the following upgraded GDP growth projections for 2024: 7.5% for Armenia, 5.5% for Kyrgyzstan, and 8% for Tajikistan.

Kazakhstan’s economy is expected to maintain a high GDP growth rate of around 5% in 2024. Government efforts to diversify the economy are anticipated to catalyse and sustain a steady GDP growth rate in the medium term.

Russia’s GDP growth forecast for 2024 has been improved to 3%. EDB analysts note that the expansion of domestic demand has been driven by high household incomes and fiscal stimuli. However, due to tight monetary policy, it is anticipated that consumer activity will gradually decline in the coming year.

Belarus’s GDP growth forecast for 2024 has been upgraded to 3.4%, supported by continued strong growth in demand from Russia and wage increases.

EDB researchers forecast that inflation in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan may drop below target levels, while Russia and Kazakhstan continue to face increased inflationary pressures. Bank analysts project that inflation rates will gradually approach targets in 2024: 1.5% in Armenia, 6% in Belarus, 8.3% in Kazakhstan, 4.3% in Kyrgyzstan, 5.8% in Russia, and 4.1% in Tajikistan.

 

Times of Central Asia

Times of Central Asia

Laura Hamilton MA, is the former Director of the Collins Gallery at the University of Strathclyde. She first visited Kyrgyzstan in 2011 to research and curate a major exhibition of contemporary textiles and fashion. Since 2012, she has worked as an editor on over thirty translations of Central Asian novels and collections of short stories. In more recent years, her work has focused on editing translations of Kyrgyzstan's great epics -'Ak Moor', Saiykal', Janysh Baiysh', 'Oljobai and Kishimjan', 'Dariyka', 'Semetey' and 'Er Toshtuk' for The Institute of Kyrgyz Language and Literature, and the Kyrgyz-Turkish Manas University.

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photo: EU in Uzbekistan

Uzbek Prison Visit by EU, US, and UK Diplomats

At the invitation of Uzbek authorities, UK Ambassador Timothy Smart, EU Ambassador Charlotte Adriaen and US Deputy Chief of Mission Paul Poletes visited a prison colony in the Chirchik district close to Tashkent, on 20 June.

As reported by the Delegation of the European Union to Uzbekistan, the visit included a tour of facilities for medical care and therapy, as well as two workshops where prisoners produce garments and furniture. Presentations by staff, provided an insight into the daily lives of prisoners serving their sentences.

The visit marks a milestone in engagement between Uzbekistan and the European Union, the United Kingdom, and the United States, and the diplomats acknowledged both the openness of the prison staff and  improvements made in recent years.

Uzbekistan has announced its intention to ratify the Optional Protocol to the Convention against Torture (OPCAT) under which the National Preventative Mechanism will conduct comprehensive and independent reports on detention facilities to support the Uzbek government in forwarding reforms to improve the justice sector.

Charlotte Adriaen thanked both the Uzbek government and the administration of prison #13 for enabling the visit and said: “Transparency in the penitentiary system is key to Uzbekistan’s path towards the ratification of OPCAT. In this regard, and considering the positive impression provided by today’s visit, it is my firm belief that openness and cooperation with international and national monitors can only benefit the life of prisoners and Uzbekistan.”

Enthused by the visit, Timothy Smart added: “It is encouraging to see Uzbekistan continue its journey towards improving human rights in the country. In the UK we have had many issues with our prisons and through open discussion and independent scrutiny, have been able to improve conditions. I am most grateful to the Uzbek government and authorities of prison #13 for such access.  I was struck by both the quality of the facilities we saw today and the focus on rehabilitation. The life skills provided are invaluable to both the individuals as well as their mahallas”.

Times of Central Asia

Times of Central Asia

Laura Hamilton MA, is the former Director of the Collins Gallery at the University of Strathclyde. She first visited Kyrgyzstan in 2011 to research and curate a major exhibition of contemporary textiles and fashion. Since 2012, she has worked as an editor on over thirty translations of Central Asian novels and collections of short stories. In more recent years, her work has focused on editing translations of Kyrgyzstan's great epics -'Ak Moor', Saiykal', Janysh Baiysh', 'Oljobai and Kishimjan', 'Dariyka', 'Semetey' and 'Er Toshtuk' for The Institute of Kyrgyz Language and Literature, and the Kyrgyz-Turkish Manas University.

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Image: General Prosecutors Office of Ukraine

Aidos Sadykov Shooting: First Subject Detained by Kazakhstan Authorities

Yesterday, TCA reported that two suspects had been identified by the Ukrainian authorities just three days after after the shooting of Aidos Sadykov, a Kyiv based political blogger. Both are Kazakhstan citizens, 33-year-old Meiram Karataev and 36-year-old Altay Zhakanbaev, whose names have been corroborated by the Prosecutor General of Ukraine’s website.

Immediately following the attack, President Tokayev of Kazakhstan said that “the official bodies of the Republic of Kazakhstan are ready to join the investigation.”

According to the Kazakhstan Office of the General Prosecutor, on June 21, Zhakanbaev independently turned himself in to the Ministry of Internal Affairs, where he was questioned on the circumstances of the case. On the same day, he was detained on suspicion of involvement in the crime against Aidos Sadykov.

Sadykov and his wife, Natalya Sadykova left Kazakhstan in 2014 following allegations of slander by a Kazakh MP, a charge no longer considered a criminal offense as of 2020. Since 2014, they have resided in Kyiv, where they have received refugee status.

From Kyiv, the couple host the YouTube channel @base-kazakh, which, according to their description, “covers events in Kazakhstan and the world and does not depend on the authorities, oligarchs and grants”. Sadykov has criticized the Kazakh authorities in the regional press since 2000 and the YouTube channel has been consistently critical of Kazakhstan’s government, starting with President Nazarbayev’s term and continuing under the new President, Kassym-Jomart Tokayev. Since the war broke out in Ukraine, Sadykov and his wife have claimed that Kazakhstan’s leadership is colluding with the Kremlin.

The apparent assassination attempt of Sadykov has raised questions about the motive. Kazakhstan parliamentary deputy, Ermurat Bapi has suggested that the assassination attempt was due to “third forces” that want to create a “quarrel between Kazakhstan and some countries”. Sadykova has accused President Tokayev of ordering the assassination.

The detainment of the first suspect by Kazakhstan authorities is a positive development in determining the actual motive behind the attack.

All images: Veronika Lerner

“Photography in Kazakhstan is Characterized by Local Flavor”: Interview with Photographer Veronika Lerner

Veronika Lerner is a successful, self-taught Fine Art photographer from Kazakhstan whose work has received international recognition. Early in her career, an image of her grandmother sitting near-naked in her kitchen, was selected for inclusion in the portrait collection of the prestigious 5th Exposure Award exhibition at the Louvre, Paris. Deemed controversial when it appeared online, it embodied Lerner’s interest and talent in conceptual photography. Her portraits have been placed in the international  ‘Shoot The Face’ competition as well as ‘My Amazing Kazakhstan’, and in 2016 and 2022, her series “Strangers” was featured in exhibitions in St. Petersburg.

One of Kazakhstan’s finest contemporary photographers, Veronika continues to make a significant contribution to the development of Kazakh photography.

 

TCA: What inspired you to take up photography?

I turned to photography in 2007, when studying to be an artist-designer at college. I had no formal art school training and though keen to develop my own style in drawing, was disillusioned when criticized for my use of shading. Photography allowed me more freedom and with no one editing what I was doing, I was able to express myself fully.

TCA: How has your career evolved and what changes have you noticed in the field along the way?

After college, I continued taking photos and a post with a print publication led to a second job in which I was required to photograph just about everything. Parallel to my job, I worked independently on creative shoots and by developing my practice, my career in photography was soon in full swing. During that period, my style became much lighter and more cheerful. I moved away from black and white contrast shots towards color and my images became airier and more dynamic.

 

TCA: Where do you find inspiration for your work? Are there any photographers in particular whose work you admire?

I find inspiration in everyday life, new experiences, and the beauty of the world around me. 

Henri Cartier-Bresson (1908-2004), is a brilliant photographer. Working as a photo-journalist for Magnum, he pioneered street photography and was the first Western photographer to work ‘freely’ in the former Soviet Union. Capturing seemingly unimportant moments of ordinary life, there is something elusive and eternal about his work. 

I greatly admire photographers whose work resonates with the contemporary culture. 

Irina Dmitrovskaya was a journalist prior to attaining a degree from Docdocdoc, St Petersburg School of Modern Photography. Focusing on identity and societal constructs, and issues concerning the LGBT+ community, her work raises questions about the Kazakh perception of beauty and femininity and last year, was lauded in the exhibition ‘Bodily Autonomies’ at the Queer Festival, Heidelberg. https://queer-festival.de/bodily-autonomies/

I am also inspired by black and white images in which by Moscow-based Anisiya Kuznina, https://anisiakuzmina.com  explores the concept of individuality; by Evgeny Mokhorev https://heyboymag.com/evgeny-mokhorev-life-through-the-lens-of-emotion-controversy/ for his raw, black and white evocative studies of St Petersburg’s marginalized youth, and by Didar Kushamanov https://t.me/s/kushamanov for his use of camera obscura.

In addition to work by other photographers, my approach to subject matter is often influenced by contemporary authors.

TCA: How, in your opinion, does Kazakh photography compare with that of other countries?

Photography in Kazakhstan is characterized by local flavour and colour. We have many excellent reportage and art photographers whose work is distinguished by its reference to national themes.

 

TCA: How would you assess the current state of Kazakhstan’s market for photography?  Are there any unique trends or peculiarities?

The current market for photography in Kazakhstan is quite popsy and brightly-coloured pictures are very much in demand. Black-and-white images in the main, are the reserve of professional and amateur photographers who use the medium as a form of Fine Art.

 

TCA: What are the main challenges facing photographers in Kazakhstan?

As a photographer, author, and artist, I acknowledge that in general, most people are attracted by colourful images of things with which they are familiar or are easily understood. As a result, they dismiss or struggle to engage with monochrome images of more conceptual subject matter.

I would like to see more opportunities to expand the exposure of Fine Art photography and by educating the public, attract more interest in this genre. 

TCA: What opportunities exist for training and the professional development of photographers in Kazakhstan?

In Kazakhstan, education regarding photography is quite good, comprising numerous courses, master classes and educational programs for both beginners and amateur-professionals, both face-to-face and online.

 

TCA: What role does Kazakhstan’s culture play in contemporary photography?

Kazakh art was traditionally confined to the applied arts – textiles, jewellery, metalwork etc.-   and fine art -painting, drawing, sculpture-, did not emerge until the 20th century via exposure to classical Russian art. Photography was a relatively latecomer but from the outset, has been significantly informed by national culture; a ‘special branch’ where Kazakhstan’s colourful history, contemporary life and nature are fully explored and conveyed.

 

TCA: How do you envisage the future of the photography in Kazakhstan?

Kazakhstan is home to a lot of highly talented photographers who by actively experimenting with the medium and unafraid of pushing boundaries, are making themselves known both here and abroad.

The industry is undoubtedly gathering pace and the future is promising.

 

Stephen M. Bland

Stephen M. Bland

 Stephen M. Bland is a journalist, author, editor, commentator and researcher specialising in Central Asia and the Caucasus. Prior to joining The Times of Central Asia, he has worked for NGOs, think tanks, as the Central Asia expert on a forthcoming documentary series, for the BBC, The Diplomat, EurasiaNet, and numerous other publications.
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Published in 2016, his book on Central Asia was the winner of the Golden Laureate of Eurasian Literature. He is currently putting the finishing touches to a book about the Caucasus.
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www.stephenmbland.com

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@gknb.gov.kg

In Kyrgyzstan, a Woman Kept Foreigners in Slave Labor

The State Committee for National Security of Kyrgyzstan (SCNS) has revealed gross violations in a sewing shop near Kyrgyzstan’s capital, wherein its owners employed South Asians without providing them with proper working conditions.

On the night of June 19-20th, 2024, operatives searched the sewing shop where 30 South Asians worked; the GKNB said that a Kyrgyz citizen fraudulently attracted foreigners to work. Violating her obligations, the boss did not pay the promised wages, and exploited the workers’ labor to make the greatest profit.

“She, having entered into a criminal conspiracy with a district police officer, confiscated passports from foreigners and intimidated them regularly, threatening to imprison them for an illegal stay on the territory of the Kyrgyz Republic,” law enforcers said.

The foreigners were kept in conditions that did not meet basic sanitary requirements, and they were barely fed. The owner of the sewing shop and a district police officer were detained and placed in a temporary detention center.

Due to the increasing demand for garment products, many workshop owners bring workers from Pakistan, Bangladesh, and other South Asian countries for cheap labor.

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Times of Central Asia

Askar Alimzhanov graduated from the journalism department of the Kazakh State University named after S. Kirov, then worked as a correspondent for the daily republican newspaper Leninskaya Smen. He then moved to the United States to be a reporter for the daily newspaper "Cape Cod Times" in Hayanis, Massachusetts, (USA) under the journalist exchange program between the Union of Journalists of the USSR and the New England Society of News Editors. Since then, he has helped build transparency and understanding of Central Asia region in various executive level positions at esteemed media organizations including "Akbar"(Alma-Ata) international center for journalism, the Khabar News agency, the Television and Radio Corporation "Kazakhstan" JSC, and MIR- Kazakhstan.

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Mosaic from a different time – Shymkent, KZ; Image: TCA

Kazakhstan: Preconceived Notions and Changed Minds

When I received the email stating that I had received a fellowship to move to Almaty, Kazakhstan, to teach English for a year, I nearly fell out of my office chair in Midtown Manhattan. I worked in a market research company fresh out of college but knew I needed to do something more exciting in my early 20s. I began studying Russian when I was 13 years old. I’m unsure what the exact catalyst for my language endeavor was. Still, coupled with my Ukrainian ancestry, Putin’s annexation of Crimea, and the Sochi Olympics, it seemed like a no-brainer to me.

At this point in my life, I lived outside of Boston, Massachusetts, and began taking Russian classes on Saturdays in Brookline to satiate my desire to learn. After a year of classes, I enrolled in a Russian language immersion camp in Bemidji, Minnesota, for three summers. Following that, I received a grant from the US State Department to immerse myself in the culture for a summer in Narva, Estonia.

I knew where and what I wanted to study after graduating high school. I started my studies at the Elliott School of International Affairs at George Washington University in Washington, DC, declared a major in international affairs with a minor in Russian language and literature, and never looked back.

After graduation, my plans were in the air. I had been looking into opportunities to move to Russia or Ukraine, but this was now off the table due to the war. I worked in New York to get sorted, earn money, and start a new chapter of my life. At some point in April 2023, I received an email from a fellowship I had applied for in October 2022. I was initially placed on the waitlist, but I was notified that I had been accepted for the 2023-2024 cohort to relocate to Almaty, Kazakhstan.

“Oh my god,” I said at my desk. My coworker asked me what had happened. I said, “I’m moving to Kazakhstan. “Kazakhstan, like Borat’s Kazakhstan?” she asked.

Horses graze along the way to Furmanov Peak – Almaty, KZ

Preconceived notions

Questions arose after the excitement had settled and my family and friends were informed of my plans questions began to arise. “Why Kazakhstan?” “Is it safe there?” “Is that next to Serbia?” “Does the Taliban rule Kazakhstan?”

It is shocking how little most Americans know about the 9th largest country on the planet. Spanning two continents with nearly 20 million people, most Americans only know Kazakhstan from Sasha Baron Cohen’s 2006 film, Borat, and nothing more. When they hear the word “Kazakhstan,” they picture a backward and socially undeveloped post-communist country in which people commute by donkey carts, are misogynistic, and are openly antisemitic. While the depiction of Kazakh culture is inherently incorrect, the message is stuck, and the film has become synonymous with Kazakhstan in the American mind. However, most Americans probably can’t find it on the map.

I explained, “Kazakhstan is in Central Asia, and a lot of Russian is spoken there, so I selected Almaty. I’m also very interested in Central Asia; it’s such a unique part of the world, rich in language and culture, with incredibly kind people. I think learning Kazakh would also be very interesting.” “But why would you want to leave New York? You can practice Russian in Brooklyn,” my coworkers and friends said.

To be fair, while I knew more about Kazakhstan than the Average Joe, I couldn’t say I was fluent in many cultural aspects. I went on Amazon and bought “Apples are from Kazakhstan” to increase my baseline knowledge and read blogs to familiarize myself with Kazakh cuisine. As my departure date crept closer and closer, I made arrangements for my journey and became more excited.

I have always been a history geek, particularly a USSR history geek, so the chance to live in a former Soviet state for an extended time allows me to explore relics of the past and hear stories about a different way of life.

On August 24th, I boarded the plane from Frankfurt to Almaty and opened the page to a new chapter in my life. Upon landing in Almaty, I met my new coworker from Narxoz University, where I taught English this past year, got in the car, and headed into the city. I had spoken to my colleague over Zoom a couple of times to plan my arrival and whatnot, and it felt good to finally meet in person and put a friendly face to the name.

Uzbek plov – Bukhara, UZ

 

Work and play

This past year, I taught English at Narxoz (pronounced Nar-hoz) University through the Princeton in Asia fellowship. It was the first year Narxoz was allocated fellows, and I was keen to make a good impression. I was assigned to teach two English classes: B2 Upper-Intermediate and C1 Public Speaking. I also assisted the international office, taught master classes on resume and cover letter writing, and connected with the student body.  Now that the academic year is over, I appreciate my teachers and professors more than ever.

 

Entrance to Narxoz University – Almaty, KZ

Outside of work, I continued my Russian studies and began learning Kazakh. While my Kazakh is still limited, saying just a few words in Kazakh can put a huge smile on someone’s face. I have earned respect by demonstrating my commitment to learning their culture and language. Learning the languages spoken in the country is important. Otherwise, how does one get involved in the community?

My passion for interesting travel has taken me to unique places throughout the year. Within Kazakhstan, I have traveled to Karaganda, Temirtau, Astana, Shymkent, Turkestan, Balkhash, Konaev, and various villages and points of interest. Within the region, I have been to Tashkent, Samarkand, and Bukhara in Uzbekistan and Bishkek and Karakol in Kyrgyzstan. I am a big fan of Soviet mosaics, murals, and bus stops, and I am very grateful to have these opportunities to see such incredible places.

 

Mosaic from a different time – Shymkent, KZ

 

American Mindset

While the transition to life in Kazakhstan has not been too challenging, mainly because I speak Russian, many Americans would find some cultural differences and nuances contradictory to the American way of life. For one, following the rules. This is not to say that all Americans do not follow the rules, but the one example that has stood out to me is pedestrians adhering to traffic signs and wait times. In the US, it is common to see people jaywalking wherever and whenever, but in Almaty, people abide by the time limits and crossing patterns.

Another example of change I have noticed is the respect for other people, particularly older generations. If an older person enters the bus, a younger person is expected to give their seat to them without hesitation. I learned this hard during my first week here when a babushka whacked me with her umbrella to convey the message.

Another nugget of knowledge worth sharing is just how diverse Central Asia is. In Kazakhstan alone, there are 124 ethnic groups. Kazakhs, Uzbeks, Uyghurs, Tajiks, Ukrainians, Tatars, Russians, and Koreans are just a few that contribute to the diversity in Almaty. Lagman, a Uyghur noodle dish that resembles chow mein, has become a staple of my diet here. Plov, an Uzbek rice dish, has won me over, and I now have intense cravings for baursak, a fried Kazakh bread.

Driving in the mountains – Karakol, KYG

 

Lasting impressions

The past year in Almaty has been the experience of a lifetime; I am eternally grateful to everyone who has supported me throughout this journey. I have become comfortable in my new environment, explored, and taken risks that have paid off. Now that the fellowship has ended, I am continuing my stay in Central Asia and working with the Times of Central Asia. Storytelling has become a part of my life to share experiences with friends and family back home. Upon arrival, I began writing a blog, sharing stories and pictures of various adventures, and thoroughly enjoyed writing.

Central Asia is a unique place. Largely unknown by Americans, it serves as a beacon of adventure and excitement to me. Coupled with my longstanding study of Russia and interest in the region and its future, this year has been incredible. I have met some of the kindest people, learned about their lives, and discovered so much. I am excited to continue living in the region, seeing new places, and learning new things daily.


Henry Kuvin is an English teacher at Narxoz University, and an editor at The Times of Central Asia





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Times of Central Asia

Askar Alimzhanov graduated from the journalism department of the Kazakh State University named after S. Kirov, then worked as a correspondent for the daily republican newspaper Leninskaya Smen. He then moved to the United States to be a reporter for the daily newspaper "Cape Cod Times" in Hayanis, Massachusetts, (USA) under the journalist exchange program between the Union of Journalists of the USSR and the New England Society of News Editors. Since then, he has helped build transparency and understanding of Central Asia region in various executive level positions at esteemed media organizations including "Akbar"(Alma-Ata) international center for journalism, the Khabar News agency, the Television and Radio Corporation "Kazakhstan" JSC, and MIR- Kazakhstan.

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