Business & Economy - The Times Of Central Asia

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Exports

Kazakhstan Aims to Increase Non-Commodity Exports by More Than a Quarter by 2030

Kazakhstan plans to increase non-commodity exports to $52 billion by 2030, Prime Minister Olzhas Bektenov said during a plenary session of the Berne Union, the world’s largest international association of export credit and investment insurers. The forum, held in Central Asia for the first time, brought together representatives of international financial institutions, export credit agencies, and investors. According to Bektenov, the export target is outlined in Kazakhstan’s Trade Policy Concept. By the end of 2025, the country’s non-commodity exports totaled approximately $41 billion. The prime minister said Kazakhstan continues to expand its network of free trade agreements within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). In addition to existing agreements with Vietnam and Serbia, new arrangements with the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Mongolia, and Indonesia have been concluded over the past two years. Authorities are also placing particular emphasis on the development of the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route, which Kazakhstan views as one of the key trade corridors connecting Asia and Europe. “Our head of state consistently places special emphasis on improving the business climate. Today, Kazakhstan, as the largest economy in the Central Asian region, continues the structural transformation of its national economy,” Bektenov said. According to him, foreign direct investment into Kazakhstan increased by 14.4% to reach $20.5 billion, while investment in fixed capital rose by 13% to a record $43.5 billion. Kazakhstan’s foreign trade turnover reached $144 billion in 2025. “Today, our goods are exported to 127 countries around the world, and the list of active export product categories has approached 4,000 items,” the prime minister said. Bektenov stressed that the development of international trade, transport and logistics infrastructure, and export capacity is directly linked to improving the country’s investment attractiveness. He invited forum participants to expand cooperation with Kazakhstan in trade, investment, and infrastructure projects. Berne Union President Yuichiro Akita said Kazakhstan continues to serve as a key link in global trade routes dating back to the era of the Silk Road. “Today, the global community once again finds itself at a historical crossroads. A fundamentally different architecture of interaction is emerging, where export credit agencies are moving toward a more strategic and selective approach,” Akita said. According to him, discussions in Astana should help develop new mechanisms for international cooperation amid changes in the global economy. The Times of Central Asia previously reported that Kazakhstan also aims to increase exports of IT services to $5 billion by 2030. The government also plans to produce five or six Earth observation satellites in the coming years, some of which are intended for export.

Industrial Production

Kyrgyzstan’s Industrial Output Rises as Employment Falls

Industrial production in Kyrgyzstan has increased more than six times over the past 15 years, although the sector’s share of the national economy has declined and employment in industry has fallen sharply, according to data from the National Statistical Committee. By the end of 2025, industry accounted for 17.7% of Kyrgyzstan’s GDP, compared to 20.7% in 2010. At the same time, industrial output increased by more than 530% over the same period. In 2010, the value of industrial production was estimated at around $1.4 billion, while by 2025 output had reached approximately $9.1 billion. The figures indicate significant industrial growth, although other sectors of the economy, particularly trade and services, have expanded even faster, analysts say. The sector has also experienced a sharp decline in employment. Around 268,000 people worked in industry in 2010, but by 2025 that number had fallen to 144,000. At the same time, the number of industrial enterprises increased from roughly 2,000 to 2,400, which statisticians say points to structural changes and rising productivity. Manufacturing remains the backbone of Kyrgyzstan’s industrial sector, accounting for nearly 80% of all industrial enterprises. The country’s main industrial segments include food processing, textile production, construction materials, and primary raw-material processing, including metallurgy. High-tech industries such as machinery manufacturing, electronics, and advanced chemical processing remain underdeveloped. Energy accounts for around 10.2% of industrial production, while mining contributes 9.2%. Economists note that much of Kyrgyzstan’s processing industry still produces goods with relatively low added value. The raw materials sector, particularly gold mining, continues to be one of the main drivers of industrial growth despite its comparatively modest share in the overall production structure. At the same time, energy development remains one of the biggest constraints on further industrialization. Despite active construction of solar and wind power plants, small hydropower stations, and implementation of the large Kambar-Ata-1 hydropower project, Kyrgyzstan continues to face electricity shortages during the winter season. The energy deficit limits the launch of energy-intensive industries and continues to restrain investment inflows into the industrial sector.

Labor Market

Kazakhstan Faces Shortage of Doctors and IT Specialists

Kazakhstan continues to face labor shortages in healthcare, information technology, engineering, and the creative industries, according to the Ministry of Labor and Social Protection. The ministry published a list of the country’s most in-demand professions based on data from state information systems and the Enbek.kz employment portal. The most acute shortages remain in the medical sector. According to the ministry, there are only around 100 job seekers’ resumes for 469 vacancies for obstetricians and gynecologists. For pediatricians, 448 vacancies were recorded against 139 resumes, while anesthesiologists and intensive care specialists accounted for 300 vacancies and only 75 resumes. “Shortages are also observed among oncologists, neonatologists, and endocrinologists,” the ministry said. Demand also remains high for information technology specialists. More than 500 vacancies are currently open for software application developers, while around 355 vacancies are available for graphic designers. According to the Unified System for Recording Labor Contracts, more than 45,000 employment contracts have been signed since the beginning of 2026 in the country’s most in-demand professions. The largest number of contracts, around 8,000, involved software developers. Obstetricians-gynecologists, pediatricians, and application programmers were also actively recruited. The ministry acknowledged that Kazakhstan is partially addressing labor shortages by attracting foreign specialists. “To attract valuable personnel, Kazakhstan operates a simplified employment procedure for foreign specialists,” the ministry said. According to officials, the list of in-demand professions includes more than 50 occupations and allows highly qualified foreign workers to obtain permanent residence permits in Kazakhstan. This year, 55 labor contracts have been signed with foreign specialists, primarily in the automation sector. The ministry said that, overall, the domestic labor market covers demand for most key professions, although shortages in the healthcare sector remain persistent. The Times of Central Asia previously reported that Kazakhstan’s small and medium-sized businesses are also facing a severe labor shortage.

IPO

IPO as a Lifeline: Who Will Pay for Kazakhstan Railways’ Growing Debt?

The planned IPO of Kazakhstan’s national railway operator, Kazakhstan Temir Zholy (KTZ), once presented by the authorities as one of the largest public offerings in Central Asia, is increasingly being viewed as an attempt to stabilize the company’s balance sheet amid rapidly rising debt. The share sale, expected in late 2026, may turn out to be less a growth story than a mechanism for refinancing the obligations of the state-owned carrier. During parliamentary hearings on April 24, company executives acknowledged that one of the key objectives of the IPO is to raise funds to service KTZ’s growing debt burden. According to official company and government data, KTZ’s nominal debt has risen sharply. It stood at about $5.7 billion in early 2024, and roughly $8 billion by 2025. By April 2026, it had reached 4.7 trillion tenge, or about $10.4 billion. The increase reflects heavy borrowing for rolling stock, infrastructure modernization, and the expansion of Kazakhstan’s transit capacity, including projects linked to the Middle Corridor. It also reflects the cost of maintaining below-market tariffs for socially important domestic freight. Kazakhstan’s Supreme Audit Chamber warned as early as 2024 about risks related to the company’s financial sustainability. However, the authorities and KTZ management argue that large-scale borrowing was necessary to prevent an infrastructure crisis. According to official estimates, borrowed funds include about $4.9 billion for renewing rolling stock, including locomotives and railcars, and about $2.3 billion for modernizing railway infrastructure. The currency structure of the debt represents an additional vulnerability. More than half of the company’s obligations are denominated in foreign currencies, making KTZ highly sensitive to fluctuations in the tenge. Any weakening of the national currency automatically increases debt servicing costs and reduces the operator’s profitability. Potential investors face another challenge: historically, KTZ has served not only as a commercial company but also as an instrument of state social policy. A substantial share of revenues from China-Europe transit freight is used to subsidize unprofitable domestic passenger transport and the transportation of socially important goods within Kazakhstan. This cross-subsidization mechanism limits the company’s ability to generate free cash flow. Grain transportation under regulated tariffs alone generated losses of approximately $95 million (44 billion tenge) for KTZ in 2024. In an effort to improve the company’s attractiveness ahead of the IPO, KTZ has initiated large-scale tariff increases for mainline railway services. Beginning in April 2026, transportation tariffs for coal, grain, and iron ore were doubled. However, the move risks adding to costs in Kazakhstan, where railway tariffs directly affect the cost of food, electricity, and industrial goods. Annual inflation stood at 12.2% in January 2026, adding to concerns that higher railway tariffs could feed into wider price pressures. Additional inflationary pressure may come from the expiration of the government’s moratorium on utility tariff increases, after which household utility bills in some regions could rise by 10-20%. Against this backdrop, analysts do not rule out a return to tighter state regulation of tariffs, a development that could once again limit the ability of natural...

Shipbuilding

Turkmenistan Launches First Locally Built Dry Cargo Vessel

Turkmenistan has launched its first dry cargo vessel built at the Balkan Shipbuilding and Repair Yard. According to the state news agency TDH, the new ship has been named Gadamly. The vessel is designed to transport dry cargo and has a carrying capacity of 6,100 tons. It can also transport up to 240 20-ton containers. The project was implemented jointly by local specialists and the South Korean company Koryo Shipbuilding Industry Technology. During the launch ceremony, the company’s head, Choi Young Wook, presented the shipyard with international certificates recognizing its engineering development and construction quality standards. Additional certification confirming compliance with international standards, including environmental requirements, was awarded by the French company Bureau Veritas Marine & Offshore. State media coverage of the event focused on the project’s industrial significance as well as the traditional customs associated with launching a new vessel. According to TDH, respected elder women scattered white flour over the ship as part of the traditional blessing ritual “ak zat alnyňa ýagşy,” while an aladja, a traditional protective talisman, was tied to the ship’s wheel. A festive sadaka, or charitable offering for people in need, was also held. Turkmenistan has announced plans to continue cooperation in shipbuilding. President Serdar Berdimuhamedov said another cargo vessel, Menzil, is expected to enter service in the near future. Opened in 2018, the Balkan Shipbuilding and Repair Yard is part of the Turkmenbashi International Seaport complex. The Turkmen government reportedly invested around $1.5 billion in the port project. The shipyard is designed to build four to six vessels annually.

Food Security

Kazakhstan Ready to Become Key Food Hub in Eurasia

Tajikistan is hosting the 35th Session of the FAO Regional Conference for Europe from May 11 to 15, bringing together members of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations from Europe and Central Asia for discussions on regional food security and agricultural development priorities. The conference has gathered agriculture ministers from Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan to address the most pressing challenges facing the sector, review FAO activities in Europe and Central Asia in 2024-2025, and outline priorities for 2026-2027. Speaking at the conference, Kazakhstan’s Minister of Agriculture Aidarbek Saparov said the country occupies a strategically important position in the global food security system and remains among the world’s leading grain producers. According to Saparov, Kazakhstan harvested around 27 million tons of grain for the second consecutive year in 2025, along with nearly 5 million tons of oilseeds and approximately 1 million tons of legumes. During the latest agricultural season, the country exported 15.3 million tons of grain. Kazakhstan currently ranks 10th globally in grain exports, second in flour exports, and eighth in sunflower oil exports, supplying agricultural products to around 50 countries. “Against the backdrop of population growth, climate change, and instability in global markets, food security is becoming a key factor in the sustainable development of states. Under these conditions, Kazakhstan is capable of occupying a strategic niche as a regional center for the production, storage, processing, and supply of grain products,” Saparov said. The minister added that Kazakhstan is implementing a comprehensive livestock development plan for 2026-2030 aimed at increasing livestock numbers and expanding the sector’s export potential. Saparov said Kazakhstan possesses the resources necessary to strengthen its position as one of Eurasia’s key food hubs and is prepared to ensure stable, rapid, and cost-effective supplies of grain and processed grain products to Central Asia, the Middle East, Europe, and other regions.