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Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Afghanistan to Cooperate in Freight Transit

On April 27, Deputy Prime Minister of Kazakhstan Serik Zhumangarin, Director General of the Agency of Transport and Communications of Turkmenistan Mammetkhan Chakiyev, and Minister of Trade and Industry of the Afghan Taliban government Nuriddin Azizi met in Kabul.

During negotiations, an agreement was made to develop more favourable and competitive tariffs for the passage of container trains from China through Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan to Afghanistan, and further afield to Pakistan, India, and Middle Eastern countries.

To support the initiative, Afghan businesses have been invited to use the Kazakh terminal in China’s Xi’an Dry Port to consolidate goods for transport by rail.

According to preliminary calculations, the delivery time for goods via the accelerated, uninterrupted route from Xi’an/Urumqi in China to Turgundi and Andkhoy in Afghanistan will be reduced to just 10-12 days, at a cost significantly cheaper than alternative modes of transport.

Since the Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan-Afghanistan route could also be used for transporting goods from Russia and Belarus to India and the Middle East, it provides added impetus for the development of the North-South transport corridor.

 

 

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Gas production Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan’s Production of Gas Set to Soar

According to Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Energy, the country’s production of natural gas which has been has steadily growing in recent years, is expected to reach 60.456 billion m3 in 2024.

More than 85% of natural gas in Kazakhstan is produced by the Tengiz (27%), Karachaganak (38%) and Kashagan (20%) projects.

In 2023, natural gas production in Kazakhstan totaled 59.063 billion m3, including 16.009 billion m3 at Tengiz, 22.385 billion m3 at Karachaganak, and 11.856 billion m3 at Kashagan.

Domestic consumption in 2024 is intended to reach 20.9 billion m3.

 

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U.S. to Restrict Firearms Exports to Central Asian Countries

From the end of May the U.S. will restrict exports of all firearms to non-government entities in high-risk countries, including Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Tajikistan, according to a statement from the U.S. Department of Commerce.

According to the statement, the Department’s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) has issued a regulation “amending the Department’s licensing policy for exports of firearms, ammunition, and related components under its jurisdiction.”

The decision concerns export to non-governmental organizations. Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Tajikistan are among 36 countries included on the list of high-risk nations.

As part of the new changes to the regulations, the administration is also shortening the validity period of arms export licenses to one year from four years. The changes are aimed at reducing the risk of increasing instability in the regions of the world through the illicit use of American weapons.

 

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Doing Deals: At Paris Forum, Turkmenistan Makes a Pitch to the West

OPEC’s secretary general appeared on the video screen in a conference hall in France and ticked off the statistics that have made Turkmenistan such a tantalizing prospect as an energy provider for Europe over the years, despite the convoluted geopolitics and high costs of moving natural gas from Central Asia to the West.

“It is among the top 10 global natural gas producers, and the fourth largest in terms of proven gas reserves. And it has plans to expand its oil production capacity,” Haitham Al-Ghais told delegates to the state-backed Turkmen Energy Investment Forum, held in a plush hotel in Paris on April 24-25. The speech from OPEC headquarters in Vienna was short and upbeat. It came at a time when Turkmenistan, a traditionally isolationist country, is seeking to diversify energy customers and as Europe reduces demand on Russian natural gas amid war in Ukraine.

Turkmenistan, which is not a member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, has long exported gas to China, its biggest customer. The Turkmen government says the construction of a pipeline that would deliver gas to India via Pakistan is making progress, though the infrastructure would pass through Afghanistan, where security is a perennial concern.

Last year, Turkmenistan’s foreign ministry spoke positively about plans for a Trans-Caspian pipeline that would deliver gas to Europe, an idea that has circulated since the 1990s but is opposed by Moscow. Also, gas demand has been dropping in Europe and Brussels is reluctant to revive the complex Trans-Caspian project and its undersea pipeline, according to the Warsaw-based Centre for Eastern Studies.

There has also been talk of sending gas to Europe through Iran under a gas swap agreement, though international tensions – evident in the recent strikes by Iran and U.S.-backed Israel on each other’s territory — are likely to persist.

“The options, including transport via the Caspian Sea and Azerbaijan or through Iran’s pipeline infrastructure, reflect the complex regional dynamics and the need for diplomatic agreements to facilitate gas transit,” Melike Akin wrote in a March 7 analysis for the Ankara Center for Crisis and Policy Studies, a research center. Ankara is the capital of Turkey, which said in March that it will begin receiving some Turkmen natural gas. Details on the delivery are lacking, but the transfer could serve as a playbook for Turkmen supplies to Europe, with Ankara positioning itself as a gas trading hub between Eurasia and the West.

President Serdar Berdimuhamedov of Turkmenistan said in a message to the Paris energy conference that priorities include collaboration with foreign companies on oil and gas facilities in the Turkmen section of the Caspian Sea, development of the huge Galkynysh gas field and construction of the TAPI pipeline to South Asia. The acronym stands for Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India.

The president noted that Turkmenistan had made “significant progress” toward reducing emissions when it signed the Global Methane Pledge at the United Nations meeting on climate change, or COP-28, in Dubai in December. Under the agreement, more than 150 nations plan to cut methane emissions by 30% by 2030. Whether many countries can meet the voluntary commitment is in question. Some environmental groups have doubts about Turkmenistan, where an authoritarian system and a lack of government transparency can make it hard to get information.

On April 9 a team from the International Monetary Fund completed a trip to Turkmenistan and said afterward that transparency was vital to the country’s development of its vast energy resources.

“The main challenge for the economy is to use hydrocarbon revenues wisely to achieve more diversified, sustainable and inclusive growth. Transitioning to such a growth model will require implementing a more market-oriented diversification strategy, reforming monetary and exchange rate policy frameworks, improving the efficiency of public spending, and strengthening governance and transparency,” the IMF said. “Additional efforts to improve the availability, quality and reliability of economic statistics will help inform policymakers and enhance transparency and trust.”

The IMF said hydrocarbon production growth in Turkmenistan will stabilize at around 2% following economic turbulence related to the pandemic and its aftermath. It said the economy is likely to weaken over time because of “an overvalued exchange rate, lower hydrocarbon prices and reduced oil exports.”

One of the delegates in Paris was William O’Bryan, the economic and commercial officer at the U.S. Embassy in Ashgabat, Turkmenistan’s capital. According to Nebit-gaz, Turkmenistan’s oil and gas newspaper, O´Bryan, said the decision to hold the forum in Paris was “a sign that Turkmenistan is showing great interest in cooperation with a variety of countries.”

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Image: Asel Kamiyeva

A View from the Rally in Prague in Support of Saltanat Nukenova

On Sunday, 21 April in the center of Prague on Wenceslas Square, some 200 people attended a rally in memory of Saltanat Nukenova and in protest against violence against women.

The event took place against the backdrop of the trial of former Kazakh minister, Kuandyk Bishimbayev, who is accused of torturing and murdering Saltanat Nukenova, with whom he was bound in a common-law marriage.

In an interview with The Times of Central Asia, Aruzhan, one of the organizers, described the various problems encountered by the team, beginning with the hostile criticism expressed by many young hecklers with little or no knowledge of the situation.

“We were bombarded with comments like, ‘Kazakhstan has enough problems;’ ‘Why didn’t you come out for the floods?’, ‘Only one person died,’ and so on. It was both frustrating and unpleasant to see that side of our young people but I think, and hope, that the rally woke some of them up and changed their minds.There were also those in Saltanat Ushin’s group who twice expressed their ‘valuable opinion’ and provoked quarrels between the participants.”

Image: Asel Kamiyeva

 

Despite a statement issued by the Foreign Ministry of Kazakhstan that it was happy for its youth to speak out, there was a marked absence of support from the embassy. Aruzhan said it was disappointing, but nowhere near as bad as what happened in Tbilisi, where during a similar rally the Kazakh embassy had openly threatened and called in the organizers.

Aruzhan explained that officials had accused the organizers of acting in defiance of the embassy, and, whilst logging their details, told them they should be ashamed and focus instead on other problems. She said that they been repeatedly told, “the law’s already been passed, so calm down.”

“In every city where a rally was held, the embassy behaved in this way, even after the Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement claiming they supported our action and were happy for us to express our position.”

Aruzhan described an incident which illustrated that a close eye was being kept on proceedings: “Before the rally, a large car arrived on site. Intimidating-looking men leapt out, made a quick assessment of the number of people gathered, and drove off. They spoke in Russian and Kazakh.”

Image: Asel Kamiyeva

 

Another challenge facing the organizers, was the lack of media support.

“The groups to which I made initial announcements about the rally deleted my posts, explaining that they had ‘cultural content that does not concern politics’. It was funny and sad to read this; funny that we are perceived not to touch politics, and sad that they are so shaken by it. In Istanbul, the embassy scared people so much that they gave up the idea of going to the rally. At our rally, we shot reportage that came out more like a social video. Not a single media outlet picked it up. I think that says a lot about how censorship works. So we turned to bloggers, Russian-speaking media in the Czech Republic, thanks to whom we reached 147,000 views.”

Despite all, the rally proceeded peacefully, and praising the organizers for doing a great job, a participant named Saida told The Times of Central Asia: “The girls were insanely cool in coping with such a huge crowd. Over a hundred people joined in and took pictures. People from Ukraine and Belarus came up to us asking what was going on, and many also brought placards, gave interviews, and joined in the shouting. People from Mongolia, Kyrgyzstan and Siberia also participated in the demonstration, but what pleased me most was that there were men brandishing signs declaring ‘Men should protect women, not kill them’. It was nice to see that they, too, are aware of the problem of unpunished violence and harassment in our country.”

Saida said that, appalled by the recent atrocity in her homeland, she joined the rally to personally express her position in the fight for women’s rights around the world.

“This is not the first year that I have fought for women’s rights in general, but here in my country, there was a demonstrative event where everything became obvious to everyone. I know that in the Czech Republic, the law is on the side of the people and our rally, because it was peaceful, and was not suppressed. I felt safe and free to express my civic position, but noticed that there were those who despite living in the Czech Republic, did not want to show up for fear of returning home (to Kazakhstan) or getting banned/questioned etc. It was also important for me to offer support and gratitude to Saltanat’s family and all those who are now fighting in court for her rights. I have therefore actively disseminated information about the rally on social networks to help it being more widely seen and heard.”

The trial of Kuandyk Bishimbayev, the former Minister of the National Economy during the reign of former-President Nazarbayev has been streamed live, and has gripped the country. On April 24, Bishimbayev admitted to causing Nukenova’s “death through negligence.” On April 15, President Tokayev signed into law landmark new legislation on domestic violence which the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) in Kazakhstan labelled a “crucial step towards equality, justice [and] safety for all citizens” that “lays a foundation for a stable, prosperous society.”

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Games of the Future

Kazakhstan Postpones Games of the Future

To channel funds into eliminating the consequences of unprecedented spring flooding in Kazakhstan, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has issued an order to halt costly image-building and other major events.

The decision announced by the Kazakh Ministry of Tourism and Sport on 26 April, will directly impact the Games of the Future, a phygital sports show in which competitors challenge each other in physical and digital dimensions.

Following his attendance at the first ever Games in the city of Kazan, Russia, in February this year, President Tokayev announced that Kazakhstan would host the next round in 2025. The event has now been postponed until 2026.

Kazakhstan also plans to optimize the cost of organizing the 5th World Nomad Games to be held in Astana from 8 -14 September.

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