• KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00193 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10866 0.55%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28490 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00193 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10866 0.55%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28490 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00193 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10866 0.55%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28490 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00193 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10866 0.55%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28490 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00193 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10866 0.55%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28490 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00193 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10866 0.55%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28490 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00193 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10866 0.55%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28490 0%
  • KGS/USD = 0.01144 0%
  • KZT/USD = 0.00193 -0%
  • TJS/USD = 0.10866 0.55%
  • UZS/USD = 0.00008 0%
  • TMT/USD = 0.28490 0%
11 December 2025

Tokayev on Kazakhstan’s Future: Reforms, Diplomacy, and Global Leadership

In an interview with the Kazakh newspaper Ana Tili, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev discussed pressing domestic and international policy issues shaping Kazakhstan’s development. Tokayev highlighted Kazakhstan’s role as a stabilizing force in the international arena during a time of heightened geopolitical tensions.

“My main goal is to strengthen the economic potential, sovereignty, and international position of our state. From the very beginning of my presidency, I have taken full responsibility for the decisions I make and their consequences. I cannot and do not want to work any other way,” Tokayev stated.

Image: Akorda

Reflecting on Qantar – Building a Just Kazakhstan

Tokayev addressed the January 2022 unrest – Qantar – describing the upheaval as a consequence of deep-rooted social injustice and political stagnation. “Three years after Qantar, most of our citizens understand that the unprecedented unrest was driven by social inequality, political stagnation, and the self-serving ambitions of the conspirators,” Tokayev said, warning against the spread of misinformation surrounding the events and emphasized that decisive action was necessary to preserve Kazakhstan’s sovereignty.

Tokayev reiterated his commitment to creating a fairer Kazakhstan where all citizens are equal before the law.

“Justice is not universal equalization. My course on the fair distribution of national wealth does not mean total expropriation or redistribution of property and assets. Such a policy would lead to degradation and chaos. Instead, we aim to eliminate illegal privileges and return unlawfully acquired assets to the state as part of our modernization strategy,” the president said.

Relations with Nazarbayev

While acknowledging the achievements of Nursultan Nazarbayev, Kazakhstan’s first president, Tokayev also critiqued certain aspects of his leadership.

“After resigning but remaining chairman of the Security Council, he often held meetings with key officials, creating confusion and sparking rumors of dual power. This situation led some to claim that the Elbasy Institute should supersede presidential authority,” Tokayev noted.

He further revealed that Nazarbayev had considered returning to power in 2021, citing his strong ties to Moscow.

Advancing Political Reforms and International Relations

Tokayev pointed to the successful implementation of key political reforms, emphasizing greater openness and the activation of public participation.

“The concept of ‘Strong President, Influential Parliament, Accountable Government’ best suits Kazakhstan’s political system. However, achieving this fully requires sustained effort,” Tokayev explained, reaffirming his belief that a presidential system remains the optimal governance model for Kazakhstan.

Tokayev also elaborated on relations with major powers, including Russia, China, and the United States, underscoring the importance of Kazakhstan’s partnership with Russia, highlighting their shared border and deep economic ties.

“President Putin is an experienced statesman who values Kazakhstan’s strategic importance as Central Asia’s largest economy. Our constant communication fosters stability in Eurasia,” Tokayev said.

He described Kazakhstan’s cooperation with China as dynamic and multifaceted, elevating their relationship to the level of an “eternal strategic partnership.”

Tokayev also mentioned his conversation with  U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, noting Trump’s positive view of Kazakhstan as a strategic partner.

Nuclear Power Plans, Middle Powers and Global Stability

On nuclear energy, Tokayev reiterated the authorities plan to construct a nuclear power plant through an international consortium, with Kazakhstan as the project’s lead operator.

“We are considering Rosatom, a Chinese company, and other foreign corporations with expertise in nuclear construction. Competitive procedures will determine the final selection,” he said. Tokayev also hinted at the potential need for a second or third plant to meet future energy demands.

Discussing Kazakhstan’s role on the world stage, Tokayev expressed concern about the current instability in international relations.

“The system of international relations is in decline, and the UN Security Council is paralyzed. Middle powers like Kazakhstan must work together to bridge divides and reduce global tensions,” he said.

Tokayev called for collective efforts by middle powers to rebuild trust and promote a fairer and more balanced global order.

Central Asia Poised to Outpace Global Growth in 2025, IMF Projects (With One Exception)

The year 2025 is anticipated to bring moderate growth for the global economy, according to forecasts by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Global GDP is projected to grow by 3.2%, reaching $115.3 trillion at current prices.

While global growth is expected to remain stable, it is weaker than initially forecast. The IMF notes that the economic outlook for the United States has improved, but growth expectations for other advanced economies, particularly in Europe, have been downgraded. Emerging markets and developing economies continue to grapple with a range of challenges, including production disruptions, shipping delays, geopolitical conflicts, civil unrest, and extreme weather events. These factors have tempered growth prospects in regions such as the Middle East, Central Asia, and sub-Saharan Africa.

In contrast, emerging Asia is experiencing robust growth, fueled by strong demand for semiconductors and electronics, underpinned by substantial investments in artificial intelligence. Additionally, public investment in China and India is driving regional economic expansion. However, the IMF forecasts that global growth will average 3.1% annually over the next five years, a pace slower than pre-pandemic levels.

Global Economic Highlights

In 2025, the United States is expected to retain its position as the world’s largest economy, with a GDP of $30.3 trillion at current prices. China will follow with $19.5 trillion, while Germany is projected to rank third at $4.9 trillion. Japan and India will occupy fourth and fifth places, with GDPs of $4.4 trillion and $4.3 trillion, respectively.

Central Asia Outlook

In Central Asia, Uzbekistan’s economy is forecast to expand by 5.7%, reaching $127.4 billion at current prices, according to the IMF. This growth rate positions Uzbekistan as one of the region’s fastest-growing economies.

Kazakhstan, the largest economy in Central Asia, is expected to achieve 4.6% growth, with GDP reaching $306.6 billion. Kyrgyzstan’s GDP is forecast to grow by 5%, reaching $17.3 billion at current prices. Tajikistan’s economy is expected to grow by 4.5%, with GDP projected at $14.1 billion. Turkmenistan is forecast to experience slower growth, with its GDP increasing by 2.3% to reach $91.1 billion.

Uzbekistan’s Gas Shortage Forces Residents to Use Coal, Firewood, and Dung

Despite Uzbekistan’s abundant natural gas reserves, many residents are turning to coal, firewood, and even dung for heating, leading to significant environmental problems, according to a report by Radio Azattyk. Experts warn of worsening air pollution and other ecological consequences, as highlighted by the International Energy Agency, while the government plans to expand coal use.

Energy officials claim gas production exceeds domestic demand by threefold. However, production has been in decline for five consecutive years. Today, many households rely on coal and other alternatives for heating and cooking, while power plants that once operated on gas are transitioning to coal.

According to the World Bank, in 2019, air pollution from fine particulate matter (PM2.5) led to 89 deaths per 100,000 people in Uzbekistan. Environmentalists argue that the increased reliance on coal accelerates climate change, while illegal tree cutting exacerbates ecological damage. Residents blame the government for failing to provide effective alternatives, a problem that worsens during the winter months.

“In the city center, the gas pressure in the pipes is so low in winter that the stoves don’t warm. People are forced to burn coal, manure, and even fruit trees,” said Ferghana-based activist Abdusalom Ergashev.

In response to widespread deforestation, the government has tightened regulations, with fines for illegal tree felling now reaching 17 million UZS (USD $1,300). Additionally, violators must plant 100 saplings for every tree cut down.

In rural areas, families prepare for winter by collecting firewood, drying dung, and purchasing coal. The average household burns approximately 1.5 tons of coal per season, supplemented by cotton stalks, wood, and nut shells.

Environmental consequences are becoming increasingly visible. In one video, popular blogger Akmal Isomiddinov highlighted the suffocating smog enveloping Ferghana, a phenomenon occurring across much of the country.

Uzbekistan ranks among the leading nations in natural gas reserves, with an estimated 1.8 trillion cubic meters. However, its fields are depleting, and new developments require advanced technologies. Gas production in the first 10 months of 2024 totaled nearly 39 billion cubic meters, a 4.8% decline year-on-year. By comparison, production peaked at 61.6 billion cubic meters in 2018, dropping to 46.7 billion cubic meters in 2023. The government has set a goal to increase production by 33% and return to 2018 levels by 2030.

Meanwhile, coal production continues to rise. From less than 4 million tons in 2016, output reached 6.5 million tons in 2023, with plans to increase production to 10 million tons by 2025. Thousands of schools, kindergartens, and hospitals were ordered to switch from gas to coal in 2023.

Despite these challenges, the government asserts it is taking steps to combat climate change, including investing in green energy, providing subsidies for electric vehicles, and planting 200 million trees as part of a national campaign.

Samsung TVs to Be Produced in Kazakhstan

Silk Road Electronics and Samsung Electronics have signed an agreement to launch TV manufacturing in Kazakhstan. The partnership will manufacture Samsung’s latest range of televisions, including premium models, to cater to demand in Kazakhstan and Central Asia. The new production line will be established at Silk Road Electronics’ facility in Sarani, located in the Karaganda region.

“Samsung Electronics, as a long-standing technology leader, is committed to being closer to its consumers. The launch of production in Kazakhstan will increase the availability of our products for the local market,” said Jong Yujin, President of Samsung Electronics Central Eurasia.

The localization of production is expected to deliver significant benefits, including developing industrial infrastructure and creating new jobs. “We will provide world-class products at affordable prices for Kazakhstani consumers,” added Alexander Kritsky, Director of Silk Road Electronics, emphasizing the importance of the collaboration.

The project, supported by the Industry Development Fund, is set to commence operations in the second quarter of 2025, with Kazakhstani-made TVs expected to hit the market in the latter half of the year.

Silk Road Electronics operates on the premises of the former Karagandarezinotechnika plant, which spans over 61,000 square meters. Approximately 25 billion tenge was invested in modernizing the facility. The plant’s primary owner is the Uzbek company Artel, known for producing various household appliances under its brand, including TVs, washing machines, and stoves. Artel partners with Meridian Company and SPK Saryarka. Meridian Company is owned by Andrei Lavrentiev, who also leads Qarmet.

Previously, Samsung Electronics announced its plans to establish the production of washing machines at the Saran plant. 

Diplomacy in Detail: Where Each Central Asian Leader Traveled to in 2024

Central Asia is often synonymous with the term “multi-vector foreign policy,” enabling its nations to navigate the competing interests of global and regional powers effectively. This “open door” strategy, grounded in the principle of “my friend’s friend is my friend,” has consistently granted Central Asian countries a distinctive role on the international stage, aiding them in achieving their foreign policy objectives despite shifting geopolitical dynamics.

Drawing from official sources, we analyze the frequency and geography of foreign visits by the leaders of Central Asia in 2024, offering insights into their diplomatic engagements.

Turkmenistan

President Serdar Berdimuhamedov embarked on eight foreign trips in 2024. Among these, only one – a bilateral visit to Malaysia – was not tied to multilateral events. The other seven engagements showcased Turkmenistan’s participation in global diplomacy:

  • XVI BRICS Summit (Kazan)
  • CIS Heads of State Summit (Moscow)
  • Victory Day Celebration (Moscow)
  • Informal CIS Leaders’ Meeting (St. Petersburg)
  • Central Asia-Germany Summit (Astana)
  • Sixth Consultative Meeting of Central Asian Leaders (Astana)
  • UN COP28 Conference (Dubai)

This year, Berdimuhamedov visited Russia four times, and Kazakhstan twice, and made single trips to the UAE and Malaysia.

In parallel, his father and the previous president, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov, conducted 10 trips, including four bilateral visits to the UAE and Tajikistan and two to Iran. His international commitments included:

  • One Water Summit (Riyadh)
  • Turkic States’ Council of Elders (Budapest)
  • V World Nomad Games Opening Ceremony (Astana)
  • SCO Summit (Astana)
  • Russia-Islamic World: KazanForum (Kazan)
  • Antalya Diplomatic Forum (Antalya)

Tajikistan

President Emomali Rahmon undertook 22 foreign trips in 2024, six of which were bilateral, with visits to Russia, Iran, Azerbaijan, Italy/Vatican, and Qatar (twice). Multilateral engagements included:

  • CSTO Summit (Astana)
  • Central Asia-Germany Summit (Astana)
  • Sixth Consultative Meeting of Central Asian Leaders (Astana)
  • SCO Plus Meeting (Astana)
  • COP29 Climate Conference (Baku)
  • Arab-Islamic Extraordinary Summit (Riyadh)
  • UN COP28 Conference (Dubai)
  • UN General Assembly (New York)

Uzbekistan

President Shavkat Mirziyoyev made 18 international visits, including state visits to Turkey, China, and Tajikistan. He participated in numerous events:

  • COP29 Climate Conference (Baku)
  • Turkic States Informal Summit (Shusha)
  • Arab-Islamic Summit (Riyadh)
  • UN COP28 Conference (Dubai)
  • SCO Meeting (Astana)
  • BRICS+ Summit (Kazan)

Kazakhstan

President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev led the region in diplomatic outreach with 23 visits. Eleven of these were state visits to Hungary, Serbia, France, Italy/Vatican, Qatar, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Tajikistan, Mongolia, and Singapore. Key multilateral events included:

  • Doha Forum (Doha)
  • One Water Summit (Riyadh)
  • COP29 Climate Conference (Baku)
  • Boao Forum (Boao)

Tokayev visited Russia five times, and Azerbaijan three times, and made additional trips to Saudi Arabia, UAE, and other countries in Europe and Asia.

Kyrgyzstan

President Sadyr Japarov also made 23 foreign visits, including eight state visits to South Korea, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Germany, Austria, and Italy/Vatican. He attended numerous multilateral forums:

  • CSTO Summit (Astana)
  • Central Asia-Germany Summit (Astana)
  • UN COP28 Conference (Dubai)
  • BRICS+ Summit (Kazan)

Japarov visited Russia five times, and Kazakhstan four times, and made single trips to several European and Asian countries.

In 2024, Tokayev and Japarov led the region in the number of foreign visits. While their itineraries highlight regional and global priorities, they also underscore Central Asia’s commitment to a multi-vector foreign policy, ensuring balanced engagement with both regional allies and global powers.

Amid Discontent Among Entrepreneurs, Kyrgyz Authorities Ease Tax Burden

Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov has instructed the new Prime Minister Adylbek Kasymaliev and the head of the State Tax Service (STS) to develop a new fiscal policy that will not overburden citizens or force entrepreneurs to conceal their income. Special attention is to be paid to electronic bills of lading (EBL).

Following a corruption scandal in the STS, the new head of the tax service, Almambet Shykmamatov, proposed abolishing the EBLs introduced by the government in the summer of 2024. At a parliamentary session, Shykmamatov explained that the EBLs were implemented to combat the shadow turnover of goods. However, the new reporting system has sparked numerous complaints from entrepreneurs.

Shykmamatov stated, “I will find those who implemented the EBL system improperly and without analysis and ensure they are held accountable. I will explain what populism is and why simply raising taxes and calling it economic growth is unacceptable.”

EBLs (electronic bills of lading) replaced the so-called voluntary patents that entrepreneurs and market traders used to purchase monthly as a form of tax payment.

Later, during a government meeting, Kasymaliev, head of the Kyrgyz Cabinet of Ministers, confirmed that despite widespread public protests, the authorities do not intend to abolish EBLs entirely but assured that the Cabinet will work to simplify the system and will study the possibility of revising the list of goods to be included in the reporting of EBL.

The Times of Central Asia surveyed entrepreneurs who have been most affected by EBLs.

Venera Mugalimova, a seller of electrical building supplies at a Bishkek market, said, “The introduction of EBLs has severely complicated my life. This system is unfeasible for me and all vendors working on consignment sales. In such cases, we first receive the goods, sell them, and only then settle the payment. The system doesn’t recognize ‘consignment goods.’ The company providing the goods on consignment cannot issue me an invoice without payment.”

According to sellers, individuals offering paid training on how to use the EBL system have started to appear in Kyrgyzstan’s online space, and their services are in high demand.

“It’s a massive headache, although it depends on your business type. In my case, we deal with many small items—about 5,000 different products. Manually entering the name, price, and exchange rate for each product is problematic and very time-consuming,” Alena, a wholesale seller of fabrics and clothing at Dordoi Market, told The Times of Central Asia. Her company not only sells goods but also imports them from nearby countries.

“With EBLs, I lose a lot of time. Either I focus on reporting or work. Combining both is very hard, and we’d need to hire at least three accountants for the number of outlets we have. That’s additional expenses,” the businesswoman noted.

Sergey Ponomarev, President of the Association of Markets, Trade Enterprises, and Service Industries, commented to The Times of Central Asia that moving away from the patent system was crucial in combating the shadow economy. However, the current situation with EBLs looks less than optimistic.