• KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00194 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10877 -0%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00194 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10877 -0%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00194 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10877 -0%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00194 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10877 -0%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00194 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10877 -0%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00194 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10877 -0%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00194 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10877 -0%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00194 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10877 -0%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28571 0%
16 December 2025

Kyrgyz President Denounces “Politicized” Sanctions on Banks

President Sadyr Japarov has sharply criticized the United States and United Kingdom for imposing what he has called unfounded sanctions on Kyrgyz financial institutions, urging Western leaders to stop “politicizing the economy.” In an interview with state news agency Kabar, Japarov defended two state-owned banks – Keremet Bank and Capital Bank – against allegations that they helped Russia skirt international sanctions, insisting that no evidence of violations has been presented. Neither the UK nor the U.S. has provided a single fact of violation… such facts simply do not exist,” Japarov said, dismissing the sanctions as politically motivated.

UK and U.S. Target Kyrgyz Banks for Russia Sanctions Evasion

Japarov’s comments come after a new wave of Western measures targeting Kyrgyzstan’s banking and crypto sectors for purported links to Russian sanctions evasion. On August 20, London sanctioned Kyrgyzstan-based Capital Bank – along with its director, Kantemir Chalbayev – alleging the bank was being used by Moscow to pay for military goods as part of a “convoluted scheme” to evade sanctions. The British authorities also blacklisted two Kyrgyz cryptocurrency exchanges – Grinex and Meer – that ran the infrastructure for a new rouble-backed crypto coin called A7A5, which moved an estimated $9.3 billion in just four months and was “intentionally created to evade sanctions.”

The UK’s sanctions minister, Stephen Doughty, warned that “laundering transactions through dodgy crypto networks” would not soften the blow of Western sanctions.

These steps followed a U.S. Treasury designation in January 2025 against Keremet Bank, a mid-sized Kyrgyz lender, for creating a hub for trade payments that helped Moscow evade restrictions. U.S. officials allege that Keremet Bank facilitated cross-border transactions for Russia’s sanctioned Promsvyazbank and even sold a controlling stake to a firm linked to a pro-Kremlin oligarch – moves Washington viewed as part of a secret channel to re-export dual-use goods and finance Russia’s defense sector. Those actions marked one of the first instances of Western “secondary sanctions” against Central Asian entities – penalties on third-country institutions accused of abetting a sanctioned nation’s activities.

Kyrgyz Government’s Defensive Measures

President Japarov contends that Kyrgyzstan has been proactive in compliance and that the West’s suspicions are misplaced. He noted that 21 banks operate in Kyrgyzstan, and authorities deliberately limited all Russian rouble transactions to just two state-controlled banks to shield the rest of the financial sector from any inadvertent sanctions breach. “To prevent any of them from falling under sanctions, we decided that only the state-owned Keremet Bank would work with the Russian rouble… All operations are under state control, and the income goes directly to the state treasury,” Japarov stated.

Earlier this year, the government expanded this approach by channeling rouble remittances and payments through Capital Bank, which was brought under 100% state ownership in April. The National Bank of Kyrgyzstan ordered that all cross-border transfers in roubles – including the billions of roubles sent home by Kyrgyz migrant workers each day – be processed exclusively via Capital Bank. Kyrgyz officials argued this centralization was meant to “ensure transparency of financial flows and minimize sanctions risks” under state oversight.

Western regulators, however, have viewed these measures with suspicion. The UK’s sanctions announcement asserts that Russia “turned to the Kyrgyz financial sector” and “opaque financial networks” (including crypto conduits) to bypass sanctions. In Washington’s view, Kyrgyzstan’s state banks became conduits for illicit finance: the U.S. Treasury reported that after Russia invaded Ukraine, a firm associated with Moldovan oligarch Ilan Shor – a fugitive under U.S. sanctions – purchased a controlling stake in Keremet Bank, allegedly to create a sanctions-evasion hub.

The British authorities similarly signaled their concern that Capital Bank might be following “the same path” as Keremet, pointing out that Chalbayev was formerly a top executive at Keremet Bank. Notably, the UK’s latest sanctions also targeted Altair Holding (a Luxembourg-registered company tied to Shor that had acquired a stake in Keremet, underscoring London’s focus on any Shor-linked networks in Kyrgyzstan.

Japarov: No Evidence, Calls Western Claims Unfounded

President Japarov rejects the narrative that Kyrgyz banks are abetting Russia, stressing that neither Washington nor London has provided proof of sanction violations by Kyrgyz institutions. “In January, the U.S. imposed sanctions against Keremet Bank… however, they were unable to provide a single fact confirming this. And they will not be able to, because such facts simply do not exist,” he told Kabar.

Following the U.S. designation of Keremet, Japarov’s government says it sought dialogue and transparency. First Deputy Prime Minister Daniyar Amangeldiev met with U.S. Ambassador Leslie Viguerie in Bishkek and later traveled to Washington, D.C. to engage with the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) about the sanctions. Japarov recounted that the Kyrgyz side offered to arrange an independent audit of both Keremet Bank and Capital Bank – inviting neutral experts to scrutinize their operations – but the U.S. declined the offer. “We proposed to involve independent audit companies to check… and then make a decision. But they refused,” he said.

According to Japarov, American officials “were unable to present any facts” of wrongdoing even in private, instead telling Kyrgyz envoys only that “we have information.” The president alleges that this unspecified “information” came from questionable sources: “We understand perfectly well where this ‘information’ comes from – it is transmitted by local NGOs and our internal opponents in the form of anonymous denunciations. Sanctions are imposed on the basis of this false data,” Japarov said, suggesting that hostile domestic actors fed Western governments unsubstantiated reports.

The pattern repeated, Japarov says, with the UK’s blacklisting of Capital Bank. “Now, as in the case of Keremet Bank, the UK is imposing sanctions against Capital Bank – and again without a single piece of evidence. Everything is based only on doubts,” he asserted.

The president framed the sanctions as politically driven rather than based on facts, musing as to whether the pressure might be a response to Kyrgyzstan’s rapid economic rise: “Is this connected with the fact that the Kyrgyz economy is developing at a high rate? Our GDP has grown by 11.7%, and we are ahead of the CIS countries. Perhaps this is how they put pressure on us, because large countries are not interested in other countries developing quickly.”

Kyrgyzstan’s economy has expanded robustly in the past two years – by around 9% annually according to official figures – thanks in part to booming re-exports and inflows from Russia. Japarov insinuated that Western powers find such success inconvenient: “It is more profitable for them when other countries are dependent and look up to them,” he said, implying that sanctions are meant to keep Kyrgyzstan in check.

Appeals to Western Leaders and Citing “Double Standards”

In an unusual personal touch, Japarov directly appealed to prominent Western politicians to intervene. “I would go to the top leadership of these countries – Donald Trump and Keir Starmer. Maybe they are not getting the message,” he said. “There is no need to politicize the economy.”

Japarov argued that Kyrgyzstan pursues a balanced, multi-vector foreign policy and is seeking cooperative economic ties with both East and West. As evidence, Japarov pointed out that despite the UK sanctioning a Kyrgyz bank, Britain remains a top buyer of Kyrgyz gold – about $1 billion worth each year – and that trade between Kyrgyzstan and Western countries continues in other sectors. He also cited data highlighting ongoing Western commerce with Russia: “In 2024, EU countries traded with Russia for $141 billion, of which $36 billion were imports from Russia. The UK, which imposed sanctions against our bank, itself traded $2.2 billion with Russia in 2024,” Japarov stated. “It turns out that they leave the opportunity to cooperate for themselves, but prohibit others,” he added.

Analysts have also observed that several major economies maintain significant trade with Russia despite sanctions, especially in energy and commodities. By Japarov’s account, this amounts to a double standard. “The attitude you [Western nations] demonstrate is unfair. If you do not trust us, bring your data. Our banks are ready to show all the reports,” he said.

Limited Impact at Home – Pledging Resilience

For now, Kyrgyz officials assert that these sanctions – while diplomatically vexing – have not crippled the local banking system or economy. Both Keremet Bank and Capital Bank continue to operate under the Ministry of Finance’s control, serving clients and processing transactions, albeit now effectively cut off from U.S. dollar and British-linked dealings. Japarov emphasized that everyday life in Kyrgyzstan will carry on as normal despite the Western measures. “We are ready to fulfill international obligations and are doing so. But I will not allow the interests of our citizens and the economic development of the country to be sacrificed,” he declared. Even “under the pressure of sanctions, we will continue to live and work,” Japarov concluded, vowing to safeguard Kyrgyz citizens’ economic interests and avoid any interruption to vital financial flows such as remittances.

Western governments, however, have signaled that they will keep scrutinizing channels that could aid Russia’s war effort. The U.S. and UK moves suggest a broader strategy to tighten secondary sanctions enforcement in Central Asia – essentially warning regional banks, businesses, and even crypto platforms against becoming backdoors for sanctioned Russian entities. This places Kyrgyzstan – closely tied to Russia through trade, migrant labor, and investment, yet also seeking positive relations with the West – in a delicate position. Japarov’s administration has walked a fine line, professing neutrality in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and pivoting to whichever partners can spur development. The showdown over sanctions on its banks highlights the rising pressure on such third countries to police any dealings that might undermine the sanctions regime on Moscow.

 

Editor’s Note: Parts of this article are based on a translated interview with President Sadyr Japarov published by the state news agency Kabar. All trade figures and statements attributed to the president have not been independently verified by The Times of Central Asia.

New Drought Monitoring System Could Save Tajikistan Millions

Tajikistan stands to save between $4 million and $6 million annually by adopting a satellite-based drought monitoring system designed to reduce crop losses and improve water management.

Regional Project Launch

On August 20, a major regional initiative to monitor droughts in Central Asia was launched in Tashkent. The project, spearheaded by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), will employ Earth Remote Sensing (ERS) technologies. The budget for the first phase is $300,000.

The system will initially be piloted in Uzbekistan for two years, with implementation in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan expected by 2027.

According to project analysts, Tajikistan’s annual savings will come from reduced agricultural losses, more efficient water use, and timely responses to drought conditions.

Agriculture at High Risk

Climate change poses a significant threat to Tajikistan. Over the past three decades, average temperatures in Central Asia have risen by 1.2°C, well above the global average of 0.85°C. Meanwhile, precipitation has decreased by 15-20%, increasing the frequency and severity of droughts.

Agriculture accounts for 22% of Tajikistan’s GDP, and approximately 1.5 million people — 15% of the population — live in drought-prone areas. The country’s mountainous landscape and limited water resources further magnify the impact of even minor climate shifts.

Current meteorological stations lack the capacity to monitor local variations. Weather conditions in mountainous areas can differ dramatically over short distances, rendering traditional methods insufficient.

The new system will rely on satellite data from Europe’s Sentinel-2 and the U.S.’s Landsat-8. These satellites measure the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil moisture, and surface temperature. Forecasts are updated every 5-10 days and have an accuracy rate of 80-85%. This will enable farmers to better plan irrigation schedules, select suitable crops, and conserve water resources.

Implementation Timeline

The initiative builds on a 2024 pilot project that developed monitoring methodologies and collected baseline data. In 2025, trials began in Uzbekistan (in Karakalpakstan and the Fergana Valley). Nationwide implementation in Uzbekistan is scheduled for 2026, followed by rollout in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan in 2027.

As part of the program, 150 specialists will be trained, and satellite data will be integrated into national meteorological systems.

Tajikistan is expected to cut annual crop losses by 10-15%, boosting food security and delivering $4-6 million in economic benefits. The project also aims to mitigate social pressures in rural areas.

In Uzbekistan, similar climate stresses displaced an estimated 120,000 people between 2018 and 2023 due to water shortages. By reducing drought-induced income loss, the system could help slow climate-related migration in Tajikistan as well.

The initiative draws on successful international models. Australia’s Drought Watch program has cut agricultural losses by 12%, while India’s INSAT-3D satellite has improved forecast accuracy to 78%. Both approaches will be adapted for Central Asian conditions.

Challenges Ahead

Despite the promise, Tajikistan faces several hurdles. Internet access reaches only 55% of rural communities, there is a shortage of trained remote sensing specialists, and the system’s annual maintenance is estimated at $50,000.

To address these challenges, ESCAP will provide training and technical support and integrate Tajikistan’s platform with global systems like Copernicus and UN-SPIDER.

Following implementation in Tajikistan, the system will be extended to Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan. In future phases, artificial intelligence tools will be introduced to boost forecast accuracy to 90%.

The long-term goal is the establishment of a unified regional water management system to help all Central Asian countries tackle mounting climate risks.

Cholpon-Ata to Host ‘Day of German Economy in Kyrgyzstan’

On August 26, Kyrgyzstan will host one of its most prominent international business events of the year, the Day of German Economy in Kyrgyzstan, alongside the 4th meeting of the Kyrgyz-German Business Council. The events are organized by the National Investment Agency under the President of the Kyrgyz Republic.

According to the agency, the forum will take place at two venues in the resort city of Cholpon-Ata: the Rukh Ordo Cultural Center and the No. 2 State Residence of the President of the Kyrgyz Republic.

The event is expected to bring together high-level participants, including government officials, business leaders, industry associations, and investors from both Germany and Kyrgyzstan.

Welcoming remarks will be delivered by Adylbek Kasymaliyev, Chairman of the Cabinet of Ministers of Kyrgyzstan, and Professor Reinhold Krämmel, Honorary Consul of Kyrgyzstan in Munich and Deputy Co-Chairman of the Kyrgyz-German Business Council.

The forum will feature two thematic panel sessions:

  • “Energy Projects for German-Kyrgyz Economic Cooperation”focusing on opportunities in green energy and infrastructure development.
  • “Export Potential and Logistics in the Transition Period: Opportunities of the Middle Corridor” examining evolving trade routes and modern logistical challenges.

In addition, Kasymaliyev will attend the meeting of the Kyrgyz-German Business Council. Discussions will center on the theme: “Kyrgyz-German Trade, Economic and Investment Cooperation: Finance as an Integral Part of the Partnership.”

The primary aim of the event is to deepen economic dialogue, enhance trade and investment relations, and strengthen the strategic partnership between Kyrgyzstan and Germany.

Kyrgyzstan Drafts Program to Preserve Lake Issyk-Kul

Kyrgyzstan’s Ministry of Natural Resources, Ecology, and Technical Supervision has released a draft Concept for the Sustainable Development of the Ecological and Economic System of Lake Issyk-Kul until 2030 for public discussion. The proposal addresses mounting environmental challenges that threaten the future of the lake, a vital component of the country’s climate system, biodiversity, and tourism industry.

Located in northeastern Kyrgyzstan, Issyk-Kul is the nation’s largest lake and one of its most important ecological assets and tourist destinations. The new Concept outlines a roadmap for sustainable management amid signs of accelerating environmental degradation.

Falling Water Levels

The lake’s water level has dropped by 2.75 meters between 1927 and 2003. To reverse this trend, the Concept recommends restoring hydrological monitoring infrastructure, including groundwater observation and river hydro-posts. It also proposes enforcing irrigation water accounting and transitioning local agriculture to water-saving technologies.

Glacier Retreat and River Flow

The 957 glaciers in the Issyk-Kul basin, spanning 560.8 km², are rapidly melting due to climate change. These glaciers feed roughly 120 rivers flowing into the lake, though only 80 reach it during the summer, largely due to irrigation withdrawals. To mitigate the loss, the government plans to introduce modern irrigation systems across 100,000 hectares of farmland, potentially redirecting up to 200 million cubic meters of water back into the lake annually.

Wastewater and Sewerage Infrastructure

Untreated wastewater from settlements and tourism infrastructure poses a serious threat to the lake’s ecosystem. The Concept includes measures to upgrade wastewater treatment, promote the reuse of treated water for irrigation, and expand sewerage systems. Over the past five years, 47 new treatment facilities have been built in the Issyk-Kul region.

2030 Environmental Goals

The Concept sets several targets for the next five years:

  • Reduce untreated wastewater discharge by 40%
  • Expand specially protected natural areas to cover 20% of the region
  • Implement ecotourism standards at all recreational facilities
  • Introduce separate waste collection in all district centers
  • Involve at least 80% of schoolchildren in environmental education programs

“Issyk-Kul is a strategic resource for Kyrgyzstan. The Concept aims to ensure clean water, protect the shoreline, create safe recreation areas, and boost tourism and entrepreneurship,” said Meder Mashiev, Minister of Natural Resources, Ecology, and Technical Supervision.

Earthquakes: Is Central Asia Ready for the Next Seismic Event?

In a recent livestream with a Russian nationalist commentator, prominent Kazakh political analyst Marat Shibutov was asked what threat most concerns Kazakhs today. While his interlocutor expected a geopolitical answer, perhaps Russia’s military might or imperial ambitions, Shibutov’s response reflected a deeply local fear shared by many in Almaty: a devastating earthquake.

Given the region’s seismic history, his concern is far from misplaced. A powerful natural disaster could strike a crippling blow to Almaty, Kazakhstan’s economic and cultural heart, and potentially derail the country’s broader development ambitions.

A History of Devastation

Almaty lies within the Almaty Seismic Zone, a high-risk area in southeastern Kazakhstan known for producing powerful earthquakes. Several historically significant tremors, Vernensky, Keminsky, Kemino-Chuisky (1936), Chiliksky, Sary-Kamyshsky, and Dzhambulsky, were named after their epicenters.

The Verny earthquake struck early on May 28 (June 9 in the modern calendar), 1887. Measuring 7.3 on the Richter scale, it destroyed nearly 1,800 stone buildings and over 800 wooden structures. The epicenter was located just 10-12 kilometers south of the city on the northern slope of the Zailiyskiy Alatau, at a depth of about 60 km.

The second major disaster, the Kemin earthquake, occurred on December 22, 1910 (January 4, 1911, by modern reckoning). It struck the Chon-Kemin, Chilik, and Chon-Aksu valleys, with a magnitude of 8.2. Tremors lasted for five minutes, followed by strong aftershocks. The epicenter was about 40 km from Verny, in the eastern Zailiyskiy Alatau.

On June 21, 1938, another major quake, later named the Kemin-Chui earthquake, originated at the mouth of the Bolshaya Kemin River. Though its epicenter registered between magnitude 8 and 9, public memory of the event is surprisingly faint. In Almaty, the quake struck at around 5 a.m., jolting residents from sleep. Tremors reached magnitude 6, but most people remained calm.

Panic in 2024

This was not the case in January and March 2024, when strong tremors triggered widespread panic in Almaty. Some residents jumped from balconies or stairwells, sustaining injuries. Others fled the city in cars, causing major traffic jams.

The panic was most pronounced among residents of modern high-rises. Until the 2000s, Almaty had largely avoided such construction due to seismic safety concerns, a principle rooted in Soviet urban planning. Developers now claim modern technologies ensure these buildings can withstand earthquakes but many residents remain unconvinced.

This mistrust has sparked public protests against large-scale development projects, including by members of the Mazhilis, Kazakhstan’s lower house of parliament.

Adding to concerns, Soviet-era buildings have significantly deteriorated. Aging infrastructure, waterlogged basements, and amateur renovations, including the removal of load-bearing walls, have further weakened the housing stock. In the event of a major quake, widespread destruction is likely and experts agree that the national budget alone could not absorb the resulting financial fallout.

Is the Kemin Fault Awakening?

Following the March 2024 earthquake, seismic expert and former head of Kazakhstan’s seismic monitoring network, Mukhtar Khaidarov, warned that the epicenter may have been in the Kemin fault zone, a possible precursor to a larger quake.

His concerns were echoed by officials two months later.

“The possibility that the epicenter of the strongest Kemin earthquake is beginning to become active cannot be ruled out, but since there are no reliable prediction methods, it is not yet possible to give a definite answer,” said Elizaveta Esenjigitova, deputy director of the National Scientific Center for Seismological Observation and Research under the Ministry of Emergency Situations.

In response, mandatory earthquake drills have resumed in Almaty, involving schools, universities, and civil servants. Emergency assembly points, often school buildings, are being prepared, with medical staff and rescue workers trained to respond. The military has begun rehearsing the deployment of mobile hospitals and refugee camps. Body bags are being stockpiled, and land is being reserved for mass burials.

These measures, though discreet, indicate that officials are treating the risk of a major earthquake as both real and imminent.

A Regional Threat

Almaty is not alone. Central Asia has a long history of deadly earthquakes.

  • Ashgabat, 1948: A 7.3 magnitude quake struck the capital of the Turkmen SSR on the night of October 5-6. With the epicenter nearly directly beneath the city, tens of thousands were buried under collapsed buildings. Official estimates list 40,000 dead, though many suspect the true number was much higher. Nearly 9,000 residents were evacuated over the following weeks.
  • Tashkent, 1966: An earthquake struck directly beneath Tashkent, leveling parts of the old city. It destroyed over 2 million square meters of housing and displaced 78,000 families, more than 300,000 people. Within 3.5 years, the Soviet government had completely rebuilt the city using modern, multi-story designs.
  • Kayrakkum, 1985: On October 13, an 8.0 magnitude quake struck near the Tajik city of Kayrakkum. Its epicenter lay beneath the Kayrakkum Reservoir. Dozens of settlements were devastated. Though the official death toll was only 29, survivors have long disputed that figure. Reconstruction took years; many lived in trailers for months or longer.

Preparedness vs. Probability

While major earthquakes remain unpredictable, the seismic risks in Central Asia are undeniable and growing. Almaty, as the region’s largest economic hub, has the most to lose. And while current efforts suggest that authorities are finally preparing for the worst, the question remains: will it be enough?

S&P Reaffirms Tajikistan’s Credit Rating at B/B with Stable Outlook

International ratings agency S&P Global Ratings has reaffirmed Tajikistan’s sovereign credit rating at B/B with a “stable” outlook, according to a statement from the National Bank of Tajikistan.

The bank noted that Tajikistan has worked with international rating agencies since 2014 to assess its sovereign creditworthiness. The reaffirmed rating reflects improved engagement with international partners, consistent economic growth, and rising foreign exchange reserves, all of which contribute to timely debt servicing and reduced pressure on the country’s balance of payments.

Officials emphasized that Tajikistan’s external economic indicators have strengthened in recent years, even as concessional loans continue to make up a large share of its public debt. Maintaining the current rating, they said, affirms the country’s macroeconomic stability and strong economic performance, while enhancing its credibility with foreign investors.

In July, the Eurasian Development Bank (EDB) forecast that Tajikistan’s economy would grow by 8.4% in 2025, the country’s fastest expansion in two decades. Growth of 8% is projected for 2026 and 7.1% for 2027, with Tajikistan expected to outpace both regional and global averages despite a slight moderation.

A key factor underpinning this momentum is remittances from Tajik migrant workers, which are said to account for approximately 45% of GDP. These funds remain vital to the economy, sustaining household consumption and contributing to overall macroeconomic resilience.