As previously reported by The Times of Central Asia, a Soviet spacecraft launched from Baikonur more than five decades ago is expected to re-enter Earth’s atmosphere between May 9 and 11, 2025. Known as Kosmos-482, the probe was part of the Soviet Union’s Venera program aimed at exploring Venus. However, due to a launch failure in 1972, it never escaped Earth’s orbit and has been circling the planet ever since.
Kosmos-482 was engineered to endure the extreme conditions of Venus, making it significantly more robust than typical satellites. Its descent module, weighing around 495 kilograms (approximately 1,100 pounds), features a durable titanium shell, raising the possibility that parts of the spacecraft could survive re-entry and reach the Earth’s surface.
Experts estimate the spacecraft will re-enter at speeds of up to 27,000 kilometers per hour (around 17,000 miles per hour). The potential impact zone spans between 52 degrees north and south latitude, covering much of the inhabited world. Despite this wide range, the risk to human life is regarded as minimal. Most likely, the spacecraft will either disintegrate in the atmosphere or fall into the ocean.
In Uzbekistan, the national space agency Uzcosmos has assessed the probability of debris landing within the country at between 0.3% and 0.5%. Ahror Agzamov, head of the New Technologies Department at Uzcosmos, stated that while the risk is low, the agency is closely monitoring the situation.
“While most of the spacecraft will burn up upon re-entry, the nearly half-ton titanium sphere, designed to operate under Venus’s harsh conditions, poses a particular concern,” Agzamov explained. “It is expected to survive re-entry, and despite being equipped with a parachute, that system may not function after 53 years in space. The object could strike the Earth at speeds up to 500 kilometers per hour.”
Agzamov cautioned the public against interacting with any debris. Due to the possibility of hazardous chemical residues in the spacecraft’s components, any discovered fragments should be reported immediately to local authorities, he stated.
Uzbekistan’s Role in the Venera Program
Uzbekistan has a historical connection to the Soviet space program. The former Tashkent Mechanical Engineering Design Bureau contributed to the later stages of the Venera missions by developing soil sampling and drilling equipment used on Venera-13 and Venera-14 (1982), and Vega-1 and Vega-2 (1985). These devices were tested at a facility in the village of Nevich in the Tashkent region.
As Kosmos-482 begins its final descent, space agencies around the world continue to track its trajectory to provide timely updates and ensure public safety.
